Brian5671 Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 JB in his annual December subscription drive mode using the soon to be defunct GFS- these guys are the most dangerous for your wallet this time of the year https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/543390738638462976 Bet he didn't advertise his big December midwest temp bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 no where near December 1976 this year... California is being flooded and NYC is already above average... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 "Until I can see all the players on the field over the plains,I dont change ideas" That's classic JB waving the white flag. Doesnt really matter, there's no cold air anyway, it's just 10 short days away! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 ..lee goldberg pushes the cold back (actually said VERY cold) until new years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 CPC (who traditionally do pretty well) going above normal with both temperature and precipitation in the 6 to 10 day outlook (would take us through about 27 December)...then cooling to a good probability of normal temperatures & normal rainfall in the 8 to 14 day outlook (that would cover 25 Dec - 31 Dec). There does appear to me a considerable pool of below normal temperatures building in the mid section of the nation the last week of the month...since most things move west to east...some of it should eventually make its way to the coast...though perhaps modifying just a bit by its travels over the Great Lakes & the Appalachians. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 JB finally admits the cold is coming slower than he thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 JB finally admits the cold is coming slower than he thought. Yes the 28th and just not the 20th. Nothing different than whats been discussed here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 CPC (who traditionally do pretty well) going above normal with both temperature and precipitation in the 6 to 10 day outlook (would take us through about 27 December)...then cooling to a good probability of normal temperatures & normal rainfall in the 8 to 14 day outlook (that would cover 25 Dec - 31 Dec). There does appear to me a considerable pool of below normal temperatures building in the mid section of the nation the last week of the month...since most things move west to east...some of it should eventually make its way to the coast...though perhaps modifying just a bit by its travels over the Great Lakes & the Appalachians. This might explain why NG had dropped in recent trading. Someone on this board told me the "CPC Cats" are money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 This might explain why NG had dropped in recent trading. Someone on this board told me the "CPC Cats" are money. The CPC skinny for January http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/fxus07.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 This might explain why NG had dropped in recent trading. Someone on this board told me the "CPC Cats" are money. Feel free to look up their winter forecast for the CONUS 2013 2014 Money alright . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Feel free to look up their winter forecast for the CONUS 2013 2014 Money alright . Horrible for last year for sure, but likely to be better this year...sure we'll get some cold, but it's not likely to be a big deal and snowfall is likely going to be average or below. Run of the mill winter in the end IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 Bastardi throwing "delayed" around on his Saturday Summary video regarding the lack of snow and meaningful cold during this dull first portion of the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted December 21, 2014 Share Posted December 21, 2014 Bastardi throwing "delayed" around on his Saturday Summary video regarding the lack of snow and meaningful cold during this dull first portion of the winter. he's using 1977 now for bait...until the nao comes back to at least neutral it will be hard to get anything significant... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Steve D feels the SW event and a more impressive El Nino will soon save the winter forecast. The MJO is the recalcitrant student in the classroom now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Bastardi throwing "delayed" around on his Saturday Summary video regarding the lack of snow and meaningful cold during this dull first portion of the winter. If you have followed Bastardi, that's another one of his ways to lay a possible exit from his forecast. He did that too during the duds of past and it just never came outside of a short period where we actually had winter... Will be interesting to see what he says this week now that it's evident there's going to be no -NAO and the EPO ridge is transient. Just watched his monday avenger and he's rattled, that's for sure. Just 3 weeks ago he was talking about 50% snowfall coverage across the USA for x-mas. Needless to say, that's going to bust hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 I bet DT is shaking in his boots too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 If you have followed Bastardi, that's another one of his ways to lay a possible exit from his forecast. He did that too during the duds of past and it just never came outside of a short period where we actually had winter... Will be interesting to see what he says this week now that it's evident there's going to be no -NAO and the EPO ridge is transient. Just watched his monday avenger and he's rattled, that's for sure. Just 3 weeks ago he was talking about 50% snowfall coverage across the USA for x-mas. Needless to say, that's going to bust hard. Man ... I'd just subscribe for the comedic value. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Man ... I'd just subscribe for the comedic value. Have to say it is funny sometimes...the 12 steps of a bastardi bust...I'd say we're at #5 now.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 I bet DT is shaking in his boots too. IMO DT is very good about owning up...so if he feels it's over he will acknowledge it and explain why Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 IMO DT is very good about owning up...so if he feels it's over he will acknowledge it and explain why He and Steven DiMartino are having a very interesting Twitter conversation. Winter is not working out the way either of them expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 NG plummetts 9% today-wonder if anyone will be talking about that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 He and Steven DiMartino are having a very interesting Twitter conversation. Winter is not working out the way either of them expected. Winter is one day old? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Winter is one day old? met winter started on 12/1 and runs to 3/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 met winter started on 12/1 and runs to 3/1 In Iowa. Directly along the coast it's more like 12/15-3/15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 It seems to me, meteorology is part science and part art. It's like Divination in the Harry Potter novels. Some meteorologists are like Sybill Trelawney and some are like Firenze. Yes, I know, I'm a dork. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 It seems to me, meteorology is part science and part art. It's like Divination in the Harry Potter novels. Some meteorologists are like Sybill Trelawney and some are like Firenze. Yes, I know, I'm a dork. I don't even get these references w/o a google search and I'm like really literary...though characterizing it as part art / part science is a view I can agree with. Welcome to the board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 I don't even get these references w/o a google search and I'm like really literary...though characterizing it as part art / part science is a view I can agree with. Welcome to the board. Literary references are like jokes: If you have to explain them, you've got a problem. In my mind, I keep seeing long-range meteorologists as people who read tea-leaves to see the future. And thanks for the welcome. I think I will go back to lurking, though. Reading the back-and-forth is much more entertaining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 Literary references are like jokes: If you have to explain them, you've got a problem. In my mind, I keep seeing long-range meteorologists as people who read tea-leaves to see the future. And thanks for the welcome. I think I will go back to lurking, though. Reading the back-and-forth is much more entertaining. I haven't exactly spent much time with JK Rowling; nor have I seen *any* of the Harry Potter films; but I must confess that I found seasons 2 & 3 of The American Horror Story "Asylum" & "Coven" to be amongst the most splendid television I had seen in quite a while. Jessica Lange absolutely owns every episode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 NG plummetts 9% today-wonder if anyone will be talking about that? http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/44302-crude-oil-and-refined-product-prices-going-down/page-16#entry3207429 Nice conversation over in PR off topic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 danstorm, by your red-tag you "appear" to be a meteorologist. By your behavior, you are an embarrassment to your profession.Jb is a total joke and there is nothing unprofessional about that fact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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