H2O Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Why can't some people shut up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Why can't some people shut up? You hate me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 This has all the makings of some serious heartbreak....yeesh..some outlet will call for 12-18 in some area and all they will get is rain and a slushy inch....you watch I think if the bullseye ends up in the south central VA it will underperform. If the bullseye ends up around DC/BWI you'll see maximized amounts out of the usual spots in northern MD and northern VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 You hate me Never. You liked my pancakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Well I just pulled the snowblower out of the shed and got it fired up for the first time since Feb 2010. Almost forgot where I put my 2 stroke oil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Well I just pulled the snowblower out of the shed and got it fired up for the first time since Feb 2010. Almost forgot where I put my 2 stroke oil. It should get a nice cleaning with 2" of slush. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I'm not even rooting for my backyard anymore...I am rooting against DT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Newport News 18" Hagerstown partly sunny 45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Final call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 HM is one of those rare mets that really doesn't seem to have a bias for his own backyard. If he has a bias it is that he is always looking for the most fascinating or weird aspect of a potential event from a meteorological perspective. I can respect that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 This is truly the best chance for a MECS in The DC area in years. I've been debating flying up to my mom's in Vienna, VA for this, but my threshold is 24"+. If I spent $400 and a couple of vacation days on this and got only 18-20" (which is optimistic given time of year), I probably will be quite disappointed because I've seen my share of 22-28" storms. I can't see a scenario where we even remotely approach 24" in the western beltway burbs. Even if we somehow end up on the high side of QPF guidance, we still can't get past the fact that the surface will be 32-34 and the ratios will stink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I can't see a scenario where we even remotely approach 24" in the western beltway burbs. Even if we somehow end up on the high side of QPF guidance, we still can't get past the fact that the surface will be 32-34 and the ratios will stink. Yeah, upper limit more like 12-15 IMO. Still a monster storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I can't see a scenario where we even remotely approach 24" in the western beltway burbs. Even if we somehow end up on the high side of QPF guidance, we still can't get past the fact that the surface will be 32-34 and the ratios will stink. That's my thinking as well, but it's still an exciting storm to track! If I still lived there, I would be happy to get 6"+ because y'all haven't had much fortitude with winters there. Still, someone might get 18"+ somewhere in VA (thinking higher elevations like blue ridge). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 So I have a guy wanting to bet me $50 that Bethesda won't get 6"....... I hate betting on weather, especially 3 days out, but I kinda want to jump on this. Measured in Bethesda. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Yeah, upper limit more like 12-15 IMO. Still a monster storm. 8-12 areawide would be extremely impressive for March, even early March. People lose site of this fact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dtk Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Just for fun: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 God, is there anything worse than Yoda model analysis? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Dave's euro map has Leesburg at 3-6" DCA the same and BWI at 1-2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I can't stand when people predict what the models will do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 God, is there anything worse than Yoda model analysis? Him posting what LWX thought last night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Lets just pretend that the NAMs got this....k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 The NAM is always great for model porn shots. Handing out blobs of purples like candy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 God, is there anything worse than Yoda model analysis? Yoda posting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I can't stand when people predict what the models will do. I predict that in a couple hours the GFS will run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Yoda posting? Poor guy is taking a beating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 ok nobody else would put it ups so I will. Frikin Ridiculous: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Wow sharp cutoff right around I-95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 The only snow maps I post are the NAM and DGEX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 The only snow maps I post are the NAM and DGEX They are the ones that will make us feel the worst after we break the streak with 2.5" of slush. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 They are the ones that will make us feel the worst after we break the streak with 2.5" of slush. the worst would be if we get like 1.8" and we're the only spot left that has the 2" snow streak still intact. i feel moderately good we'll blow it out of the water.. well, maybe not blow it out of the water at dca. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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