nyblizz44 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 yea their forecasting is VERY misleading to say the least and afraid they may be dropping the ball big time for ALOT of people tomorrow. and lower the totals according to new guidance? all guidance today trended towards more snow and colder solutions all the way down to the coast? who hires these people?!! By the way your signage shows a snowflake on the island.. u arent snowing r ya? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Channel 7 going with a change over to all rain all the way to I-287, and even mixing in the hudson valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Channel 7 going with a change over to all rain all the way to I-287, and even mixing in the hudson valley. Was that their forecast or the 'future cast'? I find those future cast radars to be way off more often than not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Lonnie Quinn knows more about products for his hair than the weather... is he a met? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYI91Tavares Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 By the way your signage shows a snowflake on the island.. u arent snowing r ya? I'm not far from him, and we've had on/off flurries for over an hour now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Was that their forecast or the 'future cast'? I find those future cast radars to be way off more often than not That was the forecast they just gave on the 620pm weather. not futurecast radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoastKU Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Lonnie Quinn is not a met he's the male version of a weather girl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Yeah but Joe Sobel does. that's Doctor Joe Sobel....so he has to be taken seriously. I went through chemo when I was 22 yrs old because I was told I had Hodgkins Lymphoma. Spent every fine I had because they told me it didn't look good. I'm now 47 married w 2 kids. Have been cancer free. That doctor I had was wrong. Being a doctor doesn't guarantee you're a genius. Just means you spent a lot of money and time in schooling.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metsfan Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I have created a blog with my thoughts on this storm. http://www.liveweatherblogs.com/index.php?option=com_community&view=groups&task=viewdiscussion&topicid=74128&groupid=10&Itemid=179 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Lonnie Quinn is not a met he's the male version of a weather girl. I thought that was Sam Champion...Why do we quote none mets?... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 is he a met?No, former soap opera actor, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Here's the link to DT's FB page. He has the 8" line running right up the NJ TPK, just to my east a few miles then right through NYC with 8-12" to the NW of that line and then 12"+ NW of a line from about Valley Forge, PA to White Plains. He also has Boston getting 80% rain and just a few inches of snow, being too far east (I recall some storm a long time ago people talk about where Boston got way less than DC-NYC, so it's possible) and similarly has the east end of LI and the Jersey Shore at only a few inches with mostly rain. Only a little less than the NWS has, overall, as he has the warmth going further inland for a longer time. Could well be correct, though. https://www.facebook.com/#!/notes/wxriskcom/-final-call-northeast-new-england-/646858195361442 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I have created a blog with my thoughts on this storm. http://www.liveweatherblogs.com/index.php?option=com_community&view=groups&task=viewdiscussion&topicid=74128&groupid=10&Itemid=179 I like the logic and rationale behind this- Not loving numbers as I think they area tad low across the board but you R the pro so Ill look on and respectfully disagree but admire the great work while understanding your caveats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Here's the link to DT's FB page. He has the 8" line running right up the NJ TPK, just to my east a few miles then right through NYC with 8-12" to the NW of that line and then 12"+ NW of a line from about Valley Forge, PA to White Plains. He also has Boston getting 80% rain and just a few inches of snow, being too far east (I recall some storm a long time ago people talk about where Boston got way less than DC-NYC, so it's possible) and similarly has the east end of LI and the Jersey Shore at only a few inches with mostly rain. Only a little less than the NWS has, overall, as he has the warmth going further inland for a longer time. Could well be correct, though. https://www.facebook.com/#!/notes/wxriskcom/-final-call-northeast-new-england-/646858195361442 He took no risk his numbers virtually miror the 8-12 Upton has for KNYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYC10023 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Channel 7 going with a change over to all rain all the way to I-287, and even mixing in the hudson valley. I saw that too. It's laughable to watch these talking heads eat crow with almost every storm. Not as much fun as it was watching Bloomberg, but close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I thought that was Sam Champion...Why do we quote none mets?... Thats a good question... I always laugh when someone post "Lonnie Quinn said". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Again that's accuwx... I'm not so sure that they can change it. Is it true Goldberg/Smith et al at Channel 7 can't deviate from the AccuWeather party line? I thought they will do that, but maybe my memory is faulty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I saw that too. It's laughable to watch these talking heads eat crow with almost every storm. Not as much fun as it was watching Bloomberg, but close. don't worry deblasio will be down there as well being a buffoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metsfan Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I like the logic and rationale behind this- Not loving numbers as I think they area tad low across the board but you R the pro so Ill look on and respectfully disagree but admire the great work while understanding your caveats. Thanks, but I need to be a little conservative as this is a very delicate situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Is it true Goldberg/Smith et al at Channel 7 can't deviate from the AccuWeather party line? I thought they will do that, but maybe my memory is faulty. I've heard others say they do but I haven't seen it. There have been some bad snow forecasts from accwx over the years and they seem to follow it... if you compare their seven day forcast to accuwx it always looks identical to me , right down to the eact same temp forcast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomcatct Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I went through chemo when I was 22 yrs old because I was told I had Hodgkins Lymphoma. Spent every fine I had because they told me it didn't look good. I'm now 47 married w 2 kids. Have been cancer free. That doctor I had was wrong. Being a doctor doesn't guarantee you're a genius. Just means you spent a lot of money and time in schooling.... Glad to hear you're doing well....and to your point, you're absolutely right about docs, they put their socks and underwear on just like the rest of us...they just get paid a whole lot more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Thanks, but I need to be a little conservative as this is a very delicate situation. I think this is very important and should be emphasized. We are talking about a rather delicate situation because little nuances can have a huge impact on snow totals. It's not easy putting snow amounts for this storm at all so I'm not going to criticize some of the forecast totals like some on here have. Start low and if you see things trending toward higher totals then you can increase amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 He took no risk his numbers virtually miror the 8-12 Upton has for KNYC Nope they copied him as he had his forecast out since Monday hahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Thanks, but I need to be a little conservative as this is a very delicate situation. Extremely well put. I realize the real range is 6- 15 inches in NYC proper but this forcast cant be put ou tto public as it would raise more questions than answers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DRVTS Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Glad to hear you're doing well....and to your point, you're absolutely right about docs, they put their socks and underwear on just like the rest of us...they just get paid a whole lot more. and also cure cancer .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 and also cure cancer .... Please tell us which doctor has cured cancer? Please don't go there. I have seen just as many patients misdiagnosed as those sent into remission. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Amazing how this thread went from bashing idiots on television to discussion of hair products and clothes to doctors that cure cancer. CBS and NBC both going 4-8" in NYC and 2-4" out here, they'll bust horribly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomcatct Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 and also cure cancer .... C'mon...there's no money in a cure....the drug companies and docs make their money in all of the treatments and drugs they put you on..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 What is interesting is I've heard almost no mention of the dryslot/break during the afternoon hours tomorrow. Most are just saying snow to sleet and rain then back to snow but not really talking about the fact that the sleet/rain will be light for a good 6 to 8 hours before the final batch starts to move in (assuming it does). I'm sure alot of people will be surprised if at 1 or 2:00 its not doing much but drizzling out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 The mets know more than those on this board. Its not as easy as just reading qpf amounts and making a forecast. Other things are factored in. This board was hyping NAM output during the playbyplay but the truth was when donsutherland posted the actual ouput which was much lower than the hypers portrayed. This board is not objective at all about snowfall totals. I saw very litlle analysis of the gfs latest run and its cutting back of totals. The ccb is no sure thing and amounts can be adjusted upward tomorrow after the lull if need be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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