Rjay Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 From LC @ 4 PM http://goes.gsfc.nasa.gov/…/goeseast/h…/color_lrg/latest.jpg If you look closely...you can see reformation of the surface low very near Ashland KY. That is an argument (for now, at least), for somewhat southern shift of expected snow/ice/rain transition zones. He claimed the same bs last week and was off by 100-150 miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 He claimed the same bs last week and was off by 100-150 miles Anyone remember how Mets fans would serenade Chipper Jones? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Paul Kocin Just a thought about the storm tonight. With such cold air and a strong high sitting north of New York, wouldn't be surprised if temps from LI across coastal New England drop as 2ndary develops off New Jersey, as long as winds veer to the east Northeast. With low pressure rapidly developing, an isallobaric component to the winds could drop temps (not necessarily snow for LI,NYC) but keep threat for ice, sleet. Also if vertical motions really kick, could offset warm advection in NYC, with burst of heavy snow. Tough fcst again NYC. Looks like precip will dump fast then taper in NYC. Rush hour looks like toast. Unless not! Hey it's just a forecast!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 From LC @ 4 PM http://goes.gsfc.nasa.gov/…/goeseast/h…/color_lrg/latest.jpg If you look closely...you can see reformation of the surface low very near Ashland KY. That is an argument (for now, at least), for somewhat southern shift of expected snow/ice/rain transition zones. it does seem that these kind of posts happen during every storm (not necessarily saying by LC, but there is always someone saying this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Paul kocin nailed it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 JB thinks 4-6 for the metro area on Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Paul kocin nailed it Just a lucky guess. What does he know about northeast snowstorms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 DT's raged filled forecasting is too much. He's been wrong plenty of times why keep putting others down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Just a lucky guess. What does he know about northeast snowstorms? He's an amateur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 DT's raged filled forecasting is too much. He's been wrong plenty of times why keep putting others down. He's been off this year quite often so guess that's the rage.... He busted with his winter's over call and he was off quite a bit on yesterday's storm for southern sections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 JB thinks 4-6 for the metro area on Friday Too high, but we'll get something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Too high, but we'll get something. Doesn't he mean for Thursday?... Friday looks clear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 JB thinks 4-6 for the metro area on Friday BUST Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 Anyone remember how Mets fans would serenade Chipper Jones? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 First time I've seen the Upton 7 day forecast turn up 5 Wintry Mixes in a row. Also, I suppose the lack of space keeps out the qualifiers of 'Chance', 'Slight Chance', 'Likely', 'Light', etc? Always just 'Wintry Mix' despite percentages ranging from 30 to 70 ver the time period. http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=40.78015966283925&lon=-73.47702923081351&site=all&smap=1#.VNQY4p3F9fY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Bernie rayno thinks 6+ from cnj.northward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Bernie rayno thinks 6+ from cnj.northward that seals the deal we will see very little snow - also he did not mention the word ice at all in his 5:30 update - he is forecasting 100 % snow for everyone which most guidance is not showing right now......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 that seals the deal we will see very little snow - also he did not mention the word ice at all in his 5:30 update - he is forecasting 100 % snow for everyone which most guidance is not showing right now.........seriously folks does anybody listen to this guy. Seriously? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Wunderground's forecast for Sun/Mon is positively depressing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 JB = Joe Boston, Thank god he's got Boston....he's thumping his chest because Boston and NY are going to get hammered and apparently that somehow insulates him from his failure of the other 95% of the geographic region he covers. This weekend we will be well into the 40's with rain, DC might his 60. Rock'n FEB indeed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 seriously folks does anybody listen to this guy. Seriously? you referring to Bernie or me ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 JB = Joe Boston, Thank god he's got Boston....he's thumping his chest because Boston and NY are going to get hammered and apparently that somehow insulates him from his failure of the other 95% of the geographic region he covers. This weekend we will be well into the 40's with rain, DC might his 60. Rock'n FEB indeed Boston is not NYC unless a south trend starts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Seems to be a difference in opinion amongst well known METS in the area Paul Dorian is forecasting all snow http://spam.com/category/nyc/ Joe Ciofii says basically milder with little snow https://www.facebook.com/meteorologistjoecioffi WHO IS A WEENIE TO BELIEVE ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Seems to be a difference in opinion amongst well known METS in the area Paul Dorian is forecasting all snow http://spam.com/category/nyc/ Joe Ciofii says basically milder with little snow https://www.facebook.com/meteorologistjoecioffi WHO IS A WEENIE TO BELIEVE ? Joe C was really going off the NAM.... Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Joe C was really going off the NAM.... Lol what is scary is that these 2 guys are a couple of the best forecasters in the area with totally different outlooks - just shows you how complex and complicated this setup is and a 50 - 75 mile shift in the HP and frontal boundary makes all the difference.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 JB = Joe Boston, Thank god he's got Boston....he's thumping his chest because Boston and NY are going to get hammered and apparently that somehow insulates him from his failure of the other 95% of the geographic region he covers. This weekend we will be well into the 40's with rain, DC might his 60. Rock'n FEB indeed it is pretty funny-Sure the NE is cold and snowy, but it's really only central Jersey north. The plains have been warm and the SE and mid altantic has gone essentially snowless. Some pretty bad misses in there. He's got about 3 weeks for the eastern areas that have missed out to get anything before climo rears its ugly head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 it is pretty funny-Sure the NE is cold and snowy, but it's really only central Jersey north. The plains have been warm and the SE and mid altantic has gone essentially snowless. Some pretty bad misses in there. He's got about 3 weeks for the eastern areas that have missed out to get anything before climo rears its ugly head. Aren't those seasonal forecasts put out by the weatherbell team? I don't think it's solely his forecast. He already said their forecast was too far west with the cold and snow. Anyway, you want bad.., take a look at NOAA's winter forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Aren't those seasonal forecasts put out by the weatherbell team? I don't think it's solely his forecast. He already said their forecast was too far west with the cold and snow. Anyway, you want bad.., take a look at NOAA's winter forecast. They were horrible last year too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 They were horrible last year too. I think its been brought up that they haven't issued a winter outlook with a below normal east forecast in a long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 JB for the 2/7-8 storm 3 inch line from BWI to just south of Philly 6 inch line from ABE through NYC and along the CT coast 12 inch line from Poukeepsie to south of Hartford to south of Boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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