scsnowgirl Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Andy... at Fox carolina has a good blog post up... http://www.foxcarolina.com/story/21426648/interesting-system-next-week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 I disagree. The foothills probably sit in the best situation of all right now (outside the mountains). Sure, you all may not get slammed like I-95 may, but you all are probably guaranteed a good thump AND if the storm trends further north, phases earlier, etc., the foothills have more room to play around with. Plus, 850s, BL temps, etc. are colder. Anyways, I love the models today! This thing is looking better and better. I was afraid that yesterday's hope was false. I disagree. I could already tell by the storm track, EURO snowfall output, there is at least a medium chance for downsloping because of the track. Global models won't depict this in the foothills this far out, but already seeing signs of it...possibly a bigger one that covers more than just a location or two in the foothills. Certainly a lot of room for error. We will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 I disagree. I could already tell by the storm track, EURO snowfall output, there is at least a medium chance for downsloping because of the track. Global models won't depict this in the foothills this far out, but already seeing signs of it...possibly a bigger one that covers more than just a location or two in the foothills. Certainly a lot of room for error. We will see. do you only look at euro snowfall maps? The gfs looks nothing like your map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Jma for a bomb Euro ensemble mean looks pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 EPS control run drops around .75 from the foothills to CLT and from CLT east over an inch. hold on burger we around asheville would like to get in on this game, lets not let the storm get to far south but just enough where we all cash in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Very early maps suggest the 18Z Goofy may be slightly further north vs. 12Z Goofy. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 yep andy at fox is really starting to pay attention to this storm next week with the trends he is seeing now. he is saying this first storm this weekend may lay the foundation for the storm next week with maybe a favorable track for a lot of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 No matter what some people on this board are going to want to throw their computers out the window after watching all week and getting nothing. While other will be . Mountains as usual do well, foothills I think has the biggest chance of a complete miss. Those east of 85 look to big the big winners. The way this system is coming in it is ripe for a foothills skip. Columbia to Charlotte to GSO to Richmond on east as of now looks to be the winners . Upper level lows are known to skip the foothills... look at 3/1/2009 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLO Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 I assume you don't include SC when you said "we all"? hold on burger we around asheville would like to get in on this game, lets not let the storm get to far south but just enough where we all cash in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilotwx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 I disagree. The foothills probably sit in the best situation of all right now (outside the mountains). Sure, you all may not get slammed like I-95 potentially could, but you all are probably guaranteed a good thump AND if the storm trends further north, phases earlier, etc., the foothills have more room to play around with. Plus, 850s, BL temps, etc. are colder. Anyways, I love the models today! This thing is looking better and better. I was afraid that yesterday's hope was false. I'm with ya on models and things do look good. Let's hope we can track this thing for the next 6 days an we don't have the storm just to vanish. For once I would love to see us track a storm on this board and in the end no matter if it's me or not and someone get rocked with a heavy snow and blizzard conditions!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 18z GFS through 105 a bit north of 12z position at 111. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Well big surprise here 18z looks different at 5h with the vort energy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 We better enjoy today. May see the north trend tomorrow, but today, life is good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 I'm with ya on models and things do look good. Let's hope we can track this thing for the next 6 days an we don't have the storm just to vanish. For once I would love to see us track a storm on this board and in the end no matter if it's me or not and someone get rocked with a heavy snow and blizzard conditions!! I bet the trend north begins tonight or tomorrow, and I wouldn't be surprised to see it north of NC when all is said and done! But boy I sure hope not!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 @126 it looks like this is going to be a good hit for possibly upstate and CLT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Might just be slower as opposed to north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Scratch that. Somehow this ended up a hair south and a bit slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 I assume you don't include SC when you said "we all"? that means e.tenn, upstate, n. ga and wnc and east of there. with the right track we all will cash in. right now the biggest problem I see is the freezing line not making to far into sc but the upstate may do good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Big hit for ATL on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Much more positively tilted at 132hr vs. 138 on 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 And, thus, precip field much less impressive. Much more positively tilted at 132hr vs. 138 on 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilotwx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 I bet the trend north begins tonight or tomorrow, and I wouldn't be surprised to see it north of NC when all is said and done! But boy I sure hope not!!! I don't like the look of the track right now for us. But we have so many more runs Key West might be the big winner next run! Everyone has been conditioned on this board to expect the worst so you know the drill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Right where we want her 7 days out. I'll be back at 0z. Threat remains a possibility verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Right where you want the GFS right now, south of here with the best QPF before North trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Uhm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 SO A SIGNIFICANT SNOW STORM IS NOT A GIVEN. HOWEVER... USING A MDL BLEND FOR TEMPS AND PRECIP TIMING...WE DO HAVE RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW ACROSS THE MTNS/FOOTHILLS AND I-40 CORRIDOR TUE NITE WITH A MIX TO THE SOUTH. PRECIP CHANGES BACK TO RAIN FOR ALL BUT THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS WED...THEN ENDS AS SNOW ACROSS THE MTNS WED NITE. WILL HAVE TO KEEP A WATCH FOR THIS PERIOD AS ANY DEVIATION COULD LEAD TO A SIGNIFICANT SNOW EVENT FOR AT LAST PART OF THE CWFA. This is from GSP for next weeks storm for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Uhm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Big hit for ATL on this run. Great track for us GA posters. Clown maps don't show much but .5 in precip with a good track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Jma for a bomb Euro ensemble mean looks pretty good. I can't remember when the JMA hasn't shown a bomb. It always paints a LOT of color on the maps for qpf. I like the looks of it though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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