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March Pattern and Discussion


Bevo

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Euro still has the monster at the end of the run. 971mb beast for the NE and MA.

Much warmer for the SE with the storm.

That run destroys the NE.

 

gotta love the Euro's infatuation for projecting a huge storm somewhere close to the coast

 

I'm betting a less amplified western ridge will lead to a weak frontal passage in the southeast, but I hope we actually have something interesting to follow

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I gave this winter a chance at common sense, fool me once, fool me twice, fool me thrice, no more fooling. I think it is so far late in the game (in overtime now) we should be looking at this particular storm not pattern logic. We just need a brief one day perfect timing hail mary for this to work.

 

We can't look at the given storm unless the pattern forms...the flow would not allow it. I'm not talking about an extended period of blocking after this time period, I'm well aware 7-10 day time period is the last chance we're going to have, but if the ridge/trough combo doesn't set up in a way conducive of a coastal, then there's no reason to look at this storm. If it doesn't set up all we're going to be is wet and ready for spring to come...that's probably what's going to happen. Perfect timing is an understatement for what it will take for NC to cash in on this one mid March. More like "miracle." I came back from NYC over spring break, they were 33 degrees and rain for the majority of the last storm, with snow on the backside...I'll let that sink in for a minute. This is NC, crazier things have happened but if the most cold is going to be over Asia and not Canada, our wimpy little PV won't do it for us I'm thinking.

 

gotta love the Euro's infatuation for projecting a huge storm somewhere close to the coast

 

I'm betting a less amplified western ridge will lead to a weak frontal passage in the southeast, but I hope we actually have something interesting to follow

 

Exactly.

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