packbacker Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 There is also another factor here. It seems each run the energy in the SW gets stronger. If it can maintain these could could link up and phase helping keep the energy further south but stronger? Yeah, I was just about to say that, we need the vort in WA to dive down and interact with that piece of energy, it's like a tug of war right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 There is also another factor here. It seems each run the energy in the SW gets stronger. If it can maintain these could could link up and phase helping keep the energy further south but stronger? I've noticed that energy to south getting stronger also. I believe packfan98 asked about this on the previous page. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 12z Weaker and slower. 6z was over central border of Neb. and SD. 12z back over SW SD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Also of note -- at 78 hours, 12z GFS forming a closed low over UP of Michigan vs. just some strong energy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 North, north, north, north, north. Nothing trending our way. Compared to 6z @87 it's actually around the same spot. Comparing 12z to 6z to 00z it's again about in the same spot. Good news is it hasn't yet gone further north. It's not as strong but also not more north...maybe just a hair slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 I've noticed that energy to south getting stronger also. I believe packfan98 asked about this on the previous page.same here it does seem to be stronger every run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 @93 it's ever so close with phasing with that energy in the south. That could the wildcard in this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 No longer closed over NE Nebraska at 87 hours -- 6z run was SW of this position on Neb./Kansas border. Also, much warmer out ahead of this storm. This run not looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 At 96 hours, still NE of 6z position (Southern Missouri vs. NW Arkansas) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 This is going to be a big dog for someone, some region is going to go nuts in about 5-10 mins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 definite stronger,540 w/tn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Well @102 it's not looking great. In north western TN and positively tilted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 @105 2 contour closed low coming across middle TN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Well @102 it's not looking great. In north western TN and positively tilted. It went neutral in hurry at 108. Maybe a little neg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Doesn't look like it's going to make it south of Tenn. border at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Hmmm...looking at 5h I would say most of NC is still in the game with the 12z run. Two contour closed low going into SC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 111 - 2 countur closed low just north of ATL, looks neutral to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 This is going to destroy the MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 850s are +6 in CLT ahead of the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 @111 low looks to be passing over CAE! This could be a good run for us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 we have to remain optimistic, I believe Robert is still optimistic with the last blog he had. Yes, he seemed very bullish on it, saying what the model will show later. Don't want to mess with the pbp & not trying to burst any bubbles.....Remember that Roberts posts are usually not made after every single model model run. So something he posted last night might not jive after a model has run several times since he posted. Just trying to put some perspective on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 850s are +6 in CLT ahead of the low. At this point I don't really care. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 @117 from just west of Shelby to CLT is getting crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Really hard to tell if this is good or bad. Some folks seem like they are saying it's bad while others are saying it's good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 117 bombing over OBX, let's see how quickly it jets north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 This is going to be an awesome run for the 85 corridor of NC and upstate SC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 This is going to destroy the MA. That's what I was thinking. Just not south enough for us and therefore the 850's are way to warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Slightly north of 6z position, but that's putting us even farther in debt, really. Puts the 850 low on the other side of the NC/SC line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Really hard to tell if this is good or bad. Some folks seem like they are saying it's bad while others are saying it's good. It's a great run if the storm was tomorrow, not 5 days from now as our furthest south model just went north and it's to the limit for us, any further north we are rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 This is going to be an awesome run for the 85 corridor of NC and upstate SC. That's what I was thinking. Just not south enough for us and therefore the 850's are way to warm. See what I mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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