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March Pattern and Discussion


Bevo

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It appeared to me that the Euro suppressed our storm into oblivion based on the free maps.  However, there is a 983 mb low off the coast of Cape Hatteras at the end of the run with 850s well below 0C, LOL.

 

I have a hard time believing that our storm will be suppressed so severely in late March, but that would be typical.

 

Of course, the GFS showed a bomb and isn't it usually biased towards suppression?

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Euro was a swing and a miss for both storms...but you know this is where you wanna be at this time in the game. The problem is still marginal sfc temps. That being said Euro crushes NC @222.  :axe:

 

It certainly beats looking to the north and hoping with futility for it to come south! :)

 

Here is the 00z GFS clown.  High-quality porn for N NC and VA.  :lmao:

 

00zgfssnowdepth192.gif

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Things are ripe for a major storm on the East Coast around the 22-26 timeframe. We get a spike in the PNA to positive, Historic blocking with the -AO and the NAO dives into negative territory again. The GFS and Navgem may not be far off showing a big storm in the timeframe. As Gawx said, With an -AO this strong, unusual things can happen.

Who are you and where is Metallica?? :(

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Who are you and where is Metallica?? :(

 

LOL!  Well we did get a good amount of blocking in early March and there was a fairly big east coast storm, this blocking looks even better, you would think there is a good chance for something to happen in the next 10 days.   I am sure whatever happens Boston will get another 12" of snow.

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As long as you have been on here and you dont know what time euro runs? 2? Since when

 

With Daylight Saving's Time, it's roughly 2 PM/2 AM now (closer to 3 PM before we find anything out at this range).

 

Even my insomnia-induced self isn't likely to be staying up for many Euro runs this week, haha.

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With Daylight Saving's Time, it's roughly 2 PM/2 AM now (closer to 3 PM before we find anything out at this range).

 

Even my insomnia-induced self isn't likely to be staying up for many Euro runs this week, haha.

 

Some will stay up late.

 

i-JRdf5wd-L.jpg

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Euro doesn't have much. Has a storm swinging through around the 240hr timeframe and goes OTS. Spreads light snow over GA, SC, and E NC.

 

The free maps look okay with a low tracking from the northern Gulf to a couple hundred miles east of the SC coast at hr 168.  Granted, it's probably nothing verbatim  but I guess we want this suppressed rather than the alternative.

I'd be lying if I wasn't scared of suppression at this point, though.

 

Then, of course, there's that fantasy strong storm OTS at the end of the run.

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