Rjay Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 http://beforeitsnews.com/weather/2014/11/we-are-in-the-bullseye-expert-warns-by-midweek-all-hells-going-to-break-loose-2443800.html "Michio Kaku joins CBS This Morning to warn 250 million Americans that “we are in the bullseye” and by midweek, “all hell’s going to break loose” as America prepares to be pummeled by something sounding almost Biblical, ‘BomboGenesis’. Kaku warns that air, train and vehicle traffic could be paralyzed next week, and schedules disrupted" Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 Joe Cioffi: IT IS BECOMING A LITTLE MORE "FASCINATING" EUROPEAN AND GFS SAY SOME SNOW FOR THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY ANOTHER EVENT POSSIBLE NEXT MONDAY NIGHT BELOW NORMAL TO MUCH BELOW NORMAL TEMPS BEGINNING THURSDAY AND LASTING WELL INTO NEXT WEEK Since we are inside 5 days I think it may be time to start discussing the possibilities for Thursday night into Friday. Once again we have an instance where the models have something and then lose in the mid range before finding it again. First and foremost is the issue of temperature. At the 850mb level the temp goes from +10c on Thursday morning to -6 to -10 by Friday morning. Precipitation would be Thursday night into Friday morning so it becomes a matter of when cold air arrives. Since we can't see in between maps we have to guess that it becomes favorable for snow in the NY NJ LONG ISLAND CT AREA SOMETIME BETWEEN 8PM AND MIDNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT. So the next issue will be figuring precipitation arrival time, how much will fall and ending time. Right now my guess is that precip arrives late Thursday evening and is probably done Friday morning at some point. Since I can only at this point speak in the broadest of terms, lets just say that Thursday night into Friday we will see rain arriving that changes to snow..and there is the potential for some accumulating snow, though at this point my guess is that since total precip is probably 0.5" or less that we are not talking anything major here. Note that the European does wind up with a pretty deep low in New Brunswick (Canada not New Jersey) by Saturday morning. Beyond that it looks like a gulf low might be here for Monday of next week...maybe a snow to rain event? And then more to follow as the core of the cold air overtakes the eastern states. So in sumary..an event seems more likely Thursday night into Friday..and there could be some snow out of it..and more events to follow in the days ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYC Weather Lover Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 Joe Cioffi & Larry Cosgrove's thoughts: Larry Cosgrove has his view on the longer term and Joe goes along with this. Active storm track across Dixie and along Eastern Seaboard will bring chances for heavy rain and snow (as far south and east as the Tennessee Valley and Appalachia). Arctic air forecast to remain across eastern 2/3 of U.S. through November 26. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 JB still thinks there will be a snowstorm here next week https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/532390611639599104 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 JB still thinks there will be a snowstorm here next week https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/532390611639599104 Yeh, thinks Rain changes to Snow all the way to the coast . Now you know if it does not snow there are those on here that will call winter off . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Yeh, thinks Rain changes to Snow all the way to the coast . Now you know if it does not snow there are those on here that will call winter off . Expect anything less here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Joe Cioffi thinks coating -inch for Long Island on friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 JB still thinks there will be a snowstorm here next week https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/532390611639599104 he always thinks there will be a snowstorm next week...even in July... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Joe Cioffi thinks coating -inch for Long Island on friday. Joe Cioffi should stop smokin' what he's smokin', that is HIGHLY unlikely and model support is strongly against it ant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 he always thinks there will be a snowstorm next week...even in July... When you're whole life revolves around "global cooling" there is always a blizzard on the horizon. Jb is a big body builder (claims to be all natural) reality is some of the " juice " is getting to his head. I still love the guys enthusiasm and he has forgotten more then I will ever know about long range forecasting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Glenn Schwartz just issued his winter forecast for Philly. Coldest winter in years with January being -5degrees below normal. 40-45Inches of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Glenn Schwartz just issued his winter forecast for Philly. Coldest winter in years with January being -5degrees below normal. 40-45Inches of snow. we are either in for an epic winter or a huge bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 we are either in for an epic winter or a huge bust. Everybody is calling for an epic winter lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Glenn Schwartz just issued his winter forecast for Philly. Coldest winter in years with January being -5degrees below normal. 40-45Inches of snow. What's philly's annual snowfall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Glenn Schwartz just issued his winter forecast for Philly. Coldest winter in years with January being -5degrees below normal. 