BeastFromTheEast Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 The nice thing is that model watching isn't as fun in the warm season anyhow.... Daylight savings time is in effect during the boring weather season. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 lol Good for the beach, BBQing and going camping... Not exactly thrilling to follow rain. Most agree with me as well, that's why this forum is a ghost town during the summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 Needs to go back to mid-April like in the 60's. Day light savings time wastes energy anyway. Needs to be phased out all together. The real reason it was started no longer applies in our day and age. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwburbschaser Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 Good for the beach, BBQing and going camping... Not exactly thrilling to follow rain. Most agree with me as well, that's why this forum is a ghost town during the summer. Well, there is a big difference between spring and summer model watching so if you say that daylight savings time is the start of the boring season then I strongly disagree. For you, that's very possible since you like winter, but to say that most agree is just ignoring all of the severe weather people on here. To me, this is where I actually start enjoying watching the models come in. Once the mid summer pattern sets in then I can agree that there isn't much to watch for, but that's still several months away. That's just my opinion though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 Good for the beach, BBQing and going camping... Not exactly thrilling to follow rain. Most agree with me as well, that's why this forum is a ghost town during the summer. Well, there is a big difference between spring and summer model watching so if you say that daylight savings time is the start of the boring season then I strongly disagree. For you, that's very possible since you like winter, but to say that most agree is just ignoring all of the severe weather people on here. To me, this is where I actually start enjoying watching the models come in. Once the mid summer pattern sets in then I can agree that there isn't much to watch for, but that's still several months away. That's just my opinion though. I like severe weather as well.... But I don't find myself and the average poster from this forum model watching for it. We just kind of tune in when the storms pop up on radar or watches and warnings are issued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 Still have quite a snowpack around this area. There is definitely ground showing in open areas and places exposed to a lot of sun...but there is still 6 inches or more in most areas. I am actually surprised as much of it has survived this mild weather, but it is very dense snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 I like severe weather as well.... But I don't find myself and the average poster from this forum model watching for it. We just kind of tune in when the storms pop up on radar or watches and warnings are issued. Which why you don't realize how wrong you are about how active it is in the spring and summer months when forecasting/tracking severe weather/flooding rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 I like severe weather as well.... But I don't find myself and the average poster from this forum model watching for it. We just kind of tune in when the storms pop up on radar or watches and warnings are issued. Agreed! I have much more of a life in the summer. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 The March 2006 tornado outbreak sequence in the Midwest with March 12 being most prolific for MO and IL was modeled a good week in advance with respect to its potential happening. That's why svr wx fans can enjoy looking at models in spring especially. Same thing with April 27, 2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 The March 2006 tornado outbreak sequence in the Midwest with March 12 being most prolific for MO and IL was modeled a good week in advance with respect to its potential happening. That's why svr wx fans can enjoy looking at models in spring especially. Same thing with April 27, 2011. Yes, completely agree. The whole month of April 2011 was interesting to watch unfold. Plus when it comes to severe weather events there is just so much more to analyze because even a small deviation from the forecast can have a huge impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwburbschaser Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 Yes, completely agree. The whole month of April 2011 was interesting to watch unfold. Plus when it comes to severe weather events there is just so much more to analyze because even a small deviation from the forecast can have a huge impact. Locally, the potential April 10th outbreak was one of the more interesting events to follow. It had the looks of a significant outbreak very near the Chicago area, and the SPC even said an upgrade to high risk was possible. Then, the threat locally just dissolved, but watching the models come in for a few days showing impressive potential and then rather quickly showing almost nothing was still fun to follow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 3/15/12 except a little further SE kthxbai Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 Agreed! I have much more of a life in the summer. Lol Yeah same here. Busier in the warmer months overall. I like tracking severe weather, but not more than then day before or the day thunderstorm are forecasted to pop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 3/12/12 except a little further SE kthxbai 3/12/06 you mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 3/12/06 you mean? 3/15/12 actually...whoops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 Made it into the low 50's at ORD and MDW yesterday. Just missed here with a 49. