GaWx Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Throw it out. Goofy is being goofy lol. Edit: Ahaaa, what do we have here? The 0z Doc is much colder than its prior runs in the 6-10. So, winter really might not be over. Surprise lolz. Don't underestimate the forecasting power of analogs as well as the durability of strong blocking. It still remains to be seen, but the model hints from the last few days have suggested winter not being over by any stretch. The analogs support this idea. We'll see. Night night! Folks, Well, is Goofy still being goofy or is it onto something? The last several runs have lacked a cold week 2. Also, the 12Z Doc wasn't that cold. With the good blocking and analog support for a higher than avg. chance for a cold/wintry period in mid March, I'm not yet giving up although I admit the latest models aren't encouraging. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Folks, Well, is Goofy still being goofy or is it onto something? The last several runs have lacked a cold week 2. Also, the 12Z Doc wasn't that cold. With the good blocking and analog support for a higher than avg. chance for a cold/wintry period in mid March, I'm not yet giving up although I admit the latest models aren't encouraging. We'll see. I would rather be cold now than flip warmer now cause if we do get warm now I predict mid to late April ends up with wall to wall CADs with 45 and drizzle for days on end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Folks, Well, is Goofy still being goofy or is it onto something? The last several runs have lacked a cold week 2. Also, the 12Z Doc wasn't that cold. With the good blocking and analog support for a higher than avg. chance for a cold/wintry period in mid March, I'm not yet giving up although I admit the latest models aren't encouraging. We'll see. Models haven't been right all winter so I'd rather see them wrong now! :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Anything on the LR from last night I figure we are done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Anything on the LR from last night I figure we are done The fact that this place is a ghost town should be a leading indicator. See you for svrwx season! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiQuiDBuD Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 The fact that there weren't any posts in this thread for 14 hours speaks volumes. Spring has sprung. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 The fact that there weren't any posts in this thread for 14 hours speaks volumes. Spring has sprung. The ensembles say enjoy the warm up this week because its short lived! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moonhowl Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 The ensembles say enjoy the warm up this week because its short lived! I don't know about you but I am tired of clouds, chilly weather, and rain. Bring on an east coast ridge, guess it ain't going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 The 00z Euro and it's control run were both lackluster. Two or three juicy systems roll through but cold air is a day late and a dollar short. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 The 00z Euro and it's control run were both lackluster. Two or three juicy systems roll through but cold air is a day late and a dollar short. why is the cold air always late? why not at least half the time can the cold air not be here before the storm arrives. 90 percent of the time we get the moisture it arrives into warm air and then the storm departs the cold rolls in, whats with that? FRUSTRATING Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 The ensembles say enjoy the warm up this week because its short lived! I don't know about you but I am tired of clouds, chilly weather, and rain. Bring on an east coast ridge, guess it ain't going to happen. Same here. I'm ready for warmer and sunny days with some severe weather to follow. We have had too many cold rainy days and not enough snow this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCWX Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 I am ready for thunder, lightning, and hail... end winter now please. Bring on some fun. And warm sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Well, not sure how the ensembles play into the extended...but for southeast VA, anyway, the extended shows a lot of 60's, a couple of pops of 70, and otherwise average temperatures (50's). Sounds like Spring is trying to creep in to me. Regardless of what any given model says...It's getting close to mid-March. The Sun angle is getting higher and higher, the days longer, and the averages are now on the rise. Any cold we get is more likely to be short lived, compared to any mild or average spells. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Southern Track Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Unless GaWx's analogs show up, I'm ready for it to get warm as well. Being cold with nothing to show for it is getting tiresome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted March 7, 2013 Author Share Posted March 7, 2013 Interesting outlook from NOAA regarding ENSO into the summer months (since this is technically a LR discussion): http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/03/07/weather-elnio-cpc-idUSL1N0BZ9OM20130307?feedType=RSS&feedName=industrialsSector&rpc=43 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Interesting outlook from NOAA regarding ENSO into the summer months (since this is technically a LR discussion): http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/03/07/weather-elnio-cpc-idUSL1N0BZ9OM20130307?feedType=RSS&feedName=industrialsSector&rpc=43 I haven't looked at ENSO status in a while now, so thanks for posting the outlook. It'll be interesting to see what status will be favored as we move toward next winter. Would be nice to have the ever-elusive weak west-based Nino, but another Nina wouldn't surprise me. Add that to a raging -PDO and watch winter get buggered again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 QBO is about to go positive as well,we'll see how that effects the solar/strat end of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 well does anyone see any cold and snow for around the 15th thru the 23. I was reading this might be a good time frame for the nc mtns. got to have one decent snow this year. I'll settle for 2 inches. Things are really bad when this is all I'm asking for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K4CF Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 FOX weatherman accepts "timeout" for blown forecast for DC... http://www.myfoxdc.com/story/21541124/snowstorm-spares-dc-heads-toward-new-england#axzz2MqcAfuyA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 The ensembles say enjoy the warm up this week because its short lived! Gfs ensembles say spring is here to stay. The euro ensembles are really not cool either just less warm. Jmo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rosie Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 I will be totally happy with spring, enough cloudy, cold windy days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 EURO hour 738 has 75-80 degrees in the Carolina's slightly cooler in the mountains but warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 I will be totally happy with spring, enough cloudy, cold windy days. I'll remind you of this in late July early August when we are all sitting around dreaming about CAD days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Alchemist Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 It's quiet in here.... Too quiet !!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 EURO hour 738 has 75-80 degrees in the Carolina's slightly cooler in the mountains but warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rosie Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 I'll remind you of this in late July early August when we are all sitting around dreaming about CAD days. I am sure I will be dreaming of cold during those miserable hot months this summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarolinaCrusher2000 Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 SSW in progress in Asia as we speak, could scramble the weather patterns again. There's no telling what we will get. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/intraseasonal/temp10anim.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 SSW in progress in Asia as we speak, could scramble the weather patterns again. There's no telling what we will get. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/intraseasonal/temp10anim.gif based on the events of the last one in Jan., not expecting any effect on sensible weather around the SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 SSW in progress in Asia as we speak, could scramble the weather patterns again. There's no telling what we will get. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/intraseasonal/temp10anim.gif EURO develops an Omega block in Canada by day 10 that results in CAD signature. Probably too late in the game for most of us, but I am always intrigued with Omega blocks and the resultant pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 EURO develops an Omega block in Canada by day 10 that results in CAD signature. Probably too late in the game for most of us, but I am always intrigued with Omega blocks and the resultant pattern. IIRC, when I looked at the LR GFS a few days ago, it was advertising some sort of fantasy storm around that time period. I haven't looked again since it's so far out there and it's unlikely to happen. Plus, I've had enough model watching for now. We've gotten accumulating snows in the northern NC Piedmont in mid/late March in 1983, 1993, and 2003. Next up is 2013, obviously. Guaranteed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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