anthonyweather Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Why so quiet? Major ice storm for the poconos. And models showing colder solutions for front end mix for abe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Why so quiet? Major ice storm for the poconos. And models showing colder solutions for front end mix for abe I haven't been following it closely (since its rain at TTN, perhaps a few sleet or snow pellets at the start). 18Z NAM, though, would say its icy at ABE and snowy->icy at MPO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 I'm hoping the trend continues and we get some ice further south...A big surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 26, 2013 Author Share Posted February 26, 2013 I'm hoping the trend continues and we get some ice further south...A big surprise. I agree . Lets see how nam looks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 What does the 18z GFS say?? Has there been any consensus whatsoever with this storm tomorrow night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 New NAM looks a smidge warmer... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 26, 2013 Author Share Posted February 26, 2013 What does the 18z GFS say?? Has there been any consensus whatsoever with this storm tomorrow night? GFS has been warm since the get go. The warm outlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 6z NAM back to mostly icy rain ending as rain in Poconos. Some snow/sleet thrown in for fun but accums generally 1-2" at most, if that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Why in the world are we talking about the NAM in a medium range thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Why in the world are we talking about the NAM in a medium range thread? Same reason the 18z GFS was brought up. Ice ice baby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Same reason the 18z GFS was brought up. Ice ice baby I meant more along the lines of: "how can any event already in the NAM's range be in any way considered medium range?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 post obs and discussion here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 I meant more along the lines of: "how can any event already in the NAM's range be in any way considered medium range?" No one made a separate thread. (til now) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 No one made a separate thread. (til now) well technically there was, just burried. The feb-15 to morch winter threats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCT777 Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Why so quiet? Probably because this is mostly or all rain for the majority of the posters in this region. But those in the icy mix area should definitely discuss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Wxsim has a little bit at the onset around rush hour and then just rain with temps in the mid to upper 30's with 1.38" by Thursday evening when all is said and done Currently in East Nantmeal Township Cloudy Temp 33.1 DP 27.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 New NAM soundings (though this may be the low res version, not sure how Plymouth does it anymore, been fooled before)... MPO: ABE: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 I am not good at reading soundings...what does to they show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 I am not good at reading soundings...what does to they show? Snow to sleet and freezing rain at MPO. Mainly rain, perhaps some sleet/snow at the start at ABE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Why so quiet? Major ice storm for the poconos. And models showing colder solutions for front end mix for abe What is your definition of a major ice storm for the Poconos? Warning criteria there is one-half inch or more of ice, which is not currently forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 26, 2013 Author Share Posted February 26, 2013 What is your definition of a major ice storm for the Poconos? Warning criteria there is one-half inch or more of ice, which is not currently forecast. It was at warning criteria, has since dropped to 1/4". No way we reach our projected high of 47 today, it's 38 now and feels like it is dropping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 It was at warning criteria, has since dropped to 1/4". I think its funny to see you telling a Mt. Holly met what the warning criteria is... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 26, 2013 Author Share Posted February 26, 2013 I think its funny to see you telling a Mt. Holly met what the warning criteria is... Lol whoops didn't even notice my bad! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greg ralls Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 It's tough to get excited about a Winter Storm Warning for the Poconos when it's been such a crappy winter down in the southeastern part of the state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 GFS soundings... MPO: ABE: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 It was at warning criteria, has since dropped to 1/4". No way we reach our projected high of 47 today, it's 38 now and feels like it is dropping The initial watch had 0.25 to 0.50 inches of ice, which is just barely to warning criteria. I see the advisory has now been upgraded to a warning for the Poconos but that looks to be more for impact given combination of ice and snow, as what is in the warning currently is under criteria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 26, 2013 Author Share Posted February 26, 2013 I'm gonna say this may just be an all rain event for everyone including the poconos. Mt pocono is almost at 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 I'm gonna say all snow down to Philly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 The Cabin high temp today was 34. Currently 33 and falling. Hope the ice is not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Sleet and rain here in Lancaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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