40-45Inches of snow. Is he normally conservative or no? If not then do you know the METS who typically are and what they have to say about this winter. I assume even they have a snowy forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Is he normally conservative or no? If not then do you know the METS who typically are and what they have to say about this winter. I assume even they have a snowy forecast.Almost all METS who have any sort of credibility are calling for cold and snowy/epic. Either their right or its a biblical bust coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Is he normally conservative or no? If not then do you know the METS who typically are and what they have to say about this winter. I assume even they have a snowy forecast. Everyone except Noaa are calling for a great winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 What's philly's annual snowfall? Average is 22.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Is he normally conservative or no? If not then do you know the METS who typically are and what they have to say about this winter. I assume even they have a snowy forecast. Pretty sure he busted badly last year with a warm forecast but then many did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 What's philly's annual snowfall? I might as well post this again...Philadelphia and other east coast cities average snowfall...I figured 22.6" from 1889-90 to 2013-14 if my math was right...... decade.......................Washington..Baltimore. .Philadelphia... New York......Boston 1889-90 to 1898-99..........25.7"..........24.5"..........23.8"..........35.8"..........53.5"* 1899-00 to 1908-09..........23.4"..........21.9"..........25.5"..........28.8"..........39.8" 1909-10 to 1918-19..........20.9"..........22.8"..........28.9"..........30.6"..........39.1" 1919-20 to 1928-29..........15.3"..........19.7"..........19.7"..........29.5"..........43.2" 1929-30 to 1938-39..........18.3"..........22.5"..........18.2"..........24.5"..........37.5" 1939-40 to 1948-49..........17.6"..........23.4"..........21.4"..........32.8"..........42.9" 1949-50 to 1958-59..........12.8"..........14.7"..........15.2"..........20.1"..........37.2" 1959-60 to 1968-69..........24.8"..........32.4"..........29.1"..........32.0"..........49.4" 1969-70 to 1978-79..........14.6"..........17.8"..........21.7"..........22.5"..........44.6" 1979-80 to 1988-89..........18.1"..........18.5"..........20.4"..........19.7"..........32.7" 1989-90 to 1998-99..........12.9"..........17.7"..........18.5"..........24.4"..........49.7" 1999-00 to 2008-09..........12.7"..........18.0"..........20.7"..........28.0"..........44.9" 2009-10 to 2013-14..........20.6"..........28.0"..........40.6"..........40.8"..........49.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Joe Cioffi should stop smokin' what he's smokin', that is HIGHLY unlikely and model support is strongly against it ant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 atleast you know i can take a joke paul, its november and looks like straw grasping is in full swing alreadyIf a C-1" of snow was stock it would be at an all time high right now for the weenies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Pretty sure he busted badly last year with a warm forecast but then many did. Which is one thing that worries me. If they all busted last season then there's always the chance they bust this season although almost every factor indicates a snowy winter this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Which is one thing that worries me. If they all busted last season then there's always the chance they bust this season although almost every factor indicates a snowy winter this time. Factoring in all the tele connections, I really don't foresee a bust. I think worse case scenario we end up with a normal winter. Best case we end up with an epic winter like '96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Joe Cioffi regarding Friday's event for NYC New gfs goes a little nuts here. Implies rain to snow and it could be a few inches for somebody if it is right. Forecasters need to be very careful here. Intensity could cool the bottom of the atmosphere in a big hurry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Good post by JB this am which shows some of the legendary winters with a torch in December, hints that could the case this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Good post by JB this am which shows some of the legendary winters with a torch in December, hints that could the case this year ( 30 ) days in 57 ( 30 ) days in 65 ( 10 ) days in 77 ( 15 ) days in 93 ( 30 ) days in 02 . All those Dec blew and turned out to be GREAT winters . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 ( 30 ) days in 57 ( 30 ) days in 65 ( 10 ) days in 77 ( 15 ) days in 93 ( 30 ) days in 02 . All those Dec blew and turned out to be GREAT winters . Dec 02 didn't blow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Dec. 57 and 93 had above average snowfall...2002 also...an early month torch is usually the norm anyway for a warm or cold winter...1960 had a three day torch a week before a blizzard...most of the great Decembers had their warmest temperatures at the beginning of the month... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Dec 02 didn't blow Temp wise. Not snow . Think Dec 02 temps were above normal. JB was just pointing out great winters that carried some warmth in those DEC s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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