yoda Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Yeah... 15 hr transfer? Uh no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 lol, that's one ugly storm evolution and transfer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 I feel like this storm is an easy forecast. Don't really need phasing...have the block...just need the sw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Then the primary magically disappears at 177 and through 183 we get smoked... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 RIC still gets a BOOM at 180-183 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 lol, that's one ugly storm evolution and transfer. If that's ugly.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Reinforcing cold shot drops down from quebec and saves us this run odly enough. Also Looks like a direct H5 hit this run. Nowhere to go but down from there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Then the primary magically disappears at 177 and through 183 we get smoked... Not magic man...it's the block. Low has to transfer but instead of nj like usual it's South Carolina Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 If that's ugly.... It shouldnt take 3/4 of a day to transfer.... thats ridiculous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 If that's ugly.... It is ugly. I mean, the storm ultimately pops, but as depicted it's ugly. The signal is still there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Best march threat since 1888 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 It shouldnt take 3/4 of a day to transfer.... thats ridiculous At 159 it starts the transfer as the secondary begins to develop over N FL 168 primary still over NE KY and transfer still going on with secondary off SC coast 174 transfer nearly done, primary in SE OH with new low near ILM/HSE area of NC 177 FINALLY TRANSFER COMPLETE Just no... no way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Notice the nao trending positive near the storm. Isn't that a heather a signal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Euro has the storm too but it scrapes south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Euro has the storm too but it scrapes south. The euro is caving to the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
norcarolinian Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 The euro is caving to the gfs which means what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 The euro is caving to the gfs which means what? It means he is hoping it comes north from what the euro is depicting. For us to "win", the areas to the south must lose. It is what it is, you know this i am sure. In the end, it is Boston's storm, regardless of what the euro or gfs are showing now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 The euro is caving to the gfs We gotta be careful what we wish for. 0z was another check box on the wernie run dept but 6z is not. I don't like redevopers very often and I definitely don't like them when the big beautiful block in Canada that was there just 6 hours ago vanished into thin air. I want the euro hold firm on a southern solution that creeps north each day. If it jumps to an ohv redeveloper then we can start tracking heat cause that's not going to do it when were almost in may. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 That 6z is a diaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 We gotta be careful what we wish for. 0z was another check box on the wernie run dept but 6z is not. I don't like redevopers very often and I definitely don't like them when the big beautiful block in Canada that was there just 6 hours ago vanished into thin air. I want the euro hold firm on a southern solution that creeps north each day. If it jumps to an ohv redeveloper then we can start tracking heat cause that's not going to do it when were almost in may. Bob, even the 00 run had flag saying beware as it shows a miller b. They usually don't work out in Jan or Feb, hoping for one in late March is asking for heartache. A flatter look like the euro but with slightly more amplitude is probably what is needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 18, 2013 Author Share Posted March 18, 2013 Bob, even the 00 run had flag saying beware as it shows a miller b. They usually don't work out in Jan or Feb, hoping for one in late March is asking for heartache. A flatter look like the euro but with slightly more amplitude is probably what is needed. I guess it depends on where you are and what your expectations are. We can still do front end and cad. Today proves that. We cant get an all snow storm that way though. Several, in fact most, gfs members have snow chances to varying degrees. Truth be told, I'm anxious to look at a model and see no chance in hell for snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Bob, even the 00 run had flag saying beware as it shows a miller b. They usually don't work out in Jan or Feb, hoping for one in late March is asking for heartache. A flatter look like the euro but with slightly more amplitude is probably what is needed. yea, it's a reality check for sure. I did run the h5 vort panel loop side by side with the last 2 runs of the gfs. The largest difference is the gfs closes off h5 in the mw in the last 2 runs. The euro doesn't close it off at all and doesn't really even get close to be honest. GFS builds ridging in front of the closed ull and that's what drives the ohv track and redevelopment. I suppose both scenarios are equally possible. Euro drives the vort down to central tx and takes a path through nga and sc. Trough goes a little negative @ 180 before getting shoved offshore. Latest GFS drives the vort to just about OK before closing it off in MO. GFS seems to eject the big ull over the ne quicker than the euro too. If the gfs backs off on the early closed low idea then the solution will change dramatically. I have a hunch it will either do that or dig further south. The days leading in have a very suppressive look. Strong confluence over the ne with the departing ull low. I just don't see the bowling ball forming and making the left turn so easily. Should be a fun week. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 The euro is caving to the gfs We gotta be careful what we wish for. 0z was another check box on the wernie run dept but 6z is not. I don't like redevopers very often and I definitely don't like them when the big beautiful block in Canada that was there just 6 hours ago vanished into thin air. I want the euro hold firm on a southern solution that creeps north each day. If it jumps to an ohv redeveloper then we can start tracking heat cause that's not going to do it when were almost in may. That's what bothers me. The BBB (big beautiful block) that was like an anchor before hauled ass faster than me at a Klan rally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 All the indices are still in our favor. I'm still in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 . Climo and week out storms say lay of the pipe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 . Climo and week out storms say lay of the pipe. its snowing today on march 18. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 . Climo and week out storms say lay of the pipe. How was it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 O sorry forgot we aren't allowed to be realistic in these threads Carry on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 O sorry forgot we aren't allowed to be realistic in these threads Carry on I didn't know my terrible joke was condemnation of being real. I'm sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 I didn't know my terrible joke was condemnation of being real. I'm sorry. We need some beach weather. Everyone will feel better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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