NycStormChaser Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Question: I discovered a Twitter met called crankyweatherguy. I followed him before the storm and as the storm was underway on Friday. I found him, in the short time I followed, to be very knowledgeable and accurate. Anyone know of him or who he is? Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk He post alot of great stuff over on the wunderground blogs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 He post alot of great stuff over on the wunderground blogs At least he's real, then. There are a lot Twits Tweeting in the Twitterverse. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 Alert Alert Alert Another major victory by Bistardi . His call from 6 days ago was DC 20 Philly 18 NYC 14 Boston 11( they got 8 ) the forecast a day away was 0 An amazing hold through all the guidance that turned this E once off OBX. There were posters here who hugged the PARA when it whiffed and posted the GFS SE QPF lean and how this was Feb 2010 again. You guys conflate the climate arguement with his forecasting ability He crushed this forecast but some morons will just never admit it . He nailed it. He's very good with the big ones like Feb 03, Feb 06 etc. If anything he ended up a bit underdone, but no one cares if that is the case. Bastardi for all his things is one of very few mets who practice meteorology and not modelology. The past week was a disgrace to the industry. It was interesting that he and Kocin both said do not look at model output until 1 or 2 days before the storm. Turned out to be right as models in the 3-4 day didn't lose the storm, but they scaled back at that point only roar back at days 2 to 1.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 Alert Alert Alert Another major victory by Bistardi . His call from 6 days ago was DC 20 Philly 18 NYC 14 Boston 11( they got 8 ) the forecast a day away was 0 An amazing hold through all the guidance that turned this E once off OBX. There were posters here who hugged the PARA when it whiffed and posted the GFS SE QPF lean and how this was Feb 2010 again. You guys conflate the climate arguement with his forecasting ability He crushed this forecast but some morons will just never admit it . ...dont sell yourself short..you've been dead on also !! nice job.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 Alert Alert Alert Another major victory by Bistardi . His call from 6 days ago was DC 20 Philly 18 NYC 14 Boston 11( they got 8 ) the forecast a day away was 0 An amazing hold through all the guidance that turned this E once off OBX. There were posters here who hugged the PARA when it whiffed and posted the GFS SE QPF lean and how this was Feb 2010 again. You guys conflate the climate arguement with his forecasting ability He crushed this forecast but some morons will just never admit it . So you agree he is dead wrong on climate science....I'm hearing a lot of mets patting themselves on the back these days but I don't remember any saying NYC and North Jersey were getting 25-30 until the last minute....I did see people on here saying it though. By the way you did a great job in recent weeks, it has to be noted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 So you agree he is dead wrong on climate science....I'm hearing a lot of mets patting themselves on the back these days but I don't remember any saying NYC and North Jersey were getting 25-30 until the last minute....I did see people on here saying it though. By the way you did a great job in recent weeks, it has to be noted. Thank you . JB should never have touched the issue . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 JB said winter will be back really soon after the brief thaw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 Thank you . JB should never have touched the issue . he and D'aleo are convinced there's no warming-they are starting to look silly on that issue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 January is already above average and will likely finish +2 or greater. The warm pattern has not stopped. We just got lucky with perfectly timed vorts, 50/50 and a bootleg block. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 January is already above average and will likely finish +2 or greater. The warm pattern has not stopped. We just got lucky with perfectly timed vorts, 50/50 and a bootleg block. We all agree the base state is warming but the DEC to JAN flip over the CONUS was outstanding AG on JAN 26 it is plus 1 at KNYC We had a + 18 day and a + 13 day otherwise the month is just N . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 We all agree the base state is warming but the DEC to JAN flip over the CONUS was outstanding AG on JAN 26 it is plus 1 at KNYC We had a + 18 day and a + 13 day otherwise the month is just N . Of course it was a huge flip we had record warmth lol. Don't understand why u are so fascinated by the turn around . temps were not going to stay that warm forever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 he and D'aleo are convinced there's no warming-they are starting to look silly on that issue JB acknowledges warming, but disagrees that it's anthropogenic. