Allsnow Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Hr 45 light preciep up to Ttn 12z gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Hr 45 on the GFS, precip knocking on the door of Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 GFS is more amped up through 42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 12z 12km WSI RPM crushes the tri-state area... 10-24 inches by 12z March 07. The same RPM that gave us 36" for numerous runs before the 2/8 storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Hr 48 light precip for everyone, it's well north of the NAM. Surface low is over eastern VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Wow this is real tuck in again. Not going to cave this run. Preciep up to northern PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ny747pilot Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Hr 45 light preciep up to Ttn 12z gfsHr 42 you can see that roque s/w retrograding back w Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 This is going to be a big hit for us, hr 54 the surface low is just east of Ocean City, MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 This is going to be a big hit for us, hr 54 the surface low is just east of Ocean City, MD. Wow, looks even more north from 6z. Hoping on a cave from the Euro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Getting dangerously warm for DCA on the 12z GFS with the storm trending further west and inland... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 This run is warmer at the surface than the NAM but all other layers are below freezing. Hr 57 everyone from I-78 south is in moderate precip. Light precip for everyone else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Hr 60 the whole area is getting crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Hour 60 most of us are getting a good hit, especially the western and southern sections of the forum. The city is on the edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 992 Ccb into area at hr 63 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazess556 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Solid run from the GFS. 500 mb low is further northwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ny747pilot Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Hr 60 the whole area is getting crushedthe isobars are so tightly packed, the wind is going to be howling with this solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Ukmet just bump north again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazess556 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 The same RPM that gave us 36" for numerous runs before the 2/8 storm? You are correct. I was just relaying what it predicted... by no means do I believe it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Hour 66 the low is about 150 miles SE of ACY moving eastward. Still light to moderate precip for everyone. The surface is cooling. Hr 69 sub 988 low heading towards the benchmark. Light precip back to the DE river. Moderate precip from about I-95 east. Heavy precip for the twin forks and eastern New England. Boston getting smoked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Down to 989 on gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ridingtime Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 There is something to be said for the GFS's consistency. But unless the Euro caves next, it is basically setting itself up for an incredible embrassment or a much needed redemption. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 LOL . Boston hr 72 , where have i seen that before ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Hrs 69-75 it's nearly stalled. Eastern MA getting hammered. We're still getting the wrap around snows. 0.75" + for everyone. Greater Boston area in excess of 2.0". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Wow, monster hit for NYC this run. CCB sits over the area as the low stalls and spins offshore. Very potent pressure gradient as well with the 552dm block over Quebec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Look at this windfield on the NJ shore and New England , this is a BLIZZARD in SNE . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Seems counter-intuitive but at this point we're better off hoping that the ULL actually slows down moving out of SE Canada...this allows that weird rogue shortwave to phase further west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Wow, monster hit for NYC this run. CCB sits over the area as the low stalls and spins offshore. Very potent pressure gradient as well with the 552dm block over Quebec. So what are the snow amounts from NYC to Western Monmouth? Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ny747pilot Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 There is something to be said for the GFS's consistency. But unless the Euro caves next, it is basically setting itself up for an incredible embrassment or a much needed redemption. Honestly if we don't get agreement from the Euro, its still hard to bet against the Euro. What I will give NCEP though, especially the GFS, as it continues to show that shortwave retrograding back into N NYS on 12z, being an American model and slightly better with those small disturbances I will lean some heavier weight towards NCEP. Like its been stated before, the block doesn't seem to be the issue here, if it was strictly that I would ride the Euro into the sunset. This case it looks like the small scale features, ie that shortwave, create enough of a split in the ULL to allow for very brief height rises on the EC, which allows the precip to barrel North and then likewise the N stream to phase. This is incredibly complex with the smaller players and I'm not convinced the Euro is seeing that, nor is it necessarily geared to. This may be why the North American models are picking up what the Euro isn't . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 This is getting insane. I mean, c'mon. These models are SO far apart it's astounding. It's somewhat reminiscent of 2.8.13, in that the NAM and GFS were WAY east of the Euro before correcting --- then correcting back East right before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Close to 3" qpf near BOS ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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