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March Med/Long Range Disco


WinterWxLuvr

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I'm back in for Monday.

 

attachicon.gifallin.PNG

Looks like early morning flurries turning to drizzle turning to heavy rain by evening.  

 

Tomorrow looks just EPIC.  Drizzle and rain showers with temps in the low-mid 30s all day.  All the way up into the low-mid 40s for Sunday before Monday's flurri-HECS.

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Looks like early morning flurries turning to drizzle turning to heavy rain by evening.  

 

Tomorrow looks just EPIC.  Drizzle and rain showers with temps in the low-mid 30s all day.  All the way up into the low-mid 40s for Sunday before Monday's flurri-HECS.

 

At least we don't have to sit and think up the most awful scenarios. They come naturally. All we have to do is watch and not think, 

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cfs2 goes out to nov 16th now. Looks pretty warm and dry. I'm out for Nov snow too. 

 

attachicon.gifnov16th2013.gif

 

You know, I know you posted that in a light hearted manner, but I sure do hope that not one penny of public money goes into the creation of a tool to give a 5940 hour weather prediction.  

 

That's just straight up stupid.  And that's the best thing I can say about it.

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You know, I know you posted that in a light hearted manner, but I sure do hope that not one penny of public money goes into the creation of a tool to give a 5940 hour weather prediction.  

 

That's just straight up stupid.  And that's the best thing I can say about it.

Where do you think the cfs2 predicted anomalies come from?  The cfs2 is constantly running a dynamic model out in time (monthly, or 9 monthly), specifically an atmospheric model (GFS-based) coupled to an interactive ocean model, at low resolution (T126, half the GEFS resolution), to generate the weekly/monthly/seasonal anomaly forecasts. 

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Where do you think the cfs2 predicted anomalies come from?  The cfs2 is constantly running a dynamic model out in time (monthly, or 9 monthly), specifically an atmospheric model (GFS-based) coupled to an interactive ocean model, at low resolution (T126, half the GEFS resolution), to generate the weekly/monthly/seasonal anomaly forecasts. 

 

 

I'm not going to turn this into a political discussion, but I'll stand by what I said.  There's not one single reasonable reason to try and predict weather 9 months in advance.  If someone wants to invest private money into that endeavor, go for it.  As for the CFS2, my opinion of it is that it is totally useless.  Sorry.  This isn't some personal attack on you.

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