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 he and D'aleo are convinced there's no warming-they are starting to look silly on that issue your definition of "warming" please ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 January is already above average and will likely finish +2 or greater. The warm pattern has not stopped. We just got lucky with perfectly timed vorts, 50/50 and a bootleg block. Just reinforces the idea that you can have a record breaking snowstorm and almost a season's worth of snow in the same month while the same monthly temperature averages above normal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 ...JB big on SSW..calling for us to turn BL by day 10..stormy too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 ...JB big on SSW..calling for us to turn BL by day 10..stormy too. even though he was wrong about this week's storm coming west - he has been above average accurate about the overall pattern since last summer - so IMO have to highly consider what he is predicting down the road.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 ...JB big on SSW..calling for us to turn BL by day 10..stormy too. A lot of mets think the pattern will get a lot better after the cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 Of course it was a huge flip we had record warmth lol. Don't understand why u are so fascinated by the turn around . temps were not going to stay that warm forever Was that the majority view on the board from late Dec up until last week . Posts of winters over can be found as late as page 158 on the banter page. Go check those calls out just 10 days ago . http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/47333-met-winter-banter/page-158? Scroll back and see if many thought this flip was real . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 Was that the majority view on the board from late Dec up until last week . Posts of winters over can be found as late as page 158 on the banter page. Go check those calls out just 10 days ago . http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/47333-met-winter-banter/page-158? Scroll back and see if many thought this flip was real . You are right. Many people never brought into the change like you did. Plenty of winter cancel posts and below average snowfall all over this forum and internet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 You are right. Many people never brought into the change like you did. Plenty of winter cancel posts and below average snowfall all over this forum and internet.I'm curious to see how the rest of winter plays out. If it turns out to be mild with little to no additional snowfall then wouldn't the blizzard be considered a fluke/luck like 2006/1983.And what about if this winter turns out to be the warmest on record, which is definitely still in the cards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 I'm curious to see how the rest of winter plays out. If it turns out to be mild with little to no additional snowfall then wouldn't the blizzard be considered a fluke/luck like 2006/1983. And what about if this winter turns out to be the warmest on record, which is definitely still in the cards. Coldest 10 day stretch of winter will be found inside the period of the 5th - 20th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 I'm curious to see how the rest of winter plays out. If it turns out to be mild with little to no additional snowfall then wouldn't the blizzard be considered a fluke/luck like 2006/1983. And what about if this winter turns out to be the warmest on record, which is definitely still in the cards. Would be more like 83. 2005-06 did have some other snow events and was cold, particularly in December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 yeah he nailed the cold december 2016 wiuth all those cold is coming didnt he ? even though he was wrong about this week's storm coming west - he has been above average accurate about the overall pattern since last summer - so IMO have to highly consider what he is predicting down the road.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 It's still a warm month. While not historic like December, Jan. 2016 is still warm but we hit gold with a historic storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 even though he was wrong about this week's storm coming west - he has been above average accurate about the overall pattern since last summer - so IMO have to highly consider what he is predicting down the road....His cold December call was absolutely stellar. We were only +11 that month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 His cold December call was absolutely stellar. We were only +11 that month January is also ending up well above normal after this mini torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 His cold December call was absolutely stellar. We were only +11 that month he never called for a cold December. His mistake for January was saying early on that his -1 call (NYC) for Jan would bust. It will bust, but not the way he thought it would bust. His call on the snowstorm was outstanding while others lowballed the northern end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 yeah he nailed the cold december 2016 wiuth all those cold is coming didnt he ? wow an 11 month ahead of time call for cold Dec 2016?!?!?!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 he never called for a cold December. His mistake for January was saying early on that his -1 call (NYC) for Jan would bust. It will bust, but not the way he thought it would bust. His call on the snowstorm was outstanding while others lowballed the northern endI stand corrected, he called for a normal December. Either way, epic bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 27, 2016 Share Posted January 27, 2016 I stand corrected, he called for a normal December. Either way, epic bust Everyone busted on December. Even the people who called for above normal. The closest forecasted temperature departure I saw anywhere was actually from SnoSki lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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