Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Soundings on 12z gfs really aren't that bad for the event in dc. Surface never comes close to going above 35. Some periods have it right near 32. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Soundings on 12z gfs really aren't that bad for the event in dc. Surface never comes close to going above 35. Some periods have it right near 32. I'll be 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I'll be 36 sucks to be you. I'll post pics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Gonna be wild seeing the gradient....people need to realize some will get more perhaps a lot more than others...reconcile this in your brains now and be happy with what you get...it's gonna snow..yay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Okay, need some location recommendations in N VA with elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Its a 45 minute drive for you to come out here. Come on out. We would love to see you. Of course, I meant no offense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 GFS weenie map reminds me of this a little: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 GFS weenie map reminds me of this a little: Yeah it comes together different but what it does to the south is similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Yeah it comes together different but what it does to the south is similar. I was thinking the same thing a couple days ago with the precip maps. I was like feb 10? but a different road getting there. It's been over 3 years since I've seen a pivoting deform band of snow on radar here. I spent the entire psu storm in bed with a 103 fever and the flu. I couldn't think straight let alone track the storm. Most import run of the euro in the history of the planet of the united states of the world coming up in a few. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 I was thinking the same thing a couple days ago with the precip maps. I was like feb 10? but a different road getting there. It's been over 3 years since I've seen a pivoting deform band of snow on radar here. I spent the entire psu storm in bed with a 103 fever and the flu. I couldn't think straight let alone track the storm. Most import run of the euro in the history of the planet of the united states of the world coming up in a few. I mentioned it a few times the last day or two. A lot of the 'look' is how we get slammed and there is a hard cutoff to the north.. Tho I suppose that part is still in question. As noted the CIPS analogs had both feb 9 and feb 6 in them. So it's kinda like a mesh of the two.. Feb 9 type drop in turnin into a feb 5-6 like event. If it was a month earlier... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Weather guy on WTOP radio this morning seems to be underestimating potential. Said mainly wet snow/rain with "maybe some accumulation" out by the Blue Ridge mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 When do the watches go up? After the 0z runs tonight I am guessing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 When do the watches go up? After the 0z runs tonight I am guessing. When do the watches go up? After the 0z runs tonight I am guessing. Sometime tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 When do the watches go up? After the 0z runs tonight I am guessing. Tomm afternoon most likely. Slight chance in the AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 When do the watches go up? After the 0z runs tonight I am guessing. If/when they do and when this is somewhat more nailed down, one would think tomorrow at some point. I think the upper limit on lead time is 48 hours out, if I'm not mistaken. And I've only seen that in very extreme situations where it's truly a lock (Feb. 5-6, 2010 comes to mind, and I believe Jan 1996 and the 1993 Superstorm, watches were put up way in advance). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Tomm afternoon most likely. Slight chance in the AM Maybe LWX can make up for that awful call on expanding a watch up into the DC metro area back in late January. After one or two great looking NAM runs but just about every model screamed suppression. Of course we barely saw a flake or two, if that. I know they had to play it cautious, but that was one of the more bizzarre calls I can remember and I think a lot of people were a bit shocked on this board. Seems a special wx statement of some sort would have been good in that case as a start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 When do the watches go up? After the 0z runs tonight I am guessing. I have a feeling LWX is going to bungle this one. After that last AFD where they talked about rain all the way to the Blue Ridge it would appear they are locked-in to a bearish course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I have a feeling LWX is going to bungle this one. After that last AFD where they talked about rain all the way to the Blue Ridge it would appear they are locked-in to a bearish course. Isnt that usually good news for us? No disrespect to LWX, but usually when they are like this... its good for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Snowquester. naming of storms, dumb Do you prefer Saturn? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Do you prefer Saturn? LOL I prefer calling it snow on March 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 This is truly the best chance for a MECS in The DC area in years. I've been debating flying up to my mom's in Vienna, VA for this, but my threshold is 24"+. If I spent $400 and a couple of vacation days on this and got only 18-20" (which is optimistic given time of year), I probably will be quite disappointed because I've seen my share of 22-28" storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I prefer the euro to stop being a torture chamber Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 LOL typical Euro. Stupid thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Why the heck did the storm name "announcement" warrant a post? If you're going to "officially name" a storm you might as well be TWC with better forecasters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Richmond peeps and the Euro vs. DC peeps and the GFS. Set it to a showtune and call it Mid-Atlantic story, the sequel to West Side Story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Snowquester Saturn. Horrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Lol it's never easy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Richmond peeps and the Euro vs. DC peeps and the GFS. Set it to a showtune and call it Mid-Atlantic story, the sequel to West Side Story. Good storyline. We could use a win up north tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Snowquester Saturn. Horrible. Did they really name it that??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Did they really name it that??? TWC = Saturn CWG = Snowquester...officially - even got a whole post on CWG Don't get me wrong - I love that whole group and they are good forecasters...but come on! Let followers be gained by your forecasts not by your social media skills I like how the fans commenting are playing up the "playing up the humor" - poor reason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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