psuhoffman Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 The airmass during that period is still crap, why would we expect any different result? Truth is there is not real cold air available right now, we got the perfect pattern but the cold from Janaury and Feb was lost and is on the other side of the globe and we have maritime air flooded across the country. Blocking or not, we need a cold air source at this point in the year, and I can't believe I didnt think of that before this total debacle. After the southern slider the euro says we get some true polar air to inject down, but I am way too down to really analyze it right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 The airmass during that period is still crap, why would we expect any different result? Truth is there is not real cold air available right now, we got the perfect pattern but the cold from Janaury and Feb was lost and is on the other side of the globe and we have maritime air flooded across the country. Blocking or not, we need a cold air source at this point in the year, and I can't believe I didnt think of that before this total debacle. After the southern slider the euro says we get some true polar air to inject down, but I am way too down to really analyze it right now. worst part of this winter was when we had a week or so of temps under 32 and nothing to show for it. Thats worse than yesterdays bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 How is it looking for December 5th? In all seriousness, I could have sworn in the anomalous 2002 - 2003 winter we had April snow.. anyone have anything on it? I remember the results were a lot like yesterday where it snowed it was a slushy mess... I had a half inch on 4/7/03...I also had 3 inches on 3/30/03. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 The airmass during that period is still crap, why would we expect any different result? Truth is there is not real cold air available right now, we got the perfect pattern but the cold from Janaury and Feb was lost and is on the other side of the globe and we have maritime air flooded across the country. Blocking or not, we need a cold air source at this point in the year, and I can't believe I didnt think of that before this total debacle. After the southern slider the euro says we get some true polar air to inject down, but I am way too down to really analyze it right now. We'll be like ric yesterday. Thundersnow and 2-3" per hour. Or maybe the ccb sets up at night. This is going to be awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 where is that thread where i rant about how Boston gets snow from any situation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 March 18-20 time frame FTW...the flakes will be flying. I would wait until March 17 to start the thread, though. MDstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
asdfk Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 March 18-20 time frame FTW...the flakes will be flying. I would wait until March 21 to start the thread, though. MDstorm. Fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 You people are sick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 You people are sick. Not any sicker than you. You changed your avatar back but you still left the snow for all crap underneath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhi Cove Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 You people are sick. The last dealer hasn't had time to settle into his jail cell, and the addicts are already looking for their new crack fix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 If the 0z gfs shows anything interesting I might stay up for the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 If the 0z gfs shows anything interesting I might stay up for the euro Yep - we are addicts! Jimmy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 I still can't believe this storm busted so badly for you guys... Chasing winter storms is like being in an abusive relationship... and you just walked in on your Victoria Secret girlfriend sleeping with someone else.. But hey its ok... cause she said I'm sorry and in 7-10 days one of her friends from work is coming over to visit and you can have a threes.. er triple phaser so you go all in again.. It's like that for all snow weenies no matter what region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 If the 0z gfs shows anything interesting I might stay up for the euro Yes. You are all very sick. Any Great Lakes low screws us -- channeling Wes. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 You people are sick. Not any sicker than you. You changed your avatar back but you still left the snow for all crap underneath. My avatar held serve.... Hopefully I can change mine as well by 2018. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 Hopefully the Euro at least shows the southern slider. If there was ever a time to say it, it is now. We are due. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 I gotta see the radar as to how I got almost 3" and 2 miles away from me nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 Flizzard! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 snow is flying in the Woodbridge area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 6z gfs shows a hecs on the 22nd. Nice bowling ball passing underneath. Blocking isn't crazy so it will blow up over us thus time. Bl sucks but it should manufacture its own cold and dynamics will take care of the rest. All in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 6z gfs shows a hecs on the 22nd. Nice bowling ball passing underneath. Blocking isn't crazy so it will blow up over us thus time. Bl sucks but it should manufacture its own cold and dynamics will take care of the rest. All in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 In all seriousness... Amazing how the warmth it had in the long range died again to the hands of the European Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 As of today, the warm up in the extended has been expanded for my area. Now showing 60's and 70's for roughly two weeks in the southern Mid-Atl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 All multi year ninas and neutrals following multi year ninas are followed by ninos. The #'s don't lie. I'm going with 86-87, 02-03, and 09-10 as analogs for next winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nflwxman Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 All multi year ninas and neutrals following multi year ninas are followed by ninos. The #'s don't lie. I'm going with 86-87, 02-03, and 09-10 as analogs for next winter. Lates CFSv2 data suggests a weak niño forming in the summer becoming borderline moderate FWIW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 6z gfs shows a hecs on the 22nd. Nice bowling ball passing underneath. Blocking isn't crazy so it will blow up over us thus time. Bl sucks but it should manufacture its own cold and dynamics will take care of the rest. All in. Let's see what the Euro says...I'm all in if it comes aboard for the d 14 HECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 Lates CFSv2 data suggests a weak niño forming in the summer becoming borderline moderate FWIW Borderline Nina neutral coming up then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 Lates CFSv2 data suggests a weak niño forming in the summer becoming borderline moderate FWIW It would be worth a hell of a lot if it came to pass. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 Let's see what the Euro says...I'm all in if it comes aboard for the d 14 HECS. We're a very resilient bunch. well, we have to be or else we would implode and vaporize. I believe there is a chance at snow this month. So if you go with chance/no chance with no hedge it's 50/50. All in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 Lates CFSv2 data suggests a weak niño forming in the summer becoming borderline moderate FWIWI wish I had 200 years of data to go with but since that doesn't exist you can only hedge with what you have. There have been no instances of nina-neutral-nina in over 60 years. So, the 2 most likely outcomes would be another neutral or a nino. I could deal with either. Another neutral (especially warm neutral) is far from a kiss of death because we'll be pretty far removed from the multi-year nina effect. Is it too early to start a winter 13/14 long range thread? CFS hourly panels with have december in range soon. Nothing like a 249 day prog of a 6 hour height/precip panel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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