Ji Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 wow....gfs shows a march 1958 storm. the threat is real. the pattern is a ticking time bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 wow....gfs shows a march 1958 storm. the threat is real. the pattern is a ticking time bomb Lol it is 7 days away calm down, if it shows it on Thursday then maybe put an aleet on your Facebook page. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Lol it is 7 days away calm down, if it shows it on Thursday then maybe put an aleet on your Facebook page. I put an aleet yesterday for a potential hecs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 I put an aleet yesterday for a potential hecs , waiting up until 2:45 for the Euro does suck though . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 I put an aleet yesterday for a potential hecs you're so behind the times http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/39543-march-medlong-range-disco/page-49#entry2210439 about the best long range snow map of the season for places that matter on the gfs tonight. lool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 you're so behind the times http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/39543-march-medlong-range-disco/page-49#entry2210439 about the best long range snow map of the season for places that matter on the gfs tonight. lool. I know U think the threat is legit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 you're so behind the times http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/39543-march-medlong-range-disco/page-49#entry2210439 about the best long range snow map of the season for places that matter on the gfs tonight. lool. Gotta love that 25" bullseye near RIC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 I know U think the threat is legit my maps look like this but double the totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Pretty sure Bob Chill is all in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 This is the snowiest model march ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 I know U think the threat is legit Regardless of the stupid teasing, it is a real threat and the pattern is loaded. Will we cash in? Meh, who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 This is the snowiest model march ever We've been dodging snow all year. March 25 is where it ends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Regardless of the stupid teasing, it is a real threat and the pattern is loaded. Will we cash in? Meh, who knows. Yep it's real. Just wish it wasn't a month away from may when the Hecs comes in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Regardless of the stupid teasing, it is a real threat and the pattern is loaded. Will we cash in? Meh, who knows. Obviously, but no one wants to look like the idiot and actually seem interested in it so they all joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Yep it's real. Just wish it wasn't a month away from may when the Hecs comes in April could be rockin too. It's been like 100 years since we got a good April event in the city. We are due. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Yep it's real. Just wish it wasn't a month away from may when the Hecs comes in Obviously, but no one wants to look like the idiot and actually seem interested in it so they all joke. I mean, it is what it is. Folks have every right to be skeptical and it's very likely not to happen. But to pretend people are crazy or to mock them is just as worse. The potential is there, especially with that h5 pattern modeled the way it is. It's late March, we know the perils....even if we get a HECS/snow, it'll be gone the next day..sun angle...blah blah blah. We get it. The deck is stacked against us and climo is a b**ch, but something isn't totally out of the question with this pattern setting up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 90% chance a major snow happens before spring arrives. We have the extreme block . We just need the s/w Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Day 8 HECS is serious biz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 I mean, it is what it is. Folks have every right to be skeptical and it's very likely not to happen. But to pretend people are crazy or to mock them is just as worse. The potential is there, especially with that h5 pattern modeled the way it is. It's late March, we know the perils....even if we get a HECS/snow, it'll be gone the next day..sun angle...blah blah blah. We get it. The deck is stacked against us and climo is a b**ch, but something isn't totally out of the question with this pattern setting up. I mean the ao is like -5. There is a extreme nao and PNA is going positive. If it can't snow in march with this...it will never snow in march Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Day 8 HECS is serious biz It actually starts at 132 with the closed ull digging down. With the blocking ...it's a done deal. Easiest forecast since feb 5 storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 00z Euro says YES for March 25-27th! Would be a historic late March snowfall for the Southern MA if verified. So GFS and Euro both have storms. Something will probably happen to end the pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Pretty sure Bob Chill is all in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 We can doubt, joke, and dismiss all we want with this threat but it really isn't some desperate grasp at a hopeless event. It's probably worth tracking more than any other storm this year. Could easily end up being nothing but it could also be the first real coastal to hit us since 2010. Indicies: You can't line things up any better than this. The storm already exists too. It's out in the pac: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 00z Euro says YES for March 25-27th! Would be a historic late March snowfall for the Southern MA if verified. So GFS and Euro both have storms. Something will probably happen to end the pattern.Euro only has a 982 low off the VA capes evening of March 26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 We can doubt, joke, and dismiss all we want with this threat but it really isn't some desperate grasp at a hopeless event. It's probably worth tracking more than any other storm this year. Could easily end up being nothing but it could also be the first real coastal to hit us since 2010. Indicies: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?app=core&module=attach§ion=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=94261'>ao.PNG [img=https://www.amwx.us/public/style_images/American_Weather/attachicon.gif] http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?app=core&module=attach§ion=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=94262'>nao.PNG [img=https://www.amwx.us/public/style_images/American_Weather/attachicon.gif] http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?app=core&module=attach§ion=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=94263'>pna.PNG [img=https://www.amwx.us/public/style_images/American_Weather/attachicon.gif] http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?app=core&module=attach§ion=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=94264'>mjo.PNG You can't line things up any better than this. The storm already exists too. It's out in the pac: pacstorm.PNG BuzzFeed Bob. Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 90% chance a major snow happens before spring arrives. We have the extreme block . We just need the s/w It probably takes a big storm to dislodge the block. I'm skeptical given the winter we've had, and the time of year, but damn... the pattern sure is ripe for something, especially with how extreme the negative AO is. I wish it was warmer, but the pattern is impressive from a meteorology standpoint. Can't help but be interested in what may be coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 gfs bailed on the hecs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 gfs bailed on the hecs All the ingredients are still there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 All the ingredients are still there. i suppose tho the 0z gfs was an absurd solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 i suppose tho the 0z gfs was an absurd solution Agreed. We'll b at the mercy with what happens over ne. I guess suppressed is totally possible it just doesn't seen likely in my mind this time of year. We're gonna see off and on weenie runs for the next 4 days or so I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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