nicknack Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 Both the 0z and now the 12z Gem runs show 1 to 2 feet of snow PHL to NYC for April 5-6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 Both the 0z and now the 12z Gem runs show 1 to 2 feet of snow PHL to NYC for April 5-6. Well, now I can start the preparations in earnest. Thanks!! If I were Mayor De Blasio, I would book the snow day (maybe snow days) now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 1, 2014 Share Posted April 1, 2014 JB says watch around the 10th for snow for the big cities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 1, 2014 Share Posted April 1, 2014 JB Pattern for next week is wild.All models with threat of major winter like event,fits with phase 3 MJO.Massive cold in Canada lurks mid month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 1, 2014 Share Posted April 1, 2014 JB He's really on a roll. Gotta go with the hot hand! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted April 1, 2014 Share Posted April 1, 2014 He's really on a roll. Gotta go with the hot hand! 70s and sunny next week!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 1, 2014 Share Posted April 1, 2014 70s and sunny next week!! Not going to happen . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted April 1, 2014 Share Posted April 1, 2014 Why people still me want cold & snow in April is beyond me, enough is enough of this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 1, 2014 Share Posted April 1, 2014 Not going to happen . you missed the point as usual. JB has been so bad, that if he's going for a big storm, one might suggest that a warm/dry period is more likely. I don't think he really thinks it's going to be in the 70's next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 1, 2014 Share Posted April 1, 2014 Why people still me want cold & snow in April is beyond me, enough is enough of this Rather be outside in the snow than in the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 4, 2014 Share Posted April 4, 2014 Now, just over midway through the first week of April, things still look to be on course with respect to the pattern evolution laid out in Message #1053 in this thread. Prospects for a moderate or significant snowfall are very low across the big cities of the East. Cold shots appear likely to be closer to 1 sigma below normal rather than the 2.5-3.0 sigma variety that had been occurring in March. The transition continues to feature periodic storminess. There are growing hints on the guidance that the extended range could see persistent warmer conditions develop, possibly in the April 15-20 timeframe, which would be toward the latter part of the expected duration of the transition to a spring regime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted April 4, 2014 Share Posted April 4, 2014 Now, just over midway through the first week of April, things still look to be on course with respect to the pattern evolution laid out in Message #1053 in this thread. Prospects for a moderate or significant snowfall are very low across the big cities of the East. Cold shots appear likely to be closer to 1 sigma below normal rather than the 2.5-3.0 sigma variety that had been occurring in March. The transition continues to feature periodic storminess. There are growing hints on the guidance that the extended range could see persistent warmer conditions develop, possibly in the April 15-20 timeframe, which would be toward the latter part of the expected duration of the transition to a spring regime. Yes Don, totally agree. The Superstorm's cold shot was the last significant one of the year, and probably the last storm that tracked to our east/southeast. Now we're seeing the more typical Colorado/Plains lows cutting to our north. While we might have some chilly days with southerly winds and low clouds ahead of such lows, it won't be the bitter cold of March. I'm thinking April finishes -0.5 to -1; the 12z ECM and 12z GFS don't show any heat on the horizon but the cold shots look pretty muted except for one notable intrusion of arctic air next Wednesday following the Tuesday rainstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 6, 2014 Share Posted April 6, 2014 Jb thinks that the snow chances are not done yet for the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted April 6, 2014 Share Posted April 6, 2014 Jb thinks that the snow chances are not done yet for the coast Nothing in the next 7 days. I think its over sadly. Pretty crappy ending to a good winter. The pattern seems to be shifting towards a warmer regime. Guidance continues to warm in the long range. Even cold shots will only feature temps in the 50s. Its springtime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted April 6, 2014 Share Posted April 6, 2014 Jb thinks that the snow chances are not done yet for the coast Did he say why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 7, 2014 Share Posted April 7, 2014 yes - to keep his subscribers at his dumbell site paying for another couple of weeks Winner, Winner!! Although he's talking tropics now, so you can read b/w the lines with that.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted May 1, 2014 Share Posted May 1, 2014 Inaccuweather just released their summer outlook - they mention "Despite normal temperature ranges in the midsummer months, areas from Washington, D.C., up through Boston are expected to heat up quickly in May before returning to more seasonal temperatures in June and July." Doesn't look that way to me - no indication of it " heating up quickly in May". http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/us-summer-2014-weather-forecast/26033298 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted May 1, 2014 Share Posted May 1, 2014 Inaccuweather just released their summer outlook - they mention "Despite normal temperature ranges in the midsummer months, areas from Washington, D.C., up through Boston are expected to heat up quickly in May before returning to more seasonal temperatures in June and July." Doesn't look that way to me - no indication of it " heating up quickly in May". http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/us-summer-2014-weather-forecast/26033298 Those maps that they have for their seasonal outlooks are worthless...they often state the obvious such as "turning hot" in the se or "changeable " for the ne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 JB says watch around the 10th for snow for the big cities. El busto. And his May call for cool looks to go down the crapper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted May 9, 2014 Share Posted May 9, 2014 El busto. And his May call for cool looks to go down the crapper.I disagree. Still haven't cracked 70 here. The cold winter was bound to lead to a cold spring where water temps are everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted June 18, 2014 Share Posted June 18, 2014 Paul Dorian is not going with Uptons forecast for today as he is still mentioning severe weather for today in his forecast http://spam.com/category/nyc/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 18, 2014 Share Posted June 18, 2014 Paul Dorian is not going with Uptons forecast for today as he is still mentioning severe weather for today in his forecast http://spam.com/category/nyc/ It's more of a timing issue. The 00z ECMWF brings the heart of the MCS over the region between 06z and 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 Trying to move this thread back to page 1 since it has been on page 3 here and nobody can find it and the JB critics are clogging up the August 2014 thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 JB going warm Sept, then cold and snow rest of the way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 JB going warm Sept, then cold and snow rest of the way Very snowy October? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 some analogs I like had a cool to normal September...either way it has no correlation for next winter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted August 23, 2014 Share Posted August 23, 2014 The Farmers almanac 2014-15 forecast... http://abc7news.com/weather/old-farmers-almanac-makes-prediction-for-2014-2015-winter/274964/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted August 23, 2014 Share Posted August 23, 2014 The Farmers almanac 2014-15 forecast... http://abc7news.com/weather/old-farmers-almanac-makes-prediction-for-2014-2015-winter/274964/ how are you all enjoying the HOT weather they predicted for this weekend ? And the 2 degrees above normal so far this month ? http://www.almanac.com/weather/longrange/region/us/2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted August 23, 2014 Share Posted August 23, 2014 how are you all enjoying the HOT weather they predicted for this weekend ? And the 2 degrees above normal so far this month ? http://www.almanac.com/weather/longrange/region/us/2 at least I can enjoy my electric bill when it comes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 For those of you who say he only plays the cold card here`s a little morsel for you . JB..... Enjoy it ( THIS WINTER ) , as there will be a flip in the coming few years, and a series of non winters is likely to develop for Winter weather lovers in the east and south.. Many of you who have really only been interested since 2000 would think the last 15 years or so are the norm . They were not . When the flip does come , and it will and we get to re live the winters of the 1980`s again and you will look back at the last 15 years with astonishment and say wow those winters were truly great . So Joey has a point , Enjoy it . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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