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March Med/Long Range Disco


WinterWxLuvr

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P6_GZ_D5_PN_144_0000.gif

 

GGEM also shows southern slider

Central South Carolina Always gets my attention.  It can snow even into April in DC under ideal conditions and for DC the conditions have to be mostly ideal All the time. What is different than DJF is the day before and the day after are usually near 50.

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Central South Carolina Always gets my attention.  It can snow even into April in DC under ideal conditions and for DC the conditions have to be mostly ideal All the time. What is different than DJF is the day before and the day after are usually near 50.

 

no high.. looks torchy. not sure why you'd be interested in this one if you weren't with the last.

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The airmass during that period is still crap, why would we expect any different result?  Truth is there is not real cold air available right now, we got the perfect pattern but the cold from Janaury and Feb was lost and is on the other side of the globe and we have maritime air flooded across the country.  Blocking or not, we need a cold air source at this point in the year, and I can't believe I didnt think of that before this total debacle.  After the southern slider the euro says we get some true polar air to inject down, but I am way too down to really analyze it right now. 

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The airmass during that period is still crap, why would we expect any different result?  Truth is there is not real cold air available right now, we got the perfect pattern but the cold from Janaury and Feb was lost and is on the other side of the globe and we have maritime air flooded across the country.  Blocking or not, we need a cold air source at this point in the year, and I can't believe I didnt think of that before this total debacle.  After the southern slider the euro says we get some true polar air to inject down, but I am way too down to really analyze it right now. 

worst part of this winter was when we had a week or so of temps under 32 and nothing to show for it. Thats worse than yesterdays bust

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How is it looking for December 5th?

In all seriousness, I could have sworn in the anomalous 2002 - 2003 winter we had April snow.. anyone have anything on it? I remember the results were a lot like yesterday where it snowed it was a slushy mess...

I had a half inch on 4/7/03...I also had 3 inches on 3/30/03.

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The airmass during that period is still crap, why would we expect any different result?  Truth is there is not real cold air available right now, we got the perfect pattern but the cold from Janaury and Feb was lost and is on the other side of the globe and we have maritime air flooded across the country.  Blocking or not, we need a cold air source at this point in the year, and I can't believe I didnt think of that before this total debacle.  After the southern slider the euro says we get some true polar air to inject down, but I am way too down to really analyze it right now. 

 

We'll be like ric yesterday. Thundersnow and 2-3" per hour. Or maybe the ccb sets up at night.  This is going to be awesome. 

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I still can't believe this storm busted so badly for you guys... Chasing winter storms is like being in an abusive relationship... and you just walked in on your Victoria Secret girlfriend sleeping with someone else.. But hey its ok... cause she said  I'm sorry and in 7-10 days one of her friends from work is coming over to visit and you can have a threes.. er triple phaser so you go all in again..   :lmao: 

 

It's like that for all snow weenies no matter what region.

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All multi year ninas and neutrals following multi year ninas are followed by ninos. The #'s don't lie. I'm going with 86-87, 02-03, and 09-10 as analogs for next winter.

Lates CFSv2 data suggests a weak niño forming in the summer becoming borderline moderate FWIW

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6z gfs shows a hecs on the 22nd. Nice bowling ball passing underneath. Blocking isn't crazy so it will blow up over us thus time. Bl sucks but it should manufacture its own cold and dynamics will take care of the rest. All in.

Let's see what the Euro says...I'm all in if it comes aboard for the d 14 HECS.

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