packbacker Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Terrible 850 track: It would be funny if we miss an epic winter storm by 50 miles, LOL. There was some good news on the GFS, the blocking is holding and the 50/50 low is holding strong, in fact when looking at the blocking and the 50/50 I thought this would be further SE, which obviously is good and bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmersonGA Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Long range GFS says hello spring. Fine with me. I've now had measurable snow and I'll be planting my tomato seeds later today. Let's put this horrible winter out of it's misery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 What is the NAVGEM model? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 What is the NAVGEM model? It's the newer and improved (I guess?) version of the NOGAPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Pending some wild swing north or south , I am likely heading to VA either Tuesday night or early Wednesday morning, and coming back late Thursday. Open invitation to anyone around the triangle, or in NC for that matter who wants to tag along. I know that it being during the week makes it difficult to take off, but if you can and are interested hit me up. No crazies, I will cover the gas and lodge (if you want your own room thats on you), you would be responsible for your food. Have not chased since DC back in Feb 2010 (wow, it has been that long!), snowmageddon, and got the greenlight from work to take a couple pto's and go after this one should the opportunity present itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Pending some wild swing north or south , I am likely heading to VA either Tuesday night or early Wednesday morning, and coming back late Thursday. Open invitation to anyone around the triangle, or in NC for that matter who wants to tag along. I know that it being during the week makes it difficult to take off, but if you can and are interested hit me up. No crazies, I will cover the gas and lodge (if you want your own room thats on you), you would be responsible for your food. Have not chased since DC back in Feb 2010 (wow, it has been that long!), snowmageddon, and got the greenlight from work to take a couple pto's and go after this one should the opportunity present itself. Damn, I wouldn't mind teaming up on that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 WeatherNC, on 02 Mar 2013 - 12:45, said: I am likely heading to VA either Tuesday night or early Wednesday morning, and coming back late Thursday. Open invitation to anyone around the triangle, or in NC for that matter who wants to tag along. I know that it being during the week makes it difficult to take off, but if you can and are interested hit me up. No crazies, I will cover the gas and lodge (if you want your own room thats on you), you would be responsible for your food. Have not chased since DC back in Feb 2010 (wow, it has been that long!), snowmageddon, and got the greenlight from work to take a couple pto's and go after this one should the opportunity present itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 It's the newer and improved (I guess?) version of the NOGAPS. Oh cool and lol I see what you did there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Hey guys, I don't know what this means, but man the sweet gum balls are going crazy today in the back yard. I was outside and about 10 fell off the tree at the same time! And they're all over the place!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 By the time the Hi-res NAM gets here there will be a nada as far north-east as Mount Airy. GFS ...snow hole around Asheville or nearby. Punching north-east here on a global model 5 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Hey guys, I don't know what this means, but man the sweet gum balls are going crazy today in the back yard. I was outside and about 10 fell off the tree at the same time! And they're all over the place!!!!!! sweetgum.jpg Oh you are in for one hell of a hurricane hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Hey guys, I don't know what this means, but man the sweet gum balls are going crazy today in the back yard. I was outside and about 10 fell off the tree at the same time! And they're all over the place!!!!!! sweetgum.jpg Most of us do fine with a single pair. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Pending some wild swing north or south , I am likely heading to VA either Tuesday night or early Wednesday morning, and coming back late Thursday. Open invitation to anyone around the triangle, or in NC for that matter who wants to tag along. I know that it being during the week makes it difficult to take off, but if you can and are interested hit me up. No crazies, I will cover the gas and lodge (if you want your own room thats on you), you would be responsible for your food. Have not chased since DC back in Feb 2010 (wow, it has been that long!), snowmageddon, and got the greenlight from work to take a couple pto's and go after this one should the opportunity present itself. I might consider it if the forecast is intriguing enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 By the time the Hi-res NAM gets here there will be a nada as far north-east as Mount Airy. GFS ...snow hole around Asheville or nearby. Have you not heard? It doesn't snow in Asheville anymore. They haven't seen a 2 inch snowstorm in 800 days. Hell not even a 1/2 inch storm. TWC said this along with Washington D.C in the same boat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Have you not heard? It doesn't snow in Asheville anymore. They haven't seen a 2 inch snowstorm in 800 days. Hell not even a 1/2 inch storm. TWC said this along with Washington D.C in the same boat. Well they do have the luxury of driving 1-2 miles and seeing 1 inch of snow...as was the case this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Guys...if anyone deserves this system the most it is likely.....me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Guys...if anyone deserves this system the most it is likely.....me. Which system? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Which system? The rainstorm next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 I want some Spring Break snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 The rainstorm next week. Oh that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 woof woof Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 My sister in law lives in Lexington, va. I may talk to my wife about loading up the family for a trip on Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Hey guys, I don't know what this means, but man the sweet gum balls are going crazy today in the back yard. I was outside and about 10 fell off the tree at the same time! And they're all over the place!!!!!! sweetgum.jpg WTF? Is that a red pipe cleaner tree or did you seriously just ms-paint circle all the damn sweet gum balls? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Really to early to focus on little track wobbles, plus it is March after all and just the fact we are talking chances of a snow and a big one at that is pretty awesome. As for what JB and DT say, of course they are saying this is going to trend north, or be a big NOVA storm and every time it runs further south they will throw out that run lol. The blocking looks good, the energy is coming in a bit further west, digging a bit further SW etc, baby steps folks baby steps. Does anyone actually think its going to track and do exactly like it is modeled right now? It will take the models several runs to catch up to these little changes it always always does. If the Sunday night runs still show it that far north then NC can start looking to throw in the towel until then its still wide open. I feel sorry for the mods and what they will have to deal with the next few days...... Thank you Hopefully everyone will behave themselves and keep the crap in here, before warnings/timeouts are given Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Really wilkes?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Well they do have the luxury of driving 1-2 miles and seeing 1 inch of snow...as was the case this morning. Guys...if anyone deserves this system the most it is likely.....me. I want some Spring Break snow. Certainly will take this for north-west NC. I want you to stop hyper-flucking-focusing on your backyard! I have no problem restricting your posting privileges should you choose to muck up another weather thread or post a copyrighted graphic. WTF, thought we just went over this crap Thursday when Brick attempted something similar, did you skip over that memo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 I don't know WTF just happend with the Euro run, I am walking it down 3 hour by 3 hour and at hour 96 on 12z it's a tick south and just as strong but than it does weaken the storm when it traverses NC where as the 0z didn't, it sure did look like this should have been a better run, at worse held serve, but not worse. Rant over... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 I don't know WTF just happend with the Euro run, I am walking it down 3 hour by 3 hour and at hour 96 on 12z it's a tick south and just as strong but than it does weaken the storm when it traverses NC where as the 0z didn't, it sure did look like this should have been a better run, at worse held serve, but not worse. Rant over... Have not been over that maps yet but my guess would likely be the evolution of the ULL and how it matures while heading east, maybe not as much neg tilt compared to a day or two ago. That is going to be very difficult to nail down until were inside 48 and likely will be better resolved by the high res regionals once all the players are in the box. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 I hate upper lows. If I get dryslotted on this one too I will never track another one again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 The huge, big Mole Fizzle I've been watching for two weeks is up in Tenn. fizzling. Dang, Tenn. don't bogart that snow!!! Let some by...there are people going numb nuts crazy down here.... ARRRRGGGGGHHHHH!!!!! T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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