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March Med/Long Range Disco


WinterWxLuvr

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It also has the upper low farther n than the 06Z 90 hr GFS so in that sense you are correct.  I'm not sure it means much either way. 

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I believe he was referring to the 2 monster Feb storms...If I recall correctly, those were modeled pretty well.

I should have been more specific. I meant to say the 2009-2010 winter. I can't recall which one trended more north than we may have expected. Could have been the one in DEc but my memory tells me that it was not only a mild surprise because of the trend but also because we had already been hit hard that winter.

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still a mainly west of dc snow accum verbatim.

 

Yea, pretty much. It's nice to see the 850 low track in more traditional fashion instead of those weird s jogs. Almost due e off obx is better than some weird se movement.

 

I took a real close look @ h5 leading in. It's close to letting the lp turn the corner a little more. That would be the ideal best case. It could be more wrapped and have a better chance @ drawing in what little cold air there is available and put us right in the heavy qpf max. I'm not weenieing out. It's a stretch but not off the table. 

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Yea, pretty much. It's nice to see the 850 low track in more traditional fashion instead of those weird s jogs. Almost due e off obx is better than some weird se movement.

 

I took a real close look @ h5 leading in. It's close to letting the lp turn the corner a little more. That would be the ideal best case. It could be more wrapped and have a better chance @ drawing in what little cold air there is available and put us right in the heavy qpf max. I'm not weenieing out. It's a stretch but not off the table. 

Wouldn't history dictate a more ne movement at some point?

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