Storm At Sea Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 GFS ensembles are much wetter but same position. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 This does look like a miller b at 132 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Miller B look continues. 0.1 precip line hits Pittsburgh and Philly already at 132 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Miller B look continues. 0.1 precip line hits Pittsburgh and Philly already at 132 hours. What happened to sc surface low? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Heights continue to rise at 138 hours with perhaps another piece of energy trying to dive in. 0.05" precip line is already hitting NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 What you guys are pointing out makes me think that the confluence is much, much weaker than previously progged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 looks like a big hit incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 What happened to sc surface low? It's taking over. 1008 mb low just SE of Virginia Beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Low coming up the coast at 150. Moderate precip in our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 What you guys are pointing out makes me think that the confluence is much, much weaker than previously progged. Yes. The block's orientation has greatly changed. In the previous run, the heights were oriented towards the Midwest...so much further west. Now, they are oriented much closer to the Atlantic. Thus, the downstream confluence is much further east...aka out of the way. And the high heights from the block are connecting to the SE ridging out ahead of our storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 500mb at 150 is wow!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Big hit at 150. .5"+ for DC and parts of NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Just hearing that would make me believe that we may have a MECS/HECS on our hands. Yes. The block's orientation has greatly changed. In the previous run, the heights were oriented towards the Midwest...so much further west. Now, they are oriented much closer to the Atlantic. Thus, the downstream confluence is much further east...aka out of the way. And the high heights from the block are connecting to the SE ridging out ahead of our storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 500mb at 150 is wow!! And omg do you see that other piece of energy in SE Canada that's trying to dive in? It might not do it in time but if it did... I know you don't have vorticity maps so it might be hard to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 156 is out of control weather porn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 So Canadian was on to something all along...It took the S/W into the Great Lakes at 12z...now Euro and Canadian are pretty similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 HUGE hit at 156. .75"+ of precip from EWR through lots of Long Island with even a 1" QPF bullseye near Western Long Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Holy crow that is a monster of a hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Wow. Big hit. Every run has been different. Good trends tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 "Somebody" is going to have a meltdown tonight after he said that tonight's Canadian was bull****. Hilarious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Storm stalls out at 162 just south of our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Another .75" of precip for Long Island at 162 hours. Everywhere else is a solid .5 to .75". Huge cutoff bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Storm stalls out at 162 just south of our area. Does it have a CCB ongoing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Cough Cough...1993 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Another .75" of precip for Long Island at 162 hours. Everywhere else is a solid .5 to .75". Huge cutoff bomb. What about the KPHL area to the ABE region? Are they included? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 My home forum appears to be asleep at the switch on this one.. So, does southern new england get any Euro love on this run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Does it have a CCB ongoing? no...a massive cutoff bomb stalling just south of NYC does not have a cbb ongoing....come on dood, think! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leemhoc Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 How much precip total so far for central to western LI, I'm on Nassau Suffolk border. Another .75" of precip for Long Island at 162 hours. Everywhere else is a solid .5 to .75". Huge cutoff bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 no...a massive cutoff bomb stalling just south of NYC does not have a cbb ongoing....come one dood, think! Well I meant like is it a big broad one, or a tight on closer to the low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 It's some 6+ days out unfortunately but when the Euro is on to something big, it's usually right and it's been targeting this storm for a few days now. There's going to be plenty of shuffling with the models for a while, but hopefully the ultimate solution is something that the Euro/Canadian show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.