LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Jan 26, 2011, 3/4 of the snow was wraparound and there was 12" in 5 hours. Not saying this will happen again but if we have a closed 500mb low go by, it will be a fun few hours even if there's rain for a time on the front end. The warmer trend on the Euro is a little disconcerting, I have to admit. I completely forgot about that being wrap around. I vividly vividly remember thunder super heavy sleet ( so hard you could not stand outside) In weather there is never a given Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 new mt holly map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 If that came to fruition, then I'd prefer this storm miss everyone on the East Coast. That would be pure torture to watch as I would be seeing heavy rain while inland folks just 30 miles west of me are cashing in. Almost like watching other men take a girl home after a clubbing night while you get zilch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 If that came to fruition, then I'd prefer this storm miss everyone on the East Coast. That would be pure torture to watch as I would be seeing heavy rain while inland folks just 30 miles west of me are cashing in. Almost like watching other men take a girl home after a clubbing night while you get zilch. The mix line will be even further west according to what people are saying on other threads. I don't think its torture considering we had a great run: I said after last Wed that winter had shot its load for us IMO and it looks like I may be right. But that's totally my own idea ( though they are seeing a warmup next week to seasonable temps...spring is coming ) this just ain't our storm. Now, a lot of winters a3-6 or 4-8 event with rain would be a welcome godsend, so lets take it if it comes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Njwinter Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 DT is taking a beating with some of the comments on his Facebook page. Nice to see that there are some sensible people see through this crap. You get the post from one of his followers this is the man does this for free. Bunch of baloney. It always seems worried about what everyone else is forecasting...he's a total con. The great manipulator. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
threeyoda Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Evening TV Forecasts: NBC NY (Janice Huff): Fox NY (Nick Gregory): ABC NY (Lee Goldberg): CBS NY (Lonnie Quinn): Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 What's with LQs random 3 pink bubbles of 12"+ lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monmouthcounty11 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Lonnie Quinn bumped up his totals and shifted everything SE a little and still has his random pink blobs which are now 14+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikemost Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Lonnie Quinn bumped up his totals and shifted everything SE a little and still has his random pink blobs which are now 14+. Living & dying by the 4k NAM? Still don't quite understand the random 14"+ blobs, kind of humorous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Living & dying by the 4k NAM? Still don't quite understand the random 14"+ blobs, kind of humorous. Lonnie extended those 14 inch blob to Manlapan in NJ and into Nassau/ Suffolk possibly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Lonnie extended those 14 inch blob to Manlapan in NJ and into Nassau/ Suffolk possibly Nick Gregory (Channel 5) is saying 6-9" for queens. Less points east and south, more north and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Rich Hoffman news 12 li The rain will wash all the snow away Umm really? I would be pissed if I were a kid and heard that! Li school districts could take that to mean a repeat of December which we know was a whole other animal for a million different reasons Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Joe Sobel from Accuweather on 1010 WINS saying 3-5 inches in NYC before changing to rain. Didn't mention anything about potential wraparound snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Rich Hoffman news 12 li The rain will wash all the snow away Umm really? I would be pissed if I were a kid and heard that! Li school districts could take that to mean a repeat of December which we know was a whole other animal for a million different reasons Yea news 12 is usually pretty brutal. Speaking of awfulness in the world of TV weather personalities, I decided to put on TWC when I got home from work. I usually flip it on for a few mins twice a week. I don't know why I do...probably my love for the weather. Anyway, TWC has decided to make no sense once again. They show you a computer model run which they say is part of what they base their forecast off of. It shows a snow to a decent period of rain to a long dry slot to snow scenario for NYC and Philly. They immediately then show you 2 ways the storm can track. One basically hugs the coast and then heads for the eastern tip of LI. The other is a BM track. They say they are going with the 2nd track which according to them keeps the big cities all snow. Now this obviously contradicts what they just showed on the computer model they used and their local forecasts (for my area at least). Basically you just heard them go with both scenarios in a matter of 30 secs. They are completely unwatchable. ..and usually are so far behind on what they forecast to what we all know is about to happen. In this case there definitely is more uncertainty. But in other clear cut cases like the storms in Jan, they were so bad up until 6 hours before the storm that it's become irresponsible. And the way they just fumbled that segment I talked about, makes me wonder why I still turn it on at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LnbWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 TWC is saying 3-5 inches and then rain for me tomorrow. NWS - 10 to 14. Accuwx - 6-10. What am I missing here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoastKU Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 TWC is always late to the party... