pazzo83 Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 On 3/4/2014 at 6:21 PM, Snow88 said: JB is calling for a major winter storm next week after the brief warmup. Nope, unless you speak French (of the Canadian variant). On 3/5/2014 at 3:32 PM, Snow88 said: Larry Cosgrove Quote Forecast thought for the day: the March 7-9 storm may be stronger than many think, and the system March 13 - 15 bears watching for Appalachia, the Mid-Atlantic, New England and the Maritime Provinces. As in "winter storm". Wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 another ugly JB bust shaping up...from today: But I think the heaviest is going to fall between where the March 2-3 storm hit and the one this week , from the lower Ohio valley through Pa and NJ - nope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 On 3/14/2014 at 4:35 PM, Brian5671 said: another ugly JB bust shaping up...from today: But I think the heaviest is going to fall between where the March 2-3 storm hit and the one this week , from the lower Ohio valley through Pa and NJ - nope. Time to cancel the Weeniebell subscription....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 On 3/14/2014 at 4:38 PM, WeatherX said: Time to cancel the Weeniebell subscription....... Yep,been an ugly month over there. Great winter call, but the last month of storm calls has been horrific to say the least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 On 3/14/2014 at 4:35 PM, Brian5671 said: another ugly JB bust shaping up...from today: But I think the heaviest is going to fall between where the March 2-3 storm hit and the one this week , from the lower Ohio valley through Pa and NJ - nope. latest JB comment: "GFS back south again. UKMEY back further north than last night. I dont believe model handling of this as it continues to look bizarre to me." makes no mention of canadian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Friggin' Weather Channel is saying at 1 pm latest models are a smidge north so New England watch out. How old is the info they must be using?! And this from Postel.. Isn't he one of their winter weather leads? Shameful.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 On 3/14/2014 at 4:57 PM, green tube said: latest JB comment: "GFS back south again. UKMEY back further north than last night. I dont believe model handling of this as it continues to look bizarre to me." makes no mention of canadian. he'll hold out until Sunday morning, well after everyone else has moved on and then say he's giving up-he should stick to general pattern analysis and skip the storm predictions... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 On 3/14/2014 at 4:41 PM, Brian5671 said: Yep,been an ugly month over there. Great winter call, but the last month of storm calls has been horrific to say the least I was talking about the model subscription, but yeah tough month indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 On 3/14/2014 at 5:10 PM, WeatherX said: I was talking about the model subscription, but yeah tough month indeed. might as well in that regard-everyone posts the models here for free... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 after this 12Z total flip by most of the models going to be interesting which TV/Radio/Internet Mets are going to make total jackasses out of themselves - any candidates ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 On 3/14/2014 at 5:26 PM, NEG NAO said: after this 12Z total flip by most of the models going to be interesting which TV/Radio/Internet Mets are going to make total jackasses out of themselves - any candidates ? Luckily most were smart enough to hold off on making any snoWfall forecasts or putting out maps too early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 What if there's a total flip at 0z, how will everyone react then. If everyone's discounting it now then shouldn't they all discount that too. If not then it proves most are hypocritical and incredibly biased Either that or they'll say the 12z runs were just a blip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 On 3/14/2014 at 5:16 PM, Brian5671 said: might as well in that regard-everyone posts the models here for free... Lol, that's a good point. It was worth the dough though in my opinion. Having said that I'm glad to be done until next November Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 On 3/14/2014 at 5:34 PM, SnoSki14 said: What if there's a total flip at 0z, how will everyone react then. If everyone's discounting it now then shouldn't they all discount that too. If not then it proves most are hypocritical and incredibly biased Either that or they'll say the 12z runs were just a blip. we'd be 12 hrs closer so that's something. It won't be happening though, if anything, they're going further south--look at that PV moving south.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 On 3/14/2014 at 5:32 PM, Plfdwxdude said: Luckily most were smart enough to hold off on making any snoWfall forecasts or putting out maps too early That's true-this would be the 3rd time the media gets burned on an upcoming snowstorm. I'm glad they aren't biting yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 On 3/14/2014 at 5:42 PM, Brian5671 said: we'd be 12 hrs closer so that's something. It won't be happening though, if anything, they're going further south--look at that PV moving south.... The PV is not the problem with this. It's the energy that's holding back and is digging too far south that's causing issues. It was a problem will the early March system because the PV was even stronger back then and further south but more importantly the southern disturbance was very weak to barely anything. The southern energy with this is much stronger and more consolidated than with that storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Paul Dorian has a very good discussion on this potential event for 3/17 -3/18 http://spam.com/category/nyc/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Just read JB's blog...he notes an analog for this one 3/2/80...yes, March 1980. Surprised he didnt make the March 1980 connection awhile ago and go with little snow PHL and north.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 On 3/14/2014 at 5:00 PM, CTWeatherFreak said: Friggin' Weather Channel is saying at 1 pm latest models are a smidge north so New England watch out. How old is the info they must be using?! And this from Postel.. Isn't he one of their winter weather leads? Shameful.. They are always 24 hrs behind in the winter..always Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 Larry Cosgrove Quote "Storm couplet northern Pacific Ocean feeding off of equatorial breach; major winter storm threat East Coast 03/26! " Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 On 3/19/2014 at 3:20 AM, Snow88 said: Larry Cosgrove Apparently he's been really harping on this threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 On 3/19/2014 at 3:20 AM, Snow88 said: Larry Cosgrove where did you find that ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 On 3/19/2014 at 12:26 PM, NEG NAO said: where did you find that ? Twitter yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 Bernie the wishcaster's from inaccuweather's update let's see if he can keep his perfect record of being wrong going http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-video/winter-to-continue-midwest-and/2430839568001?channel=top_story Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 19, 2014 Share Posted March 19, 2014 On 3/19/2014 at 3:37 PM, NEG NAO said: Bernie the wishcaster's from inaccuweather's update let's see if he can keep his perfect record of being wrong going http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-video/winter-to-continue-midwest-and/2430839568001?channel=top_story He's been dreadful this month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Steve D's thoughts at this juncture. http://www.nynjpaweather.com/2014/03/19/storm-potential-for-next-week-not-so-fast/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 On 3/20/2014 at 3:34 AM, Rtd208 said: Steve D's thoughts at this juncture. http://www.nynjpaweather.com/2014/03/19/storm-potential-for-next-week-not-so-fast/ He's been pretty good this winter. Nailed the last non-event from the get go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 On 3/20/2014 at 3:42 AM, snow1 said: He's been pretty good this winter. Nailed the last non-event from the get go He's been horribly wrong all year. Especially the other non event 3/3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 On 3/20/2014 at 3:51 AM, JGNYK03 said: He's been horribly wrong all year. Especially the other non event 3/3Eh, I guess but he's been good. Let's see what happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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