SeminoleSullivan Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 If the Euro has its way, I could be looking at my single largest event of the season! ~2 inches on the ground! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 I'll keep an eye on this threat but won't get too invested until it's maybe 48 hrs out. The sfc track on the euro does look gorgeous though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 Its not as awful as some make it out to be. But at this time range, and basically 5+ days out, I will always go with the Euro. Most of the time it sniffs out these threats early, and often has the general idea correct. GFS typically flips and flops its way to figuring it out over time. Yes I've noticed that also. Let's hope it gets back to the snow threat again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravenmaniac Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 If it's on the Euro DT will be hyping it beyond belief and banning anyone that questions his love of the Euro and modelology. The models just want to see us be tortured. This is absolutely ridiculous. If I get pulled in again and we get kicked again...somebody just end me lol. I am not all in or even 1 chip in on this one. I won't be until 2 hours before it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 You make a good point. I've always been surprised at how well I do in storms where 95 is the dividing line - though it just seems like any way that we can get screwed this year it's happening. I will probably peak once a day or so at this thread to see if it's still on the models...but not lost sleep for me. We shall see! I just hope it's not a situation where we think it has awesome potential up until 12 hours before. Hopefully it's either a LEGIT threat once we get close in or not even a possibility - I don't want any of this yes, yes, yes, yes...HELL NO kind of deals. Sounds like you're in to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 So the low moves from NW GA to the VA capes over a 48 hr period. OK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 I'll keep an eye on this threat but won't get too invested until it's maybe 48 hrs out. The sfc track on the euro does look gorgeous though. Keep us posted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 Look, we'll continue to hear from the boo birds about how it's late march and the sun angle produces a sfc temp of 790 degrees. And while sun angle is absolutely a factor, anybody who isn't climo challenged knows it can snow here in mid late march with the right set up. Is it likely, probably not. Pattern is ripe, so lets do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 Euro is rain for Boston---when was the last time that happened? Toss it, lol. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 Its happened before it will happen again. Last year this time it would have been impossible and unreasonable to conclude we could pull this off. At least the players are on the field and it's the euro sniffing it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 Disappointing to see the 1st event turn so warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 Look, we'll continue to hear from the boo birds about how it's late march and the sun angle produces a sfc temp of 790 degrees. And while sun angle is absolutely a factor, anybody who isn't climo challenged knows it can snow here in mid late march with the right set up. Is it likely, probably not. Pattern is ripe, so lets do it. Not you too. It is not going to snow within 100 miles of the cities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 Not you too. It is not going to snow within 100 miles of the cities. Why not? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 Why not? geography brain burp. i'd definitely take the under if anything close to what's shown happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 Much better GFS run, keeps the PV in place with energy coming from the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 geography brain burp. i'd definitely take the under if anything close to what's shown happens. Nah, this next storm is going to make a lot more of its own cold air. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 geography brain burp. i'd definitely take the under if anything close to what's shown happens. I am assuming the models are wrong yet again. I am still digging out from the last modeled blizzard so perhaps Fozz is on to something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 I am assuming the models are wrong yet again. I am still digging out from the last modeled blizzard so perhaps Fozz is on to something. Hard to see it not favoring elevation but there is some like 35-50 miles from here. Air mass could be a colder look but also 10+ later so might cancel out. Who knows. Euro hit 95 a few times from far out with last. My personal thought is better if we don't get strung along for another week long session but if its going to be cold might as well snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 Spent all day outside and had dinner by the backyard fire put. It's crazy that were gonna get buried next weekend. Bring it. All in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 NAM at 81 is within range of the beginning of Thursday's 0z GFS run whose 144h panel will probably or not show precipitating of some various type from a sliding coastal cutter. Too soon to worry about column layer boundaries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 NAM at 81 is within range of the beginning of Thursday's 0z GFS run whose 144h panel will probably or not show precipitating of some various type from a sliding coastal cutter. Too soon to worry about column layer boundaries. hmmm, I wonder why I never thought of that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 Only thing I'm worried about is if the Euro has enough colors to display 36"-48" it's going to show over all of us. It may knock us down because it has to reuse the 3-6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 Massive storm on the Euro...968 mb at 216. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 I will take WTH is the EURO smoking from Day 7 to Day 9 please Alex Per Earthlight at 204 from the NYC forum -- Euro has a 982mb low sitting off the coast of New Jersey at 204 hours just slamming the area with snow...that's all you need to know. Anybody have 192-204? Just for sh**s and giggles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 I will take WTH is the EURO smoking from Day 7 to Day 9 please Alex Per Earthlight at 204 from the NYC forum -- Euro has a 982mb low sitting off the coast of New Jersey at 204 hours just slamming the area with snow...that's all you need to know. Anybody have 192-204? Just for sh**s and giggles? Low sitting over the Southern Mid Atlantic dropping 6 mb from 192-198. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravenmaniac Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 Another classic battle I guess. GFS shows temps near 50 during that time period. As much as I'd love for the Euro to be correct and salvage this winter, we have to admit climatology is definitely on the side of the GFS. It doesn't look like there will be a cold air mass coming in before this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 looking at the 24 hr increment maps, it's too far north for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 looking at the 24 hr increment maps, it's too far north for us You can pretty much take that to the bank. But on an up note, we get to share in the well below cold through the period, so we go that going for us...just a brutal turn of events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 looking at the 24 hr increment maps, it's too far north for us It may trend north, but as depicted by this Euro run, it's 12-18 inches of snow from southwest Va through DC/BWI and up to Boston. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 Really Euro?? Hundreds of pools in the area are being de-winterized in my profession starting this week. Last nights solution could cause serious problems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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