Stebo Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 All good comments. But the GLOV plumes mean/median snowfall busted low on the first contest for ORD. Food for thought. I like that trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 I'll take a too-late shot at this just for fun: ORD ... 6.5" MKE ... 11.5" FWA ... 5.3" DTW ... 9.0" TOR ... downtown 10.5" or 26.6 cm MCI 12,5" northern suburbs of Chicago to Kenosha WI about 15" locally, think it will turn to sleet or ZR at ORD but enough precip there for 15" snow. Toronto may mix but if you take YYZ then 12" or 30 cm. FNT-LAN could see 15-18 inches. (speaking of contests, March temperatures open for entries on main forum) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 DTW: 9.3 FWA: 6.4 MKE: 8.4 ORD: 9.1 Toronto (downtown): 6.1 Bonus question: total snowfall for Kansas City (MCI) for Feb 25-27: 17.4 Used a blend of the 60 hr 4km High Res Nam, the Reg Nam and the Euro. My flyer on this is Toronto as the Euro has zero back up. I also went with the more conservative NAM when it came to ORD, weighted that forecast 70/30 Nam vs Euro, for most of this I threw the GFS under the bus. This is going to be a whopper of a storm as it moves out, I think the GFS weakens it to quickly. At 26/0z both the Euro and the Nam pick up a slug of moisture off the gulf over the New Orleans area, the GFS kicks that out east of there buy about 150 miles. Note to self, when forecasting for a city I'm not familiar with, when the contest clearly states the airport....PLEASE FIND THE AIRPORT LOCATION!!! If I would have looked before hand I would have cut the snowfall guess by about 3-4"...as it turned out I would have still busted high. (Talking about the MCI area) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 28, 2013 Author Share Posted February 28, 2013 Totals through Feb 27. IWXwx FTW on predicting 11.0" for Kansas City (MCI). DTW: 6.5" FWA: 1.8" MKE: 10.0" ORD: 5.8" Toronto (downtown): 0.0"* (7.3" at the Nipher/YYZ) Bonus question: total snowfall for Kansas City (MCI) for Feb 25-27: 11.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Got lucky. Proof of that with my other predictions. The old saying of not being able to hit a bull in the butt with a bass fiddle comes to mind, although I was close for Toronto using nipher short sticker measurement. BTW, any word on downtown? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 I was real close with DTW and YYZ. Edit: I guess we got 2 days yet before we can call it. Chicago could add a bit from LES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 ^GLOV Model isn't totally unreasonable....maybe runs a a tad high with QPF but then again what model doesn't Within an inch of ORD,YYZ,DTW and 2" of Kansas....p solid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Got lucky. Proof of that with my other predictions. The old saying of not being able to hit a bull in the butt with a bass fiddle comes to mind, although I was close for Toronto using nipher short sticker measurement. BTW, any word on downtown? Up to 1.1". I think it'll come up a bit more, but not much. Somewhere between 2-3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Up to 1.1". I think it'll come up a bit more, but not much. Somewhere between 2-3". Thanks. 0.5" here. A couple of inches up at the airport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Thanks. 0.5" here. A couple of inches up at the airport. Well, some snow's better than no snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 1, 2013 Author Share Posted March 1, 2013 Totals through Feb 28. DTW: 7.1" FWA: 2.3" MKE: 10.1" ORD: 6.0" Toronto (downtown): 1.1" (8.0" at the Nipher/YYZ) Bonus question: total snowfall for Kansas City (MCI) for Feb 25-27: 11.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 2, 2013 Author Share Posted March 2, 2013 Totals through March 1. DTW: 7.1" FWA: 2.3" MKE: 10.1" ORD: 6.7" Toronto (downtown): 1.1" (8.0" at the Nipher/YYZ) Bonus question: total snowfall for Kansas City (MCI) for Feb 25-27: 11.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 6, 2013 Author Share Posted March 6, 2013 harrisale was kind enough to send me the totals for this contest in spreadsheet form. A big thank you to him. I will get the results posted soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 8, 2013 Author Share Posted March 8, 2013 Thanks again to harrisale for sending me the totals. cyclone77 and hm8 were the closest for the Feb 25-Mar 2 portion of the contest, while IWXwx nailed the Kansas City prediction. If we use the MCI part as the tiebreaker between cyclone77 and hm8...cyclone wins. Thanks to all who played. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 10, 2013 Author Share Posted March 10, 2013 New total, due to a change at the downtown Toronto station. New winner, ukrocks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 Nice - I got 2nd place on the first section of the graph! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ukrocks Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 Wow! How lucky is that? Haha, I guess that makes up for a second straight year of not getting a 2+ inch snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 Darrrr! At least I got to feel like a genius for a few days. Thanks a whole hell of a lot Toronto!!!!!!!!!!!!!! jk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 Darrrr! At least I got to feel like a genius for a few days. Thanks a whole hell of a lot Toronto!!!!!!!!!!!!!! jk I told EC to do that just to troll you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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