PhineasC Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 The NAM is always great for model porn shots. Handing out blobs of purples like candy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 God, is there anything worse than Yoda model analysis? Yoda posting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I can't stand when people predict what the models will do. I predict that in a couple hours the GFS will run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Yoda posting? Poor guy is taking a beating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 ok nobody else would put it ups so I will. Frikin Ridiculous: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Wow sharp cutoff right around I-95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 The only snow maps I post are the NAM and DGEX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 The only snow maps I post are the NAM and DGEX They are the ones that will make us feel the worst after we break the streak with 2.5" of slush. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 They are the ones that will make us feel the worst after we break the streak with 2.5" of slush. the worst would be if we get like 1.8" and we're the only spot left that has the 2" snow streak still intact. i feel moderately good we'll blow it out of the water.. well, maybe not blow it out of the water at dca. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 the worst would be if we get like 1.8" and we're the only spot left that has the 2" snow streak still intact. i feel moderately good we'll blow it out of the water.. well, maybe not blow it out of the water at dca. Well DCA could get 1.8 and Capitol Hill would have 8 so who knows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 can the awful PA posters please be directed back to their subforum? I like how people think the subforums are defined based on climo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Dave's euro map has Leesburg at 3-6" DCA the same and BWI at 1-2" I've seldom rooted as hard for anything as I am for DT and his Euro humping to bust on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 I like how people think the subforums are defined based on climo in a lot of ways the same can be said about people who think it should be 100% divided by an arbitrary line. initially the state guidance was guidance.. again, there are people in far s pa that fit in with our weather more than people in sw va etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I won't be comfortable unless the 0z NAM gives me 4" of liquid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 in a lot of ways the same can be said about people who think it should be 100% divided by an arbitrary line. initially the state guidance was guidance.. again, there are people in far s pa that fit in with our weather more than people in sw va etc. Yeah that makes sense. I guess it depends on a lot of factors too like what exactly they are posting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 i really like the cips analogs from what i've seen. pretty awesome it keeps showing snowmageddon. hecs baby hecs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 i really like the cips analogs from what i've seen. pretty awesome it keeps showing snowmageddon. hecs baby hecs. We really do seem to be feast or famine with a lot of things lately lol. Severe included. Hell of a way to end the 2 inch streak if it happens like it's being shown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 weenie mode activated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 weenie mode activated When did we start to get the runs in Feb '10 that increased QPF with every 6 hrs? Was it this timeframe, or inside of it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benjammin Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I can understand the excitement the GFS (and other models) is causing for DC metro brethren, but what makes it so much more a likely scenario than the Euro solution which has been pretty consistent in its portrayal as well? The 12Z Euro ensembles went a tick south; fwiw. UK and Canadian models are south of the GFS too I think, I believe (NAM and JMA north of the Euro). The post may well be moot come 1:30am this morning and 1:30pm tomorrow if the Euro moves to the GFS solution, but it seems like there's just a bit of tunnel thinking going on here. Obviously, living in Central VA I'd love for the Euro solution to verify, but I don't assume it will, just as I wouldn't assume if the GFS showed a huge hit for Richmond and nothing for DC Metro that would automatically be correct either. If I were living in the DC area (which I did for over 30 years) I'd be hugging the GFS like my long lost aunt too. I'm just surprised there isn't a little more balance and caution being displayed, although I imagine that is a product of the fact that the vast majority of posters come from the DC Metro area. Just an observation, I really appreciate everyone's enthusiasm and those who so graciously share their vast meteorological knowledge and make it more understandable for those of us less skilled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I can understand the excitement the GFS (and other models) is causing for DC metro brethren, but what makes it so much more a likely scenario than the Euro solution which has been pretty consistent in its portrayal as well? The 12Z Euro ensembles went a tick south; fwiw. UK and Canadian models are south of the GFS too I think, I believe (NAM and JMA north of the Euro). The post may well be moot come 1:30am this morning and 1:30pm tomorrow if the Euro moves to the GFS solution, but it seems like there's just a bit of tunnel thinking going on here. Obviously, living in Central VA I'd love for the Euro solution to verify, but I don't assume it will, just as I wouldn't assume if the GFS showed a huge hit for Richmond and nothing for DC Metro that would automatically be correct either. If I were living in the DC area (which I did for over 30 years) I'd be hugging the GFS like my long lost aunt too. I'm just surprised there isn't a little more balance and caution being displayed, although I imagine that is a product of the fact that the vast majority of posters come from the DC Metro area. Just an observation, I really appreciate everyone's enthusiasm and those who so graciously share their vast meteorological knowledge and make it more understandable for those of us less skilled. I don't think reasonable people have completely latched on to the gfs, but rather that it didn't fold to the euro. We live for another model run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I can understand the excitement the GFS (and other models) is causing for DC metro brethren, but what makes it so much more a likely scenario than the Euro solution which has been pretty consistent in its portrayal as well? The 12Z Euro ensembles went a tick south; fwiw. UK and Canadian models are south of the GFS too I think, I believe (NAM and JMA north of the Euro). The post may well be moot come 1:30am this morning and 1:30pm tomorrow if the Euro moves to the GFS solution, but it seems like there's just a bit of tunnel thinking going on here. Obviously, living in Central VA I'd love for the Euro solution to verify, but I don't assume it will, just as I wouldn't assume if the GFS showed a huge hit for Richmond and nothing for DC Metro that would automatically be correct either. If I were living in the DC area (which I did for over 30 years) I'd be hugging the GFS like my long lost aunt too. I'm just surprised there isn't a little more balance and caution being displayed, although I imagine that is a product of the fact that the vast majority of posters come from the DC Metro area. Just an observation, I really appreciate everyone's enthusiasm and those who so graciously share their vast meteorological knowledge and make it more understandable for those of us less skilled. Even the Euro is a 6-8 inch storm for DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Where have you been? Mods, I'd put this in banter but I haven't figured out how to copy a quote and keep it a quote. Hit MultiQuote and then go to the other thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Hit MultiQuote and then go to the other thread. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 It apears DT hasn't made reference to the GFS on his FB page in more than a day.. God, this will be such an epic bust for him if the Euro ends up folding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I don't think reasonable people have completely latched on to the gfs, but rather that it didn't fold to the euro. We live for another model run. This ^^^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 When did we start to get the runs in Feb '10 that increased QPF with every 6 hrs? Was it this timeframe, or inside of it? About the same time I think. The NAM was going ballistic with QPF like it always does. We all wrote it off then the GFS came around about the same. If I remember it was at 76 hours or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I don't think reasonable people have completely latched on to the gfs, but rather that it didn't fold to the euro. We live for another model run. The canadian is almost identical to the GFS and NAM..The Euro and British model are alone right now. I'm not saying they are not right. Just they are alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 All that QPF and we only get 12-16 inches? Seriously? Can we get this crap into banter? Although I'm not even sure it's worthy of banter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAOS Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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