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March Med/Long Range Disco


WinterWxLuvr

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dude? Come on. The storm around the 22 looks legit!

Did you see the 27th on the 6z GFS??  It's only like 6-8", so down quite a bit from the 25-30" of a couple days ago.  Because of that, I'm tossing the run, but we still got a little time to get improvements.  

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Man, I don't know what to think about some people.  To think I thought I was surrounded by tough people who wouldn't lay down.

 

It's March.  Everybody gets that.  But there's still a chance we could see snow.  The Sun-Mon precip event keeps changing from run to run.  Granted, the latest changes aren't for the better, but it's not Sunday night either.  Next week looks cold.  The GFS keeps wanting to create some type of storm in the middle of the country while the Euro, from what I can tell, has very cold temps, and a storm cruising through the southeast.

 

Why give up?  What do you have to lose?

 

I call bullsh*t on people posting in these threads saying they've given up.  If you've given up, why are you here?

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240hr hour Euro has been showing snow for the past 240 hours

 

LOL, I agree.  Except, I think we could change that to the last 240 days.

 

If model verification is based upon actual snow vs modeled snow, the Euro is probably dead last of all the models.  It has given me Sierra Nevada type snow totals.

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after seeing the models today, I am way back in.

check out the euro control 240-300 and the GGEM and.....the euro arctic blast...and...everythign

I looked at the control, 0z suite, and 6z gfs and I'm still out.

The one thing missing is proper spacing/timing. That's the issue at hand here. Cold shots don't have multi day legs this time of year. We need the optimum timing. Yesterday and last night would have been a good time for something riding the heels of a front. But not today or tomorrow.

Cold gets stale real quick in late march even with a -nao. We need a storm to time a fresh blast of cold. I'm not seeing that.

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I looked at the control, 0z suite, and 6z gfs and I'm still out.

The one thing missing is proper spacing/timing. That's the issue at hand here. Cold shots don't have multi day legs this time of year. We need the optimum timing. Yesterday and last night would have been a good time for something riding the heels of a front. But not today or tomorrow.

Cold gets stale real quick in late march even with a -nao. We need a storm to time a fresh blast of cold. I'm not seeing that.

 

Succinct.

 

On point.

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I looked at the control, 0z suite, and 6z gfs and I'm still out.

The one thing missing is proper spacing/timing. That's the issue at hand here. Cold shots don't have multi day legs this time of year. We need the optimum timing. Yesterday and last night would have been a good time for something riding the heels of a front. But not today or tomorrow.

Cold gets stale real quick in late march even with a -nao. We need a storm to time a fresh blast of cold. I'm not seeing that.

Disappointing.    The day the music died.

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I looked at the control, 0z suite, and 6z gfs and I'm still out.

The one thing missing is proper spacing/timing. That's the issue at hand here. Cold shots don't have multi day legs this time of year. We need the optimum timing. Yesterday and last night would have been a good time for something riding the heels of a front. But not today or tomorrow.

Cold gets stale real quick in late march even with a -nao. We need a storm to time a fresh blast of cold. I'm not seeing that.

 

I'm not sure that I agree with that today, or would have agreed with it a month ago.

 

The primary issue, IMO, is, and has been, the placement of whatever blocking and troughing that have been around.  These troughs are, and have been, too far east.  Any decent storms have either formed too far west, run into a huge block and die, or they form too far to the east of us, clobber NE, and ride on across the Atlantic.  We need these troughs further west so that the gulf is open for business, and lows can form and either ride into the lower OH valley giving us front end fun, or stay to our south, turning up the coast close enough to get us.

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Ryan Maue and JB have been posting GFS 8-15 day snowfall forecasts and the CFSV2 snowfall forecasts every few days for 5 months.  I've yet to see one verify within the same ballpark as reality.  

 

Oh and BTW, snowfall/cold temps in March = global warming is a liberal conspiracy.  

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I think once you've declared that you're out, man up, and stay gone.  And, whatever you negative twits do, don't even think about mentioning this mornings NAM.  Don't even think about it.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

:icecream: 

 

Anyone who doesn't know I'm just joking around hasn't been around here much.

 

(I'm not joking about the NAM, I like it)

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