stormtracker Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 but too slow is bad I recall at least one, and pretty sure there were two, systems this year that slower was better but then it slowed too much and a GL low showed up on the scene a tough 100 hrs to come on this one I just hope it makes up its mind early on so I don't waste my time with it Why would you wanna see a fast, progressive bowling ball? Slow is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 00z has the h5 low a bit broader at 75 than it was at 18z... but basically in same place in NE. Southern energy in just about same place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 How's the block looking compared to 12z? Stronger by a smidge but the vortmax is stronger and slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Why would you wanna see a fast, progressive bowling ball? Slow is good. I said "too slow" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 2, 2013 Author Share Posted March 2, 2013 Looks to be more ridging in front of the 500 low. Someone who knows more can speculate what that does. Also slowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 The gradient in that storm was ridiculous-- 4" DCA to 11" Silver Spring to 19" Rockville to 35" (!!) Front Royal. Sounds good. Lock that up please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Great info. Thanks for posting it! Is the model run with the same resolution on all model runs? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 the 500 MB heights look to have the upper level low a little more closed off and slightly more north at 75 as compared to 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 ULL placement looks a lot like 12z so far to me. Less nosing towards the Great Lakes. I would think that would keep the NS vorts from not washing out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 On the whole debate on 18Z/06Z... I have been watching models for a long time and I am pretty sure those "off-hour runs" do more weird things than the 12Z/00Z runs. Yeah, maybe the folks at the NWS have stats that show at 500mb they are nearly as good as 12Z. And the UKMET is almost as good as the Euro even when it shows the low headed to Spain. For us weenies who look at the surface maps it isn't all that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 2, 2013 Author Share Posted March 2, 2013 Boy the heights in the western atl are lowering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Boy the heights in the western atl are lowering. Huh?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Boy the heights in the western atl are lowering. Block is moving east... looks better than 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 2, 2013 Author Share Posted March 2, 2013 Seems to be quite a different look to the 500 by about day 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 definitely slower than 12z 99hrs vs. 111hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 No ridgeing out ahead of it, this run is visiting the deep south despite starting at a higher latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 2, 2013 Author Share Posted March 2, 2013 Huh?? I'm just looking at height lines. Look how much further south the 540 line is vs earlier runs. I'm not saying its bad. Truth is, I don't know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 No ridgeing out ahead of it, this run is visiting the deep south despite starting at a higher latitude. if it moves due east, it'll hit us, but I don't know to what extent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Jesus... thats one powerful h5 vort... 3 closed contours in SC at 111 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Jesus... thats one powerful h5 vort... 3 closed contours in SC at 111 no northern vort to pull it north like 12z had though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 No ridgeing out ahead of it, this run is visiting the deep south despite starting at a higher latitude. Yeah there's nothing to turn it north this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 I'm here with Matt. Getting panels quicker..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Whiff, great run for folks down in SW Va and mtns of NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Well at least it's better than 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 GFS keeps says no Nrn stream S/W this run. It did this 48hrs out on 12/6/2003 setup. If I had to guess, they'll be one and it will phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 a real waste of vorticity at 120 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Well at least it's better than 12z You mean 18z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Still time to change... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 The issue is since the GFS has lost the northern piece theres no mechanism to phase it and bring it north so we need it to be farther north when it heads east like the NAM/EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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