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March Med/Long Range Disco


WinterWxLuvr

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  On 3/11/2013 at 4:28 PM, nflwxman said:

The precip field looks like the start of the Euro storm, except displaced about 200 miles north.  Probably not going to cut it.

 

Well, we'll probably get rain...looks warm for us.  I know, shocking.  I wish that h5 low up in Canada was farther south and more easter.

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  On 3/11/2013 at 4:38 PM, stormtracker said:

 I'm in it to win.    Euro will restore full confidence again.

The gfs was showing a cutter with this last storm and the euro won out with the nofolk track.  Wash rinse repeat with the Euro in this blocking pattern.  The GFS cutter is wrong.

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  On 3/11/2013 at 4:34 PM, stormtracker said:

That's a beautiful cutter.   :facepalm:

 

Congrats New England.  

 

I need Bob Chill in here.  He's a believer.   We're like a cult.  

 

 

lol- i told you guys I'm not getting all kinds of crazy invested with each run. Just a quick glance for each is plenty.

 

I do see the proverbial carrot.... There's a 552dm closed ridge on the sw side of greenland & retrograding closed ull in the maritimes in the 168ish timeframe. Give me that first and I'll worry about low track second.

 

IF there's a storm in this timeframe it has equal chances of going above, below, or over us.

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  On 3/11/2013 at 6:12 PM, Ji said:

it seems like we have had blocking most of the year but its never really helped us.

 

Not really to be honest. We haven't really had any meaningful blocking around greenland the whole winter until the second half of feb. There was a short period in the first half of Dec but it was overruled by the disgusting pac setup.

 

These stalled ull's over the maritimes are a new thing this year. All our 50/50's slid out of the way a let everything cut west all year because blocking sucked.

 

Now we have good blocking but so late in the season we need an anomalous airmass. Nobody can line things up quite like us here in the ma. Nobody.

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  On 3/11/2013 at 6:36 PM, Ian said:

first event sun-mon looks healthy tho not sure how well slow snow over 24 hours is going to accum if it happens. stuff at night at least maybe.

 

Overrunning event looks suspiciously okay... main event after turns into big lakes cutter

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  On 3/11/2013 at 6:38 PM, Ji said:

I heard main event is lake cutter due to block being too east. What a disaster

only out to 174.. plus we just got 8-12 at that pt so who cares.

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  On 3/11/2013 at 6:12 PM, Ji said:

it seems like we have had blocking most of the year but its never really helped us.

Blocking doesn't do us much good unless it is in the right places.  There has been high latitude blocking, but usually in the wrong locations to be of any use to us.  We have finally gotten blocking in the right places in March, and we did finally get a storm, but unfortunately it was March and not January.  I know things did not come together perfect, but if it was January that would have been a 8-12" snowstorm for DC, and we would be looking at the potential for more in a different light also.

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  On 3/11/2013 at 6:43 PM, Ji said:

wow the overrunning event is very cold. Temps at below 32. If we can get that block to the west.......for the main event

looks nice but it's over like 30 hours. not sure i can believe in that.

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