LithiaWx Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Never say never.... http://www.glenallenweather.com/links/snowmaps/1983/SE%20snowstorm%20mar24-25,%201983.pdf'>http://www.glenallenweather.com/links/snowmaps/1983/SE%20snowstorm%20mar24-25,%201983.pdf Was the second time in my life I had seen lightning and thunder in a snowstorm, first was March 1980. I think ATL got pounded by that storm with about 8 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 I think ATL got pounded by that storm with about 8 inches. Yeah in fact its one of ATL all time storms I think, it was crazy here I remember it being nighttime here with lightning and snow; also seemed to be over rather quick like it started right before dark and it was clear and cold in the morning . But I could be thinking of a different time I was only 11. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 I did. Still sticking with what I said. Things look well. I would not be surprised to see the heavier snow rates shift a little further south by Wednesday. Still think we get at least 6 inches of snow. I really think you (Raleigh) can cash in but...saying at least 6 inches of snow on a 5 day storm is setting the bar high man. Good-luck maybe you will get more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 I think ATL got pounded by that storm with about 8 inches. KATL got 8" on 3/24/1983 (heaviest snow since the 8-10" 1/1940 snow) and 2.7" on 3/2/1980. Edit: My three year record of not seeing s single flake or pellet is still intact. I saw none last night or this morning in Dunwoody. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 KATL got 8" on 3/24/1983 (heaviest snow since the 8-10" 1/1940 snow) and 2.7" on 3/2/1980. Edit: My three year record of not seeing s single flake or pellet is still intact. I saw none last night or this morning in Dunwoody. It's up in Tennessee..I see in on radar, but those folks are snatching every flake I keep hearing sleet when I go outside, but it isn't there. Four or five bad winters and I'm going insane. Haven't had anything by paultry mange snow since the last big spring ULL...hearing things, I want to hear...and now I see Zombies in the woods...and rabid, snarling possessed girl scouts with their heads spinning. Heart beating too fast....every thing swirling..... closing into black.......arrrrggggghhhhhhh............. Meanwhile, do we trust.... the weeklies, and climo... that it will be cold, or trust Goofy who said it would snow today....just didn't actually say it would snow on you and me particularly...and now shows a less than exciting look? T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 KATL got 8" on 3/24/1983 (heaviest snow since the 8-10" 1/1940 snow) and 2.7" on 3/2/1980. Edit: My three year record of not seeing s single flake or pellet is still intact. I saw none last night or this morning in Dunwoody. Holy cow! Not 15 minutes after I posted the above did I see a snow flurry! Alert the media lol. First flakes seen falling since 3/10. Tks to the moles! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a5ehren Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Holy cow! Not 15 minutes after I posted the above did I see a snow flurry! Alert the media lol. First flakes seen falling since 3/10. Tks to the moles! Yeah I've been seeing flurries off and on all day around Dunwoody. The little shower a few minutes ago was the best one I've seen today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 CRITICAL WEATHER DAY STATUS...CWD WILL PROBABLY BE PUT IN PLACE LATER TODAY.. AFTER THE 12ZMODEL RUNS AND COORDINATION/DISCUSSIONS ARE CONDUCTED.. DUE TOTHE DEVELOPING WINTER STORM EXPECTED TO IMPACT AREAS OF CENTRALAND EASTERN REGION DURING THE NEXT 4-5 DAYS. MORETO COME ON CWD ISSUANCE AFTER THE 12Z MODEL RUNS ARE COMPLETE.THE CWD WILL INSURE A MORE RELIABLE FLOW OF DATA AND MODEL OUTPUTTO NWS AND NCEP CENTERS.. DURING THIS WINTER STORM EVENT.NEWBY/SDM/NCO/NCEP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Well that is a short way to put it. Blacksburg Long term /Thursday through Saturday/... winter appears to be over as a closed low drops into The Four Corners region which pumps up heights back east. 850 mb temperatures rise to near +10c by the end of the weekend with abundant dry air and sunshine...thus no precipitation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Well that is a short way to put it. Blacksburg Long term /Thursday through Saturday/... winter appears to be over as a closed low drops into The Four Corners region which pumps up heights back east. 850 mb temperatures rise to near +10c by the end of the weekend with abundant dry air and sunshine...thus no precipitation. Boy they have been accurate this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Hopefully we can get some good severe weather outbreaks this Spring. Watching the long term closely for any signs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Where are the severe weather people? They can nail these events often 7 days out. Disc and others when can we expect our first threat? #Severe Weather Hungry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach B Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Well that is a short way to put it. BlacksburgLong term /Thursday through Saturday/... winter appears to be over OHX thinks we go cool again next week: AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN 626 PM CST SUN MAR 3 2013 . FOR NEXT WEEK...PROJECTIONS INDICATE WE WILL SLIP BACK INTO A COOL AND UNSETTLED PATTERN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Well that is a short way to put it. BlacksburgLong term /Thursday through Saturday/... winter appears to be over as a closed low drops into The Four Corners region which pumps up heights back east. 850 mb temperatures rise to near +10c by the end of the weekend with abundant dry air and sunshine...thus no precipitation. The long range on the 18z GFS doesn't look all that warm to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Don't look now and don't laugh, but there is very cold air lurking nearby around midmonth per the 12Z Goofy and several recent GFS runs. I fully recognize the GFS cold bias, but those same analogs that suggested a cold start to March also suggest the potential of a second cold period near midmonth. Here is a link to the thread I started on 1/1 regarding the warm early winter analogs that suggested a good chance for a