nyblizz44 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 JB calling for 8+ for nyc sat. Also mentioned the b word.don't see that on his twitter feed. Where did he sAy it ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Why even post what jb is saying..im sure Steve D is on board with that too If he did say that then I really have to start questioning who gave them their degrees. I've seem amateurs on here give better forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 don't see that on his twitter feed. Where did he sAy it ? Wxbell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Computer Guy Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 OMG how and where do I sign up!!!!!!! just head on over to wxbell's site. all major credit cards accepted... act now and get a free jumbo mug to measure your QPF! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 just head on over to wxbell's site. all major credit cards accepted... act now and get a free jumbo mug to measure your QPF! Now that is some funny s**t! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter201415 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 So wait a minute are you telling me we might get smacked by two snowstorms one potentially a blizzard? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 just head on over to wxbell's site. all major credit cards accepted... act now and get a free jumbo mug to measure your QPF! Nice ! I've always wanted to measure my quantitative precipitation forecast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter201415 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 If he did say that then I really have to start questioning who gave them their degrees. I've seem amateurs on here give better forecasts.so r u going to make a forecast after the 0z suite for Saturday nights system? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rogue Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 I wouldn't make that forecast at this point, but the idea is on the table. High winds cold temps and blowing snow aren't a far fetched idea. Actually, that's exactly right. JB was talking about high winds and frigid temps, combined with powder snow which could cause blizzard like conditions. Doesn't take much snow to qualify for a blizzard and between the arctic boundary, the trough, and new coastal, there are a number of ways in which NY metro should get some decent snows. Add the wind and frigid temps and this is all quite plausible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Actually, that's exactly right. JB was talking about high winds and frigid temps, combined with powder snow which could cause blizzard like conditions. Doesn't take much snow to qualify for a blizzard and between the arctic boundary, the trough, and new coastal, there are a number of ways in which NY metro should get some decent snows. Add the wind and frigid temps and this is all quite plausible.at this juncture in the ball game with the model divided we could easily lined up with 8 to 12 inches blizzard and single digits or teens and a couple of inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Bill Evans who is normally bullish just said 1-2 inches for the weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Bill Evans who is normally bullish just said 1-2 inches for the weekend He also said 36 inches could fall in NYC the NIGHT BEFORE the southern NE blizzard back in January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter201415 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Bill Evans who is normally bullish just said 1-2 inches for the weekendwhy do people take these guys serious? You have the models in hand and you can come up with your own forecast? No model shows 1-2! Even the conservative GFS shows 2-4... And with that cold air there will be sticking every flake so ratios will be at least 12:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 He also said 36 inches could fall in NYC the NIGHT BEFORE the southern NE blizzard back in January. He honestly is horrible he rattles off some cloud types then proceeds to show future cast maps that never match his actual forecast. If it doesn't match you're forecast why show it. He does it everyday no matter how big the discrepancy . The one he just showed had less then inch for most of the area for the weekend storm. I like channel 7 news best of local stations for actual news and lee and Jeff. Bill and Amy are tv personalities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Bill Evans who is normally bullish just said 1-2 inches for the weekendCraig Allen is also saying 1-2 inches area wide Saturday afternoon/night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 The gfs shows 1-3....lee goldberg and evans are from the same station using the same forecasts This is a 1-3 event for most in jersey maybe 2-4 at best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 The gfs shows 1-3....lee goldberg and evans are from the same station using the same forecasts This is a 1-3 event for most in jersey maybe 2-4 at best Well, that's it ... Next 36 to 48 hrs mean jack...1-3 it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 JB says 20-1 to 30-1 ratios with this....LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Joe Cioffis first call is for 1-3 southern Jersey...3-6 for central Jersey on north to NYC. 6 plus for most of LI, except east end with 9 plus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 JB says 20-1 to 30-1 ratios with this....LOL[/quote Joe Cioffi mentioning 15-1. May snow in the single digits at night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 JB says 20-1 to 30-1 ratios with this....LOL[/quote Joe Cioffi mentioning 15-1. May snow in the single digits at night. Joe Cioffi does a great job keeping things updated on facebook and his website...for free no less...you can leave him a tip if you like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Paul Dorian going with 2-5 for NYC right now. Larry Cosgrove: Trenton 2-3" NYC 3-5" Nassau 4-7" Suffolk and CT points along the sound 7 - 9" Hartford 4-8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 So AW has western Nassau down for 34F and 1-3"; the NWS for 30F and 3-4"; and TWC for 37F and less than an inch. Good to see such agreement! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 I'm actually concerned that TWC might be right; the temps the past two days have been warmer than forecasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seth.P Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 I'm actually concerned that TWC might be right; the temps the past two days have been warmer than forecasted. TWC gets too much slack in my opinion, they have done a really nice job this winter, especially during the blizzard fiasco. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 So AW has western Nassau down for 34F and 1-3"; the NWS for 30F and 3-4"; and TWC for 37F and less than an inch. Good to see such agreement! any warm temps would be early on, once the winds crank temps will plummet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Bill Evans at 1220 said 1 inch at the park out of this . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Bill Evans at 1220 said 1 inch at the park out of this . AW and TWC both don't buy into higher possible totals, each saying 1-3" for the City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 AW and TWC both don't buy into higher possible totals, each saying 1-3" for the City. it's not a bad call right now, can always up to 2-4 or even 3-6 tonight or tomorrow am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Bill Evans at 1220 said 1 inch at the park out of this . 1" seems low to me. I'm thinking 2" in Central Park given the developing system's dynamics, forecast track (considering the spread among the guidance), and qpf over the past two model cycles. A 1"-3" range probably isn't unreasonable for the City, though I think a 2"4" one might be a little better, as I suspect amounts in the 2"-3" range will be more common in the City than 1"-2" amounts. Furthermore, as a 1" figure would probably depend on low ratios (perhaps on the order of 8:1) and/or a reduction in qpf from what is forecast on most of the guidance, I suspect that there's probably a little more upside potential than downside potential e.g., if the storm develops a little more quickly than forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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