Midlo Snow Maker Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 sick qpf totals 3" near RIC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 low goes from eliz city south to hse at 126 Yeah. I guess the block is stronger? It's odd how it does that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Huh? Dc does well. Go 25-50 south out your door and youre crushed. 4 days out your fine deb. i think the Euro Run with the GFS ensembles says we are still in good shape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 .7" isn't really fringed... I dont care if we get 4-8 dc is more on the .5" line to me.. tho it's a realllly tight gradient. qpf is way down dc and north from earlier. if the deform band sets up to our south we're not going to be too excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Euro is not north. But it is not as bad as the rest of the 0z guidance. I lost 1" of qpf in 12 hours...gotta love that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sonickteam Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Does anything get north to BWI? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 .7" isn't really fringed... I dont care if we get 4-8 The problem is we need to be flushed to get an all snow event...if we get semi-fringed, 0.7" would probably end up being 2-3" for me and you as we would waste QPF, mix, etc...not to get into the minutia but just to see the overall picture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 .75 wont cut it by the way. that wont accumulate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Huh? Dc does well. Go 25-50 south out your door and youre crushed. 4 days out your fine deb. That was my impression. And with the 2" line a mere 50 miles south, not really much to complain about. Remember how '96 was supposed to stay south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazeKing Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 How about temps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 dc is more on the .5" line to me.. tho it's a realllly tight gradient. qpf is way down dc and north from earlier. if the deform band sets up to our south we're not going to be too excited. I think I am going to go with zwyts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Look. It's not as much as 12z, but we're still in this. 4 days left and we're still gonna see wild swings. I think it's just good to hear it's in the same ballpark as what 12Z had at this point, rather than showing a miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Huh? Dc does well. Go 25-50 south out your door and youre crushed. 4 days out your fine deb. lol.. yeah if the last two runs didn't shift size ably south. it's all in interpretation.. i'll let ppl fish for their 2'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 dc is more on the .5" line to me.. tho it's a realllly tight gradient. qpf is way down dc and north from earlier. if the deform band sets up to our south we're not going to be too excited. Talking about deform bands 4 days out is like talking about rain/snow lines. Its a decent run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 ezf,cho, roa lyh rdu 2"+ ric /williamsmburg pushing 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 just dont get how we are always too north or too south for storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 How about temps? warm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 I think I am going to go with zwyts you can go with whoever you want.. im staring at the maps. the .5" does end up to our north so we might be closer to .75" but honestly who cares about that level of detail in this range. night.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 its a disastrous run. Without heavy precip....its too warm. It wont stick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 .75 wont cut it by the way. that wont accumulate it'll probably trend north...but we are going to have to battle all the adverse elements anyway..you are in a good spot though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 DC is .78 as is JYO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 lol.. yeah if the last two runs didn't shift size ably south. it's all in interpretation.. i'll let ppl fish for their 2'. I know you like to see the negative in everything but really......50-75 mile shift over 4 days is plausible if not likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 BWI is .35 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 I know you like to see the negative in everything but really......50-75 mile shift over 4 days is plausible if not likely. a lot of things are going to change with this one...so parsing over these gradients is kind of silly for any of us....I like it to shift north...I dont think it will miss us to the south...but all the other outstanding issues remain..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 we need this to exit of the VA Capes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 a lot of things are going to change with this one...so parsing over these gradients is kind of silly for any of us....I like it to shift north...I dont think it will miss us to the south...but all the other outstanding issues remain..... is there any phasing or is it all bowling ball driven? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 euro does the stall over NE nc that should be fun to watch on the radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 BWI is .35 and EZF is probably 1.75 it is a sharp gradient...I doubt those details will change much in the next 5 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 I know you like to see the negative in everything but really......50-75 mile shift over 4 days is plausible if not likely. I think its just as likely that the shift could be 50-75 miles south though. The models are struggling with the strength of the block. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 is there any phasing or is it all bowling ball driven? hybrid..i have crude maps but looks like there is interaction over WISC/MI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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