chilly March (note that several of the highlighted dates are in mid-March): http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/38633-rest-of-se-winter-best-by-far-yet-to-come-per-warm-decjan-analogs/ Regarding those calling winter over after this week: you may want to hold back for now and see what develops over the next two weeks or so. Look what just has occurred...coldest five day period in many cases, first wintry precip. for some....which was suggested as a good chance to occur by these same analogs. Also, with good blocking quite possibly expected to persist, this period definitely does need to be monitored for the realisitc possibility of more wintry wx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 Don't look now and don't laugh, but there is very cold air lurking nearby around midmonth per the 12Z Goofy and several recent GFS runs. I fully recognize the GFS cold bias, but those same analogs that suggested a cold start to March also suggest the potential of a second cold period near midmonth. Here is a link to the thread I started on 1/1 regarding the warm early winter analogs that suggested a good chance for a chilly March (note that several of the highlighted dates are in mid-March): http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/38633-rest-of-se-winter-best-by-far-yet-to-come-per-warm-decjan-analogs/ Regarding those calling winter over after this week: you may want to hold back for now and see what develops over the next two weeks or so. Look what just has occurred...coldest five day period in many cases, first wintry precip. for some....which was suggested as a good chance to occur by these same analogs. Also, with good blocking quite possibly expected to persist, this period definitely does need to be monitored for more wintry wx. I think you've relieved your burden of proof regarding March so far. So your above post should be earnestly considered in my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Don't look now and don't laugh, but there is very cold air lurking nearby around midmonth per the 12Z Goofy and several recent GFS runs. I fully recognize the GFS cold bias, but those same analogs that suggested a cold start to March also suggest the potential of a second cold period near midmonth. Here is a link to the thread I started on 1/1 regarding the warm early winter analogs that suggested a good chance for a chilly March (note that several of the highlighted dates are in mid-March): http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/38633-rest-of-se-winter-best-by-far-yet-to-come-per-warm-decjan-analogs/ Regarding those calling winter over after this week: you may want to hold back for now and see what develops over the next two weeks or so. Look what just has occurred...coldest five day period in many cases, first wintry precip. for some....which was suggested as a good chance to occur by these same analogs. Also, with good blocking quite possibly expected to persist, this period definitely does need to be monitored for the realisitc possibility of more wintry wx. I'm hoping winter is done. I don't want to go through what we just went throguh with the current system again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I'm hoping winter is done. I don't want to go through what we just went throguh with the current system again. There is a very, very easy way to avoid that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 There is a very, very easy way to avoid that. That's like being a fan of a team and not watching their games because they might lose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 What do you guys think about the GFS today at day 12? Not in details but the general idea of a cold pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 That's like being a fan of a team and not watching their games because they might lose. Sounds like your an NC state fan! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 What do you guys think about the GFS today at day 12? Not in details but the general idea of a cold pattern. I think if it's gonna be cold and dry, it might as well be warm. Repeat, repeat, repeat, repeat, repeat, repeat..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Sounds like your an NC state fan! No, Tar Heels fan. Win or lose, I am going to watch. Same thing with this crazy weather stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 That's like being a fan of a team and not watching their games because they might lose. I guess you do have sort of a point there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Sounds like your an NC state fan! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 What do you guys think about the GFS today at day 12? Not in details but the general idea of a cold pattern. >I think if it's gonna be cold and dry, it might as well be warm. Repeat, repeat, repeat, repeat, repeat, repeat..... I hear you; some nice warm days sound good.....just hate thinking about the heat and humidity that's coming after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 What do you guys think about the GFS today at day 12? Not in details but the general idea of a cold pattern. >I think if it's gonna be cold and dry, it might as well be warm. Repeat, repeat, repeat, repeat, repeat, repeat..... I hear you; some nice warm days sound good.....just hate thinking about the heat and humidity that's coming after that. I'm just messing around and saving Brick the trouble of having to type anything. I would prefer it to be cold, whether it's snowy or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 No, Tar Heels fan. Win or lose, I am going to watch. Same thing with this crazy weather stuff. Well, that explains it! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 What do you guys think about the GFS today at day 12? Not in details but the general idea of a cold pattern. Looks chilly in the mid to lr. Certainly seasonal, not torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Looks chilly in the mid to lr. Certainly seasonal, not torch. Fits with Larry's analogues. I'll be the first to admit that I was very skeptical about what he presented, using analogues. But he's been pretty spot on, and so I stand very corrected. And yeah, it does look chilly. Probably not going to result in a widespread winter storm for us, but chilly nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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