Ian Posted March 2, 2013 Author Share Posted March 2, 2013 Boy DT sure makes the euro ensembles sound a heck of a lot more fun than Ian did...lol i decipher the models unemotionally.. people seem to take issue to that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 i decipher the models unemotionally.. people seem to take issue to that His interpretation is fairly unemotional.....it's just really juicy...like heavy juicy...I didn't get that impression from yours. Doesn't matter anyway and is not an indictment or an endorsement of either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 24 hr QPF from 18z DGEX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Ha, 4 kt? Isn't that the high resolution version of the Nam?, either way I was joking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 2, 2013 Author Share Posted March 2, 2013 His interpretation is fairly unemotional.....it's just really juicy...like heavy juicy...I didn't get that impression from yours. Doesn't matter anyway and is not an indictment or an endorsement of either i just took a look.. he's definitely stretching it a bit. they look good but drier than op, with snow accum a bit further east. dc is still more or less on the 4-8" line but a little closer where op might be 3-4". the max area is 12-18" with a bigger 8-12" area around it. not to mention it seems kind of unlikely we're going to avg 10:1 everywhere. i abhor hype.. i'd rather be totally dry and have people complain that im a downer or whatever silly thing they choose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 2, 2013 Author Share Posted March 2, 2013 24 hr QPF from 18z DGEX 18zdgexp24_NE108.gif lol man the qpf maps around here look a quite a bit like feb 5-6 2010... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 24 hr QPF from 18z DGEX 18zdgexp24_NE108.gif Cool. That looks right. Now I can stop model watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 if we don't get heavy heavy purpled with 18z gfs then we should be very very concerned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 about 10 flakes a second all afternoon. they are the brave pioneers. now they just need to call about 10 quintillion of their friends to follow them next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dtk Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Isn't that the high resolution version of the Nam?, either way I was joking. I assume you mean 4 km (not kt) NAM nest....which is the CONUS nest that is run inside of the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 I assume you mean 4 km (not kt) NAM nest....which is the CONUS nest that is run inside of the NAM. Yes exactly i am on my phone overseas and this swift key sucks, is it any better than the regular Nam at all?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dtk Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Yes exactly i am on my phone overseas and this swift key sucks, is it any better than the regular Nam at all?. Actually yes, it is quite decent for certain things. It's a 4 km model, so targeted to address local, convective, small scale features, etc. It still doesn't have its own assimilation (similar to the HRRR) so that hinders its usefulness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Actually yes, it is quite decent for certain things. It's a 4 km model, so targeted to address local, convective, small scale features, etc. It still doesn't have its own assimilation (similar to the HRRR) so that hinders its usefulness. Thanks for the explanation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 2, 2013 Author Share Posted March 2, 2013 huge LR call here https://twitter.com/islivingston/status/282693950446383104 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Lots of snow flakes in Oakton, heavier snow shower! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dtk Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 if we don't get heavy heavy purpled with 18z gfs then we should be very very concerned Congrats Bob, you've been 18z-gfs-purpled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vinylfreak89 Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 if this can phase, holy mother of god. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 So, yesterday we toss the 18z gfs and today we hug it? Silly weenies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 2, 2013 Author Share Posted March 2, 2013 So, yesterday we toss the 18z gfs and today we hug it? Silly weenies Don't worry someone said yesterday in that case everyone would run to the more realistic solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Wonder what Bob Ryan thinks now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Congrats Bob, you've been 18z-gfs-purpled. And I'm very comforted with the fact that I can give up 2 shades of purple and still be purpled. I should go to bed now and wake up Tuesday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 So, yesterday we toss the 18z gfs and today we hug it? Silly weenies Mets too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 And I'm very comforted with the fact that I can give up 2 shades of purple and still be purpled. I should go to bed now and wake up Tuesday night. Slow, deep breaths, Bob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 You'd think the GFS just showed a fish storm with all the fiesty posts in a discussion thread!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 DCAlexandra - Can't tell if he's joking sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Slow, deep breaths, Bob.I was mostly expecting a big hit with 18z. Many things went in our favor today. I didn't think the 18z would reverse it this time. That will be 0z's job. One nice takeaway was the first 60 hours of each model showed pretty much the same thing. That's an important window with this storm. I think chances of a massive shift are getting close to being over. Too bad we can still get royally shafted by a subtle shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 DCAlexandra - Can't tell if he's joking sometimes. He's definitely a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 2, 2013 Author Share Posted March 2, 2013 Anything less than one foot is a failure imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Anything less than one foot is a failure imo. Respect the purple Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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