Brian5671 Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 I stand corrected, he called for a normal December. Either way, epic bust everyone busted on December...I mean who is going to call for +8 let alone +11 I would not cast stones, your Jan call was pretty horrible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 everyone busted on December. I would not cast stones, your Jan call was pretty horrible I don't anyone could've anything like what we've seen thus far. Unprecedented December warmth and a record breaking blizzard a month later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 I don't anyone could've anything like what we've seen thus far. Unprecedented December warmth and a record breaking blizzard a month later. Not to mention a wild AO ride. From close to +5 to almost -5 and now forecast back up to +4. Dramamine anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 yeah he nailed the cold december 2016 wiuth all those cold is coming didnt he ? huh ? back in August he stated in his winter outlook - "December could be very warm " http://www.weatherbell.com/public-winter-15-16-forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 I'm curious to see how the rest of winter plays out. If it turns out to be mild with little to no additional snowfall then wouldn't the blizzard be considered a fluke/luck like 2006/1983. And what about if this winter turns out to be the warmest on record, which is definitely still in the cards. I think that is certainly on the table. But what a great storm it was, as was 83. 2006 was kinda meh here, but I do seem to recall JBcalling for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 January is also ending up well above normal after this mini torch. Jan will end up plus 2 One +18 and one + 15 is 1 of those 2 degrees. The month on balance was slightly AN . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 Jan will end up plus 2 One +18 and one + 15 is 1 of those 2 degrees. The month on balance was slightly AN . with several very cold outbreaks, Jan 4-7th and the week before the blizzard barely cracked freezing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 Aw man.. Damn Rjay & Bx are on point! It was getting good too! lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 ...was looking forward to seeing one of the better NYC OCMs' on WABC ch.7(lee goldberg) .. instead got one of the worst..no clue,no weather savvy,no insight,nada..SHE went on to say..'first 2 weeks of feb look well AN'.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Jan will end up plus 2 One +18 and one + 15 is 1 of those 2 degrees. The month on balance was slightly AN . +2 is solidly AN but because of Decembers outrageous warmth and the blizzard it doesn't feel that way. However away from the city we're much closer to normal so that portion checks out ok.So far your AN snowfalls working out but didn't you say winter would average +1 to +2 overall? If so then February better deliver some brutal cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 +2 is solidly AN but because of Decembers outrageous warmth and the blizzard it doesn't feel that way. However away from the city we're much closer to normal so that portion checks out ok. So far your AN snowfalls working out but didn't you say winter would average +1 to +2 overall? If so then February better deliver some brutal cold. Wrote off Dec from back in Aug Plus 1 2 with AN snow was always for J - M. Its in the enso thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 ...was looking forward to seeing one of the better NYC OCMs' on WABC ch.7(lee goldberg) .. instead got one of the worst..no clue,no weather savvy,no insight,nada..SHE went on to say..'first 2 weeks of feb look well AN'.. The fad of hiring only meteorologists for TV that took hold in the middle 90s and lasted into the early 2000s has mostly worn off. The last 8-10 years it's been like the 70s and 80s again, mostly non mets. I think the Tv stations realizes the public doesn't care if they are a degreed Met or not and many of them socially are inept Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 ...was looking forward to seeing one of the better NYC OCMs' on WABC ch.7(lee goldberg) .. instead got one of the worst..no clue,no weather savvy,no insight,nada..SHE went on to say..'first 2 weeks of feb look well AN'.. skip tv mets these days unless you want to poke your eyes out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdrenken Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 even though he was wrong about this week's storm coming west - he has been above average accurate about the overall pattern since last summer - so IMO have to highly consider what he is predicting down the road.... Incorrect...his period between Thanksgiving and Christmas was a disaster. "More wild than mild!" Not to mention this storm wasn't the only one that he was hyping to the core. