MDstorm Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 gfs bailed on the hecs Damn the GFS. It never seems to be able to hold onto a storm for 30-40 runs in a row. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Euro will save the day on the HECS. Mark my.....who am I kidding. Every time we needed the Euro in a clutch, it's failed us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Storm is suppressed now. That will change since we're approaching Spring. No way it stays suppressed. Watch for the EURO this pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Storm is suppressed now. That will change since we're approaching Spring. No way it stays suppressed. Watch for the EURO this pm. Right. If it moves north it will dry up and just be cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 18z GFS gonna bring it. Still would like to see a ridge out west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 At 165 everything looks good. 18z GFS rocks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Keep an eye on the wed-thurs timeframe. Euro passes a decent little vort just underneath us @ hr90. 18z gfs has something similar right in the same timeframe. Neither model is showing much precip but I don't think that matters as much at this range as the 500 panels. Won't be anything special but another event worth half an eyeball once a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Agreed. We'll b at the mercy with what happens over ne. I guess suppressed is totally possible it just doesn't seen likely in my mind this time of year. We're gonna see off and on weenie runs for the next 4 days or so I think Time for a weenie run scorecard.... +1 for 18z gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Hmm... lost NCEP. but at 183 the closed upper level low was looking pretty juicy for the i95 corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Lots of qpf but surface temps look marginal DCA and SE. But with heavy rates we could overcome. But it is 7 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 GFS kills us. SFC is fine as is, just s/e of DC with rates like those. We've sorta heard that before tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Time for a weenie run scorecard.... +1 for 18z gfs This is it for us dude. I'm placing all of my weenie street cred on this one. Keep your faith in me man. Always bet on black. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 WOW.. is all I can say about the 18z GFS. That is 2 out of the last 4 GFS runs showing major storm. This solution is extreme.. but really fun to look at 1-2 feet totals state wide.. clown maps will be fun with this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 SFC will be fine if the H5 low stalls over us, Those things are like cold islands, it will be warmer to the north and to the south of us. Of course GFS is not showing that, only my weenie imagination, which is infailiable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 The h5 is a thing of beauty although it is late March and climo is against us. I can't explain it but I have a good feeling about our chances. I'm falling for the 7 day HECS, aka Lucy's Football. I'm such an idiot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 This is it for us dude. I'm placing all of my weenie street cred on this one. Keep your faith in me man. Always bet on black. You know I'm always in. Sometimes I'm not in as much as out but I'm always in when there's anything to be in on even when I say I'm out. Out means in and in means in. We either go out like heros or zeros. Let's do this shizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 You know I'm always in. Sometimes I'm not in as much as out but I'm always in when there's anything to be in on even when I say I'm out. Out means in and in means in. We either go out like heros or zeros. Let's do this shizzle. Very articulate and to-the-point, Bob. Cookie for you. ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 17, 2013 Author Share Posted March 17, 2013 That thing will probably have a perfect track, great temps, and be dry as a prune. We do dry very well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 This is it for us dude. I'm placing all of my weenie street cred on this one. Keep your faith in me man. Always bet on black. This is it for us dude. I'm placing all of my weenie street cred on this one. Keep your faith in me man. Always bet on black. Lol. We may go down in flames. But it was fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Not that it means much so far in advance but soundings are all snow for DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 This is it for us dude. I'm placing all of my weenie street cred on this one. Keep your faith in me man. Always bet on black. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 This is it for us dude. I'm placing all of my weenie street cred on this one. Keep your faith in me man. Always bet on black. Made me lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Let's get down to business. Let's talk amounts. a foot for the city, 6-8 inches for northern maryland/baltimore, a foot and a half for northern virginia, and 2 feet for southern Virginia. AND SNE is getting NOTHING!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 NAM womps us with another cartoper day 3 and SNE with another 4-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 The big one is coming on the GFS. Mark my words. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Hopefully that doesn't cut. it's digging pretty far west this run. Edit. 50/50 didn't drop back into the lakes, few. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Gfs looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Thats an awkward looking transfer at 162... C KY to S GA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 I'm not too worried about details now...just want a big storm and I'll take the risk of weird stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 GFS is clearly in the middle of something. OTS at 12Z and tried to unsuccessfully cut on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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