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Highly, highly doubtful, about rain washing the snow away. How is maybe a half inch of rain going to wash away 1" liquid that falls as snow at temps that will stay 35 and below? Honestly, what the TV mets say confounds me sometimes. They hype up what should be barely discussed, and play down what should be hyped. Tomorrow morning's commute is going to be a complete disaster and there's a real threat for power losses if the amount of wet snow falls that seems likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 New Mt Holly map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoastKU Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Rich Hoffman has been fighting for his life on facebook. Seemingly he is annoyed with all of the facebook weather pages that have been forecasting anything near 10-12 inches. He has been claiming a mainly rain event for days now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triniiphone Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 upped totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Wow upped totals. Even NYC is in 10-14. Getting excited! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYI91Tavares Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Rich Hoffman has been fighting for his life on facebook. Seemingly he is annoyed with all of the facebook weather pages that have been forecasting anything near 10-12 inches. He has been claiming a mainly rain event for days now. Hoffman is a joke. He downplays everything till the last minute, and then "revises" his forecast after its already happened. Yesterday he had a fb post of "Here's what I'm thinking..." and it was verbatim ripped from weather.gov's discussion section. You could do his job with no meteorological training at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Under WSW in SW suffolk for 4-8". Thinking i get 9-12" from the front end dump alone. Upton being VERY conservative ATM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYI91Tavares Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Under WSW in SW suffolk for 4-8". Thinking i get 9-12" from the front end dump alone. Upton being VERY conservative ATM I'm in 6-8, I'd be perfectly content with that. I just want the front end dump to be large enough for them to cancel schools. People like Hoffman spewing "mostly rain" is going to make school districts think its okay to open, or just do a two hour delay. I don't want my friends and family whom work in schools to risk their lives because of shoddy, irresponsible forecasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoastKU Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I'm in 6-8, I'd be perfectly content with that. I just want the front end dump to be large enough for them to cancel schools. People like Hoffman spewing "mostly rain" is going to make school districts think its okay to open, or just do a two hour delay. I don't want my friends and family whom work in schools to risk their lives because of shoddy, irresponsible forecasting. Most LI schools will close Thursday and Friday while The NYC mayor will have me getting my dog sled ready to teach 4 kids tomorrow because I think he comes up with his own forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I'm in 6-8, I'd be perfectly content with that. I just want the front end dump to be large enough for them to cancel schools. People like Hoffman spewing "mostly rain" is going to make school districts think its okay to open, or just do a two hour delay. I don't want my friends and family whom work in schools to risk their lives because of shoddy, irresponsible forecasting.Not sure if you saw my earlier post but that's exactly what I'm thinking. It's going to be ripping at 7am and even at 9am for a delayed opening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoastKU Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Was reading all the NAM responses.. but Accu Wx (WINS NYC) is saying " half foot in the city, then rain... flooded roadway concerns .. big snows well N & W (Sussex)" ... could be looking at weenie suicide watch (me included) Come down from the ledge your location will do fine! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Fri nite - Sat DEEP LOW PRESSURE MOVES WELL TO THE NORTHEASTFRIDAY...WITH NEXT FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. IT DOES LOOKLIKE LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS JUST TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE FRIDAY NIGHTAND EARLY SATURDAY. ECMWF IS FAIRLY AGGRESSIVE WITH MEASURABLE QPFACROSS EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 ...for us islanders.. lee goldberg/jeff smith 4pm broadcast still have 1-3" for ELI.. doesn't jive with what i'm reading here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 ...for us islanders.. lee goldberg/jeff smith 4pm broadcast still have 1-3" for ELI.. doesn't jive with what i'm reading here.. I know we go thru this with every storm but ch 7 uses accuwx so those snowfall predictions come from them and we know about their problems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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