andyhb Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Man if that thing phases, it. is. on. For lack of a better term. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 This run is colder. So calm down mitch. Mitch will always worry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Weeniegasm run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 jesus...agonizingly close...much better than 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Heh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 1, 2013 Author Share Posted March 1, 2013 Oh could we get that phase 6 hours earlier. Man we are close to something special. Wes, Matt, Ian, WxUSA, tell me I'm right. Please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Surface freezing dissecting dc at 120 is awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 shocking the gfs caved to the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 BOOOYAH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Heh. One later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Timing would be ideal here, in that the light precip falls overnight so we have no sun angle/temp issues for accumulating the light stuff, and when the sun comes up, this beast is starting to get wrapped up so we get dynamics to help out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 @129 it really cranks precip NE MD and into NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Nice run. Capture at 120 and slows and crawls NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Looking really good! But do we have to share with New England? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 wow....still snowing at 138. Long duration Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Nearly a complete phase with the GL low...looks like it leaves a little piece of energy back up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 wow....still snowing at 138. Long duration Stalled off NJ. Still snowing at 141 and backbuilding west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 12-18" DC to Balt. I'd take that at this pt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Northern Va and points north along I-95 are the good spots for this run. Down toward Richmond a good portion of this would be rain... would change to snow as it wraps up.. but would not amount to much. Wish it was a bit colder! :-p Too much detail at this range though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Wraps up so much we have mixing problems at 141. Philly gets clobbered with QPF, but they have a worse temp profile than we do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 850 0C line creeps inward as the low stacks and fills. Just a complete stall offshore. Naso good for coastal sections and NYC/Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Yes...ideally and this is obvious wishcasting, in order to get a serious event, we want the ULL to take SE track and then get pulled north into the eastern TN valley...and then start drifting E/NE...I'm not sure this is an option though No its probably not because of the trough axis, this is going to still be diving in until a little later then we would want ideally, that means we need the phase to happen on time and "clean" so to speak. If its a messy drawn out phase we probably end up on the outside watching Philly northeast have all the fun. March tends to be the time when these things can really amp quickly and the block would argue for a more south solution, so we have reasons to believe the GGEM/Euro solution over the GFS at this point, plus the GFS is just coming around to the idea of a phase in general, but I NEVER feel safe in our area when it comes down to a late developing coastal system that needs to amplify in time. That is a very risky proposition for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Purpled with a global inside of 6 days. Good God. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 But that's a great track to be on. W-NW side of the low. I wouldn't worry too much yet about mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Purpled with a global inside of 6 days. Good God. phineas area jackpot too.. seems kinda legit. 09/10 flashback. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 With the GFS now coming into agreement with the GGEM, Euro, and NOGAPS... Yes, there is still time for change, and there likely will be some. But it is looking really, really good right now; better than anything else this winter. I think it's time to be ready for a storm of some type, and to be ready for winter to go out with a bang! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 At what point does the energy come on shore? I think somebody posted something about Pacific flights for more data? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 phineas area jackpot too.. seems kinda legit. 09/10 flashback. I kept thinking we could get a crawler yesterday but I had to convince myself to believe that I actually knew enough about what i was seeing at h5 before i made the post. Heh. Next week is an eternity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 phineas area jackpot too.. seems kinda legit. 09/10 flashback. Perhaps, areas farther east have more precip but also a more questionable temp profile. Whoever's on the happy side of the freezing line, but closest to it, wins in this situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelScott Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Northern Va and points north along I-95 are the good spots for this run. Down toward Richmond a good portion of this would be rain... would change to snow as it wraps up.. but would not amount to much. Wish it was a bit colder! :-p Too much detail at this range though. Yeah right now this event is looking like a bit of a screwjob for most near out latitude. Hopefully it trends colder but even if it doesn't at least some of the MA will break our current streak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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