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 Wrote off Dec from back in Aug Plus 1 2 with AN snow was always for J - M. Its in the enso thread Ah okay that makes more sense then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted January 31, 2016 Share Posted January 31, 2016 Jan will end up plus 2 One +18 and one + 15 is 1 of those 2 degrees. The month on balance was slightly AN . on a whole the month had 19-20 days above average, 6-8 below average and 4-6 average. thank god for that big storm or it would have sucked. ask the people 60 miles north what they thought of this January lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2016 Share Posted January 31, 2016 Larry Cosgrove Super active storm track along the eastern seaboard coupled with frequent Arctic intrusions for nearly all of February and the first half of March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted January 31, 2016 Share Posted January 31, 2016 Larry Cosgrove Super active storm track along the eastern seaboard coupled with frequent Arctic intrusions for nearly all of February and the first half of March. Perfect.......neeed to make up lost plowing time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 31, 2016 Share Posted January 31, 2016 https://www.nymetroweather.com/2016/01/31/winter-forecast-update-colder-february-increased-snow-chances/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 31, 2016 Share Posted January 31, 2016 https://www.nymetroweather.com/2016/01/31/winter-forecast-update-colder-february-increased-snow-chances/ Interesting read. Thanks for sharing this. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 ...ALL local forecasts for next weekend show temps in the 40's..where's the cold that a lot of people were saying??..that EC ridge and the MJO might be delay OR cancel the colder forecasts for feb.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 JB pulls the plug today-says cold for a week and then we torch. MJO phases 4-5-6 will carry the day. Says the cold is likely to be centered on the Midwest and snow chances will favor them vs us. - Oh well, let's have the warmest winter ever then-might as well break some records for that. Never bet against a strong nino to deliver warmth-that's the lesson I've learned here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 JB pulls the plug today-says cold for a week and then we torch. MJO phases 4-5-6 will carry the day. Says the cold is likely to be centered on the Midwest and snow chances will favor them vs us. - Oh well, let's have the warmest winter ever then-might as well break some records for that. Never bet against a strong nino to deliver warmth-that's the lesson I've learned here. So this month is shot because of what he said? A lot of february and march cancel posts going around the internet this morning. Many people have said that the MJO doesnt mean anything in a strong El Nino February . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 So this month is shot because of what he said? A lot of february and march cancel posts going around the internet this morning. Many people have said that the MJO doesnt mean anything in a strong El Nino February . When Bastardi bails, you know it's going to be WARM...and you're right, there's no guarantee he's right but it's alarming to see a cold monger jumping ship Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 When Bastardi bails, you know it's going to be WARM...and you're right, there's no guarantee he's right but it's alarming to see a cold monger jumping ship Sure is but maybe he is using reverse psychology like someone always does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 JB pulls the plug today-says cold for a week and then we torch. MJO phases 4-5-6 will carry the day. Says the cold is likely to be centered on the Midwest and snow chances will favor them vs us. - Oh well, let's have the warmest winter ever then-might as well break some records for that. Never bet against a strong nino to deliver warmth-that's the lesson I've learned here. very interesting - what he just released in his daily update - public version on Weatherbell is the exact opposite - here is my proof - where is yours ? http://www.weatherbell.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 very interesting - what he just released in his daily update - public version on Weatherbell is the exact opposite - here is my proof - where is yours ? http://www.weatherbell.com/ his video and post on the pay site is pretty lousy for cold and snow lovers on the east coast...the free stuff is to entice people to join. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 his video and post on the pay site is pretty lousy for cold and snow lovers on the east coast...the free stuff is to entice people to join. where is your proof ? If you make a statement like that you have to back it up with some evidence...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 where is your proof ? If you make a statement like that you have to back it up with some evidence...... Sorry but I'm not posting copyrighted material from a pay site. I summarized what he said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 very interesting - what he just released in his daily update - public version on Weatherbell is the exact opposite - here is my proof - where is yours ? http://www.weatherbell.com/ I don't pay for JB's forecasts but he's right. I just read a couple of people's tweets from this morning and they said JB bailed on February and March. Supposedly he said after the week 2 cold in the east, it's over, he thinks the rest of February and March torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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