WaPo Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 really because it did that at 12z also... The totals were an anomaly. The track wasn't at this point. I have some doubts about the 3FT totals predicted by the 0Z Euro. NWS mentioned that they had some issues with the totals. We'll have to see if they're right when the higher resolution models come in and show us what the bands will look like. It's that or the Euro continues to show 3FT totals in NY Metro and every other model gets on board with the totals (not the track or strength). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Mirrors the GFS pretty well. That Euro run was an anomaly with its totals. The 2.5 total were replicated from its 12z run by the 0Z Euro It was supported by the CMC 2.5 into KNYC And now the 6z GFS is 1.5 plus into KNYC and 2 at Islip . If 2 shows up , its 12 to 1 regardless everyone gets smoked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaPo Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 The 2.5 total were replicated from its 12z run by the 0Z Euro It was supported by the CMC 2.5 into KNYC And now the 6z GFS is 1.5 plus into KNYC and 2 at Islip . If 2 shows up , its 12 to 1 regardless everyone gets smoked. Yeah I'm being a bit of a conservative, cautious ***hole with these solutions. I really want them to occur considering how historic they'd be, but I won't be able to appreciate them until it's in my front yard. They're really goddamn high. Maybe if the 12Z Euro continues to the 2+ ft trend I'll relent, but right now I've been burned one time too many (March 01, March 05) to respect this type of solution this far out. EDIT: Especially when Upton and Mt. Holly have had trouble with the Euro in particular over the past day. I will say that the Euro and GFS had similar 1ft+ solutions days before the little storm we had Saturday. Maybe the Saturday storm messed with Tuesday's storm solution and only improved once Saturday's storm left the area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Yeah I'm being a bit of a conservative, cautious ***hole with these solutions. I really want them to occur considering how historic they'd be, but I won't be able to appreciate them until it's in my front yard. They're really goddamn high. Maybe if the 12Z Euro continues to the 2+ ft trend I'll relent, but right now I've been burned one time too many (March 01, March 05) to respect this type of solution this far out. Just looked at 6z GEFS. 1.75 now goes back into CNJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Just looked at 6z GEFS. 1.75 now goes back into CNJ Correct. NYC is 20"+ with ratios now for both the GEFS and EPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 ..newsday this mornings paper.."there's a chance for 2-4" snow tmrw into tuesday"..boy, if people read this and believe it they will be under prepared... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 ..newsday this mornings paper.."there's a chance for 2-4" snow tmrw into tuesday"..boy, if people read this and believe it they will be under prepared...No big surprise there. I think you have to live in a hole not to know about this though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mranger48 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 DT first call Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 The weather channel should be ashamed of themselves. Shows all fricken day long. They wonder why no one watches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason215 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 At this point, it would be more informative/fun and exciting to just watch a major network for live coverage of the BLIZZARD than the weather channel. It's not even close to the good old days in the 80s and 90s. Once I found Wright Weather BB back in 2000, then EasternWx, I never needed the weather channel again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I found this one for you guys from CNN. Looks like TWC loves the GFS for you all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 TWC has 12-18" for all of the NYC area, NNJ, parts of long island and 18-24" eastern LI and SNE.....While NWS has 24-36 for the entire area. I do feel that TWC will be closer to reality here, but its funny that if the two outlets were calling for 4-8/8-16, one of them would be bashed for being over/under.....But since 18-24 and 24-36 are both such high amounts, it just kinda goes down as "a ton of snow regardless" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherweather Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 i cant believe how adamant DT is staying amidst all this uncertainty, even after he's seen the 0z nam. Hes really putting it all on the line here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason215 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 DT is a very talented MET IMHO. He can be a little rough around the edges regarding his dialogue, but he doesn't wear snow goggles and if he's onboard usually you know we are going to get it good! Of course he busts, but who doesn't? I think he was one of the first METS to point out how dangerous these MM are and that was prior to the 1st EURO to show LI getting this BLIZZARD. -Jason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Hi guys. Would appreciate your help. Anyone know where Craig Allen posts on Facebook? I follow him on Twitter (https://twitter.com/CraigAllenWx) but whenever I click on his links to FB posts I cannot access them. I consider Craig to be in the top tier of NYC mets. He is a veteran of over 30 years and really knows his stuff, including mesoscale influences such as the Long Island microclimates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Hi guys. Would appreciate your help. Anyone know where Craig Allen posts on Facebook? I follow him on Twitter (https://twitter.com/CraigAllenWx) but whenever I click on his links to FB posts I cannot access them. I consider Craig to be in the top tier of NYC mets. He is a veteran of over 30 years and really knows his stuff, including mesoscale influences such as the Long Island microclimates. I follow him here: https://www.facebook.com/pages/Craig-Allen-On-Air-Inc/230609267719 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Thanks. However, that link doesn't work for me. It says "content unavailable." Do I need to be invited in order to view his page? His page seems to be a little secretive, as you can't find it by searching on Facebook... I follow him here: https://www.facebook.com/pages/Craig-Allen-On-Air-Inc/230609267719 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UKStormFan Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Just a quick question from the UK. 1) Do we have any live stream TV forecast stations covering the event constantly? TWC for example..but local. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Just a quick question from the UK. 1) Do we have any live stream TV forecast stations covering the event constantly? TWC for example..but local. Not that I know of but all local news stations will probably be covering nonstop starting Tuesday 4am like 7online (wabc) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick T Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 "Craig Allen on-air inc" Hi guys. Would appreciate your help. Anyone know where Craig Allen posts on Facebook? I follow him on Twitter (https://twitter.com/CraigAllenWx) but whenever I click on his links to FB posts I cannot access them. I consider Craig to be in the top tier of NYC mets. He is a veteran of over 30 years and really knows his stuff, including mesoscale influences such as the Long Island microclimates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 TWC 1 - WxRisk - 0 - scroll down to see why ( When Dave blows it he does so with a lot of enthusiasm ) https://www.facebook.com/WxRisk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mulen Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 The intellicast forecast on the money no hype called 1-3 monday 5-8 tuesday N.Y.C i have to say it looks good over the years they rarely bust big time .Their site is excellent especially the interactive radar.see ya Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 TWC 1 - WxRisk - 0 - scroll down to see why ( When Dave blows it he does so with a lot of enthusiasm ) https://www.facebook.com/WxRisk Will be curious what he has to say about his North Jersey/NYC bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Will be curious what he has to say about his North Jersey/NYC bust. yes and to be fair many busted BUT he gets called out because he ripped TWC in his usual style for predicting 8 -12 in NYC - the sad thing was it was becoming obvious --which I started talking about in the observation thread about the same time- something was going wrong with the storm for NYC and west.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 well to be fair many busted BUT he gets called out because he ripped TWC in his usual style for predicting 8 -12 in NYC Yes, I know - which is why I am curious when he will address that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Been following DT for years & he's an excellent met BUT if I were looking to hire a private service I wouldn't go near him because of his unprofessional antics - such as what he did with TWC and his long time blasting of JB & Accuwx. He is one angry dude. Always fun to watch when he's wrong and the folks he bashes end up right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 8-12+ for nyc and Philly from Steve D Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 8-12+ for nyc and Philly from Steve D Low credibility but close to the depictions from most models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 8-12+ for nyc and Philly from Steve D I could have told you that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Computer Guy Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 8-12+ for nyc and Philly from Steve D Saw that too... probably would have been best to wait until tonights 0z runs, IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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