Bob Chill Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 cfs2 goes out to nov 16th now. Looks pretty warm and dry. I'm out for Nov snow too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 I'm back in for Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 I'm back in for Monday. allin.PNG Looks like early morning flurries turning to drizzle turning to heavy rain by evening. Tomorrow looks just EPIC. Drizzle and rain showers with temps in the low-mid 30s all day. All the way up into the low-mid 40s for Sunday before Monday's flurri-HECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 Looks like early morning flurries turning to drizzle turning to heavy rain by evening. Tomorrow looks just EPIC. Drizzle and rain showers with temps in the low-mid 30s all day. All the way up into the low-mid 40s for Sunday before Monday's flurri-HECS. At least we don't have to sit and think up the most awful scenarios. They come naturally. All we have to do is watch and not think, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 I'm back in for Monday. allin.PNG Its a lock, bet on the wrap around, that always happens here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 15, 2013 Author Share Posted March 15, 2013 cfs2 goes out to nov 16th now. Looks pretty warm and dry. I'm out for Nov snow too. nov16th2013.gif You know, I know you posted that in a light hearted manner, but I sure do hope that not one penny of public money goes into the creation of a tool to give a 5940 hour weather prediction. That's just straight up stupid. And that's the best thing I can say about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 15, 2013 Author Share Posted March 15, 2013 The trolling I'm doing on some of you next week, starting with Monday morning, is going to be historically epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dtk Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 You know, I know you posted that in a light hearted manner, but I sure do hope that not one penny of public money goes into the creation of a tool to give a 5940 hour weather prediction. That's just straight up stupid. And that's the best thing I can say about it. Where do you think the cfs2 predicted anomalies come from? The cfs2 is constantly running a dynamic model out in time (monthly, or 9 monthly), specifically an atmospheric model (GFS-based) coupled to an interactive ocean model, at low resolution (T126, half the GEFS resolution), to generate the weekly/monthly/seasonal anomaly forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 Im in for 162-192 if the ULL over NE moves out of the way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 GFS day 8 is moderately interesting...at least interesting enough to force Bob to jump back in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 Whole lotta potential on the GFS my friends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 GFS day 8 is moderately interesting...at least interesting enough to force Bob to jump back in. IDK, seems if it made the turn it would also bring along warm air....and rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 i was in at 192 but truncation made me bow out. Im out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 Im in for 162-192 if the ULL over NE moves out of the way It will. But maybe not...when we need it, it usually does move. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 we have had an unreal amount of snow on paper this March. I need to check the KU book Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 Looking at soundings, GFS says sleet/snow mix tomorrow morning around 12z for the far northern 'burbs and sleet/rain around the cities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 If the Euro goes all in on a storm around the 162-180 period, I'm in so hard and so deep. Wait a minute.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 I'm back in for Monday. allin.PNG Love the allin.png file name! LOL! You put your whole self in... will you take your whole self out.. Will you put your whole self in and shake it all about? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 Jeebus...mega +PNA ridge Day 10-15. Just perpetual chilly and dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 I think we will get a HECS between March 20 and March 33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 Jeebus...mega +PNA ridge Day 10-15. Just perpetual chilly and dry. March 1984 clipper incoming then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 I'm all in for the 174+hr threat until it's gone at 18z. I'm in and out more than dish network during during a tstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 IDK, seems if it made the turn it would also bring along warm air....and rain. The sad thing is it can be way below normal for this time of year and still be rain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 The sad thing is it can be way below normal for this time of year and still be rain! Normal overnight lows are still below freezing for most places other than DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 Normal overnight lows are still below freezing for most places other than DCA. I agree, we must hope for nighttime snow for this time of year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 I'm all in for the 174+hr threat until it's gone at 18z. I'm in and out more than dish network during during a tstorm. I like that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 15, 2013 Author Share Posted March 15, 2013 Where do you think the cfs2 predicted anomalies come from? The cfs2 is constantly running a dynamic model out in time (monthly, or 9 monthly), specifically an atmospheric model (GFS-based) coupled to an interactive ocean model, at low resolution (T126, half the GEFS resolution), to generate the weekly/monthly/seasonal anomaly forecasts. I'm not going to turn this into a political discussion, but I'll stand by what I said. There's not one single reasonable reason to try and predict weather 9 months in advance. If someone wants to invest private money into that endeavor, go for it. As for the CFS2, my opinion of it is that it is totally useless. Sorry. This isn't some personal attack on you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 15, 2013 Author Share Posted March 15, 2013 GFS day 8 is moderately interesting...at least interesting enough to force Bob to jump back in. All of next week has been interesting for some time now. This isn't breaking news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 This thread is terrible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 15, 2013 Author Share Posted March 15, 2013 This thread is terrible This post will help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.