superjames1992 Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Yeah!! I'm with Wilkes all the way on this one. Blackbirds, healing, 10"+ and all! The sky is going to have to heal after that one, I'm afraid. Looks like we're heading for a springtime drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 We need plenty of sacrifices for this storm if we're all going to get 6+ inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Ok, so I think I am up for a chase next week. Anyone else considering? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Ok, so I think I am up for a chase next week. Anyone else considering? Sure... chase on over here, I'm hoping to be in the bulls-eye :-D Hoping the forecast ends up like this http://www4.ncsu.edu/~nwsfo/storage/cases/20090302/accum.20090302.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Ok, so I think I am up for a chase next week. Anyone else considering? I find your lack of faith in TRI getting nailed disturbing. Also, I'm in the market for a used 4x4 pickup. Next season I'm all in for some chasing in the mountains! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 well that excitement ended quickly.. it's only one model run, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 I find your lack of faith in TRI getting nailed disturbing. Also, I'm in the market for a used 4x4 pickup. Next season I'm all in for some chasing in the mountains! I've chased up in the mountains during many a snow storms using my front wheel drive camry... keep it in Low, does just fine as long as the tires are new. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 We need plenty of sacrifices for this storm if we're all going to get 6+ inches Said the cheerleaders on the way to the prom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Said the cheerleaders on the way to the prom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 If I'm in NYC when Raleigh gets 10-20" I'm going to go ape ****. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Wilkes says historic snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 WeatherNC is in a happy mood today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Wilkes says historic snowstorm. Wxrisk.com this event LOOKS kind of like HISTORIC MARCH 1-3 1980 severe snowstorm for eastern VA and NC... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Wxrisk.com this event LOOKS kind of like HISTORIC MARCH 1-3 1980 severe snowstorm for eastern VA and NC... He must be pretty serious about it too, check this crap out, with graphics and all... https://www.facebook.com/notes/wxriskcom/about-march-1-3-1980/493660810681182 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 I will have preliminary maps out after 0z tonight. This really made me giggle Here is a sneak peak at my current thoughts...more to come with addition information in the days to come. Stay tuned. All of SC is rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Dt is a disaster lol. WTH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Talk about changing your tune, DT... It would be kind of funny if Brick's March 1980 vibe he's been speaking about for the last few days comes to fruition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Wilkes and DT should get together sometime! Great minds think alike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 He must be pretty serious about it too, check this crap out, with graphics and all... https://www.facebook.com/notes/wxriskcom/about-march-1-3-1980/493660810681182 I actually remember this storm. I was 11 years old at the time and living here in Cary. I also read a write-up on this storm a couple of years ago. I think Allan posted it at some time. I'll see if I can find it. Edit: Here it is...It's a good read for those that don't know much about the storm. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/mhx/EventReviews/19800301/19800301.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 I actually remember this storm. I was 11 years old at the time and living here in Cary. I also read a write-up on this storm a couple of years ago. I think Allan posted it at some time and remember it talking about how cold it got in the height of the storm. I'll see if I can find it. Edit: Here it is...It's a good read for those that don't know much about the storm. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/mhx/EventReviews/19800301/19800301.php Here are the case studies Allan did, thanks for sharing that link, I have not read that one but am about to. A couple things strike me as major differences. For one, the jet setup looks different, while I don't have access to the euro's h3-h2 maps, the GFS jet structure is pretty weak and lackluster at those levels compared to 80. Another thing, the trough axis even on the ec is positve, whereas 80 was a hard right at the perfect time. Factor in the difference in high pressure strength coming down through the Plains, close to 1050 back then, maybe 1036 this go around, and ridge axis a good bit east up through the Plains, compared to a more classic PNA and cross polar flow, yeah, the differences far outweigh the sims in my opinion. http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/southeast.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 I'll gladly take the 1980 storm... 6 inches here and 30 inches around the OBX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Here are the case studies Allan did, thanks for sharing that link, I have not read that one but am about to. A couple things strike me as major differences. For one, the jet setup looks different, while I don't have access to the euro's h3-h2 maps, the GFS jet structure is pretty weak and lackluster at those levels compared to 80. Another thing, the trough axis even on the ec is positve, whereas 80 was a hard right at the perfect time. Factor in the difference in high pressure strength coming down through the Plains, close to 1050 back then, maybe 1036 this go around, and ridge axis a good bit east up through the Plains, compared to a more classic PNA and cross polar flow, yeah, the differences far outweigh the sims in my opinion. http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/southeast.html Thanks for the post...I remember reading this one as well. As a matter of fact that is the case study that I remember seeing the cold temps. I agree, there are some differences but the major one I see that you mentioned is the positive tilt. If we could get this to go negative we could really have a storm. I believe the phase is the wild card in this storm that could give us the explosion of moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Suncat Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 I don't know if this is good mojo or not... I have an important, full day meeting on the 6th and I will be traveling from Raleigh,NC to Lake Mattamuskeet at Swanquarter, NC, then back to Raleigh in the late afternoon/early evening. I'm counting on you guys to keep me informed on the evolving weather for that day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 If I'm in NYC when Raleigh gets 10-20" I'm going to go ape ****. I am rooting for a mega bomb, I am scheduled to be in DC/Herndon next week, if it looks like RDU is going to get hit I am staying put, if it looks like Herndon/DC get hit I am heading north for my meetings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 The laughs provided here today have totally cleansed my stressed mind. Weather should always be this much fun. I will make a point to avoid the site next wednesday during the height of the 38 and heavy rain. I saw more grauple today than i will see in snow next week. Long way from model consensus! Long way to wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Well it was due by email at midnight tonight but will just finish it tomorrow I am tired don't have that class till Thursday anyway then I go on Spring Break. 1) I am looking at a light snow event that will trend in favor for SC/NC outside of the mountains later this week. Exact location/amounts TBD. 2) March 6th is beyond the 7 day forecast would predict at this time it is nothing major...likely moisture starved or something else to be wrong with it for some. Possibly nothing. 3) Much colder than last March heck yes but I do not see a super duper wintry mega pattern...more like 1 perhaps 2 winter weather events likely to be marginal for some with screws for others. #WinterIsOver4Me I will have preliminary maps out after 0z tonight. lol wut? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 To late, RDU hasn't seen measurable snow in years, we are all in on this, we will be going down with the ship on this one. I can't quite remember the proper analog for Raleigh and snow. It's something about a camel and the eye of a needle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 I had a dentist appointment today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 I can't quite remember the proper analog for Raleigh and snow. It's something about a camel and the eye of a needle. Camels hold lots of water??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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