Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,587
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

March Med/Long Range Disco


WinterWxLuvr

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 2.3k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

GFS is pretty cold wire to wire other than a random 65 or 2....and the GEFS is even colder

We flipped to a dominant -nao/ao regime in mid Feb. In winter, these patterns typically persist for 45-60 days. IMO- a relatively cool first half of april is more likely than a warm one.

I think the more interesting period comes after that. Does the pattern relax permanently or take a break and reload? I may have to run through some analogs and see if there are similar occurrences during the same timeframe.

Personally, I'd be thrilled with a normal to slightly below april/may. It's still nice and warm. Just not sweating bullets into my eyeballs warm.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

We flipped to a dominant -nao/ao regime in mid Feb. In winter, these patterns typically persist for 45-60 days. IMO- a relatively cool first half of april is more likely than a warm one.

I think the more interesting period comes after that. Does the pattern relax permanently or take a break and reload? I may have to run through some analogs and see if there are similar occurrences during the same timeframe.

Personally, I'd be thrilled with a normal to slightly below april/may. It's still nice and warm. Just not sweating bullets into my eyeballs warm.

 

I mentioned a few days back, that May is a pretty wretched month here...very hard to get any stretch of crisp blue sky, 68 degree days...

 

We have a good one every 5 or 6 years....

 

the cool May's are usually either super wet or days of clouds and marine layer mist.....if we can get a 4-day stretch of 68-74 with low dews and sunny skies, it is a total victory in May..

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Go on.....

 

What does it show?

 

 

Out in clown range (day 8-9) so its really not worth getting too excited over, but its a moderate snowstorm for the suburbs for sure and even DC itself would likely see another 1-3 incher. Bulk falls at night. Cold looking profile.

 

It was more funny just to see another storm threat for DC now that its going into April.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Out in clown range (day 8-9) so its really not worth getting too excited over, but its a moderate snowstorm for the suburbs for sure and even DC itself would likely see another 1-3 incher. Bulk falls at night. Cold looking profile.

 

It was more funny just to see another storm threat for DC now that its going into April.

 

Oh, trust me, I wasn't going to get excited.  The time has come to move on and I'm ready.   I was just curious as to what it showed.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I wasn't going to mention anything...

Euro shows l-m 60's Sun-Mon before a strong cold front.

SW digs through CO and traverses the country basically due E. SLP in front tacks the gulf states up into NC mtns and then looks like it reforms off the nc coast.

Unusually strong block and confluence over NE for the time of year. Plenty of teens and 20's in eastern canada.

But I'm done tracking for the season...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I wasn't going to mention anything...

Euro shows l-m 60's Sun-Mon before a strong cold front.

SW digs through CO and traverses the country basically due E. SLP in front tacks the gulf states up into NC mtns and then looks like it reforms off the nc coast.

Unusually strong block and confluence over NE for the time of year. Plenty of teens and 20's in eastern canada.

But I'm done tracking for the season...

See ya at NAM extrapolation time
Link to comment
Share on other sites

But can you deliver Spring?

I'm getting ready to go out for two months on medical leave. I want to be able to sit out in the yard, soaking up that medicinal high sun angle, listening to the soothing medicinal songs of the birds, sipping my medicinal beer. None of this cloudy, dreary, windy, rainy, yucky and plain 'ole shi-tty days. So now that Ian has cancelled winter, spring is sure to be sprung. Unless the Euro says otherwise. Damn Europeans.

I'm rooting for Ian's cancellation.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

wtf the euro is killing me, i'm ready for spring. snow maps 4-8" ric, roa, lyh, dca, bwi, phl 8-12" cho nw va and most of wva.

 

How much for Davis/Canaan?   :P  (edit: I am kidding of course, I know this is fantasyland and even if it was real, local totals are irrelevant until days beforehand)

 

I've got another sick day or two left - sounds like a trip to White Grass!

 

In all seriousness, with the October storm and monster March they are up to 220 inches on the season - wonder what the unofficial record is up there?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'm getting ready to go out for two months on medical leave. I want to be able to sit out in the yard, soaking up that medicinal high sun angle, listening to the soothing medicinal songs of the birds, sipping my medicinal beer. None of this cloudy, dreary, windy, rainy, yucky and plain 'ole shi-tty days. So now that Ian has cancelled winter, spring is sure to be sprung. Unless the Euro says otherwise. Damn Europeans.

I'm rooting for Ian's cancellation.

I hope you are right. Let's enjoy every minute.

Oh yeah. Damn Europeans....

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...