teconnectivity2013 Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 how does it look for upstate south carolina Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Clown maps are orgasmic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Would like to see how the rest of the column, but imo it's a little early to worry about that. A 1039 HP is pretty strong, if it stays at that strength I could see this trend colder. But as it is, it looks like nw nc get's hammered this run for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Oh, God, NC gets plastered!!! So, I just signed in and this is the first post I see. I think it's destiny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Where the hell is everybody -- we finally get a model run showing a big NC snowstorm and everybody is watching Leno????? Its one run. Setting us up to failure in the end. I hope not but failed so much this year hard to get excited yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Just because: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 GFS clown maps show 2-8 inches for most of the western 2/3 of the state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Would like to see how the rest of the column, but imo it's a little early to worry about that. A 1039 HP is pretty strong, if it stays at that strength I could see this trend colder. But as it is, it looks like nw nc get's hammered this run for sure A good chunk of NC gets hammered this run. Morganton is at 33 degrees when the event starts and drops to 31 degrees during the heart of the event. The snow maps are a beauty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 So, I just signed in and this is the first post I see. I think it's destiny. Might be some P-type issues out your way, but it's a great run considering what we've had over the last couple days. Now, let's just hope it's onto something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 I just have a feeling the precip field is going to move east. Really, I think we could see a March 1980 type storm with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 FWIW--- Joe Bastardi GFS drives a storm and I dot know that I have ever seen this.. from Montana to off SC next week. I like path of Canadian/UKMET Of course he would say that. More $$ for him I'm optimistic for this system the models are featuring, we seem to be in a much favorable pattern now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Of course he would say that. More $$ for him I'm optimistic for this system the models are featuring, we seem to be in a much favorable pattern now I hope like heck he's wrong, but we'll see next week!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
teconnectivity2013 Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 A good chunk of NC gets hammered this run. Morganton is at 33 degrees when the event starts and drops to 31 degrees during the heart of the event. The snow maps are a beauty. upstate sc is getting hardly anything on that model run hope it changes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 I hope like heck he's wrong, but we'll see next week!!! and better yet we did not have to go to a ensemble member for crazy accumulations okay time for me to calm down and realize it's one model run XD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 The UK Met has come further south, it seems, though it's still a no-go for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Here's DT's tak on the 0z Goofus!! BUT as these maps show the GFS is clearly dropping the main energy TOOO far to the south next Wednesday. Not only does the patttern show this but the GFS has a strong tendency to weakens and supress Big east coast Lows in the Day 4 to day 10 range... That's 2 Met's pretty much saying it's bogus! So I wouldn't get to excited... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steven_1974 Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 I just have a feeling the precip field is going to move east. Really, I think we could see a March 1980 type storm with this. We can only hope.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 BUT as these maps show the GFS is clearly dropping the main energy TOOO far to the south next Wednesday. Not only does the patttern show this but the GFS has a strong tendency to weakens and supress Big east coast Lows in the Day 4 to day 10 range... I agree not sure why everyone here is saying orgasmic, hell where er body at, 5+ posting the same snowfall map, for a 7 day storm. Way too early to be getting exciting for this one unless you don't mind getting burned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Here's DT's tak on the 0z Goofus!! BUT as these maps show the GFS is clearly dropping the main energy TOOO far to the south next Wednesday. Not only does the patttern show this but the GFS has a strong tendency to weakens and supress Big east coast Lows in the Day 4 to day 10 range... DT uses way too many definites in the LR. I'm still waiting for my major ice storm on February 22nd that he basically guaranteed 7+ days out. Of course, he may be right, but still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 DT uses way too many definites in the LR. I'm still waiting for my major ice storm on February 22nd that he basically guaranteed 7+ days out. Of course, he may be right, but still. agreed. we have to realize these people(DT and JB) make money off their forecasts and cater to folks mainly in the NE. This could cloud their judgement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 DT uses way too many definites in the LR. I'm still waiting for my major ice storm on February 22nd that he basically guaranteed 7+ days out. Of course, he may be right, but still. I agree he's wrong alot, I was pointing out 2 Met's don't really believe this will be the way it plays out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 upstate sc is getting hardly anything on that model run hope it changes Not looking good for that at the moment. Being 7 days out we usually see northward trends begin within 2-4 days out. This could trend to a VA storm and leave the Asheville area out too, which is my current thinking but obviously not sure from just 1 model run. Not always good to see the bulleye near Wilkes 7 days out. Would much prefer it to be 80 miles south of here. Still chance of nothing anywhere close to NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Big changes coming with the Canadian .... 12z at 120 hours had closed low over ND. 0z at 108 hours has closed low central Wyoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 And the Canadian shows a Lakes Cutter which transfers its energy off the New Jersey coast and pounds New England. Okay... Of course, it's way out of line with every other model that I've seen. At hr 144, for example, it has the surface low over southern Wisconsin whereas even the UK Met has it over SE KY/NE TN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Bit of a trend, though. Definitely started out further south earlier in the run -- trended south slightly vs. 12z. run. And the Canadian shows a Lakes Cutter which transfers its energy off the New Jersey coast and pounds New England. Okay... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 I can count on one hand the number of times in the last two winters a model run has showed accumulating snow for me in the 7-day or less range. I can also count on one hand -- or fewer -- the number of times you've made a post that contributed anything to the discussion on this board. I agree not sure why everyone here is saying orgasmic, hell where er body at, 5+ posting the same snowfall map, for a 7 day storm. Way too early to be getting exciting for this one unless you don't mind getting burned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Bit of a trend, though. Definitely started out further south earlier in the run -- trended south slightly vs. 12z. run. Yeah, I suppose so. 12z was really far north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 The GFS Ensemble Mean is north of the op, though not by a huge degree. It's still too far north for NC/TN, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 I know everyone is going to say I'm crazy but I really didn't like the looks of the 2m temps on the gfs. I know the 850's were good and we're 7 days out but imo we would like to see the 2m temps colder or for this to come through at night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 The GFS Ensemble Mean is north of the op, though not by a huge degree. It's still too far north for NC/TN, though. That's not really too bad imo. As a matter of fact it makes me feel better the track wasn't further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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