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 Took a video yesterday of a stream in the forest near my house. Took a video in the exact same spot today, 24 hours later as we hit 55F today. Lots of melting. With tomorrow's rains I will be out again to video the stream to watch it crest. I'm a hydrologist as well so I enjoy this stuff haha. Start the first video then the 2nd one at the same time to compare. Looks pretty cool! Yesterday Today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 Nice videos Harrisale! Streams are running around here, but not in a torrent or anything. Did not get as warm here and there is still ice to overcome on the streams. I've spent a lot of time along stream like this (and bigger) studying flow patterns and parameters and water quality. Had to dig out my ditch today a bit and let some excess water through that backed up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 So awesome to find mole holes in my yard after the snow melted off yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 We may have a tough time hitting 50F this month... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 12z NAM text data for ORD. Congrats on the TSSN? 45 03/13 09Z 28 24 306 13 0.02 0.02 517 532 -12.5 -30.5 1019 90 TSSN 010BKN074 0.3 10.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 DVN has an interesting writeup for tomorrow. Been a long time since we've had a day like this around here. This is the type of weather that happens all the time in Michigan, downstream from the Lakes. Pretty rare around here. Looking forward to it... TUESDAY...STRONG CAA...BLUSTERY AND COLD WITH VIGOROUS NW SHORT WAVETO PASS IN AFTERNOON HOURS SUPPORTING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MAINLYAFTERNOON SNOW SHOWERS. THIS WILL BE A HIGHLY NON-HYDROSTATIC ANDNON-ADIABATIC PROCESS THAT MODELS ARE WELL KNOWN TO BE UNABLE TOADEQUATELY HANDLE. LOCAL SNOW SHOWER TECHNIQUES SUPPORT MODERATE TOEVEN POSSIBLY HEAVY POPCORN SNOW SHOWERS SUGGESTED TO FORM BY 1 PMAND LASTING UNTIL NEAR 6 PM. INTENSE OVERTURNING WITH STEEP BLLAPSE RATES AND INSTABILITIES INDICATE SNOW SHOWERS CELLS WITH DBZVALUES AOA 30 FOR MODERATE TO BRIEFLY HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE WITH GUSTYNW WINDS OF 30-35+ MPH AND STRONGEST SNOW SHOWERS. IT HAS BEENSEVERAL YEARS SINCE WE`VE SEEN THESE TYPE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR EVENSQUALLS WITH SOME AREAS POSSIBLY SEEING NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS FORA FEW MINUTES OR MORE. MOST AREAS SHOULD SEE AT LEAST A TRACE WITH .1TO .5 PLUS INCHES OF SNOW SUGGESTED. NIGHT SHIFT TONIGHT MAY BE ABLETO UP POPS TO LIKELY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 Only got a meager 0.01" of rain here. Yesterdays 65F absolutely demolished the snowpiles in the sun, in fact many parking lot snowpiles that were very big before I left for up north are now small plops of dirty snow. Talking the ones in exposed areas, the ones in the shade are much hardier. I have a big pile in the backyard and the neighbor across the street has a big one (both in completely shaded areas), otherwise a completely bare, brown landscape. i actually noticed how much browner the landscape is now than it was when we had a 10-day stretch of bare ground in mid-Jan. Spring was starting to spring last year at this time, but its apparent that will not be the case this year. Yesterday while heading home, it was raining good in the U.P. and northern lower (still excellent snowpack) and by the time you got to the Saginaw area, just piles and a few patches. By the time i got home it was mostly totally bare with just some parking lot piles. Took pics of the buried UP, will post later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobertSul Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 Just getting back from the Boston area where we had a surprise 2-foot snowstorm in the western suburbs (4-8 inches were forecast even midway through the storm!). Now that I've had my snow fix for the winter, looking forward to mild temps and severe weather season in Michigan!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 Just getting back from the Boston area where we had a surprise 2-foot snowstorm in the western suburbs (4-8 inches were forecast even midway through the storm!). Now that I've had my snow fix for the winter, looking forward to mild temps and severe weather season in Michigan!! And yeah, the next time a big snowstorm is hitiing a location, I'm road tripping it. **** the **** here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 Sitting at about 37° now, but colder air starting to infiltrate in. Most spots I measured were between 7-8". The amount of exposed grass in my yard could fit within a 20x20' area. Today is day 51 of snow cover for the winter. Pond is full and overflowing down the hill. Water has carved a nice little canyon through the snowpack! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 Still have quite a snowpack around this area. There is definitely ground showing in open areas and places exposed to a lot of sun...but there is still 6 inches or more in most areas. I am actually surprised as much of it has survived this mild weather, but it is very dense snow. The ground is still a solid white in the woods here. There really is not much left but what is is having a hard time melting. South side of town is pretty much snow free but it's hanging tough up north where I am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 Just getting back from the Boston area where we had a surprise 2-foot snowstorm in the western suburbs (4-8 inches were forecast even midway through the storm!). Now that I've had my snow fix for the winter, looking forward to mild temps and severe weather season in Michigan!! Ummm... By the looks of the 12z GFS winter is decidedly NOT over. Snow or ice potential on the 18th - 20th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 Sitting at about 37° now, but colder air starting to infiltrate in. Most spots I measured were between 7-8". The amount of exposed grass in my yard could fit within a 20x20' area. Today is day 51 of snow cover for the winter. Pond is full and overflowing down the hill. Water has carved a nice little canyon through the snowpack! 130311_0003.jpg 130311_0001.jpg 130311_0002.jpg Nice pics. Definitely more snow up there than here. Only patches left here. Do you ever have problems with boatloads of mosquitoes with that pond being back there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toronto4 Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 Today's 12z Euro and the 12z GFS show a clipper-type system affecting the lower Great Lakes late Friday into Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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