IWXwx Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 GFS has a storm threat 132hrs out now.... The long range GFS looks mega warm, until you realize it goes through to a period where our average high will be over 50. Temps warm almost 1 degree every other day on average now. The GFS does look warm...and wet. IWX thinks that it is too warm: FOR THIS PACKAGE...FAVOR THE EC ENSEMBLES BLENDED HEAVILY WITH THE CIPS ANALOGS. THE ANALOGS DID EXTREMELY WELL WITH THIS PAST EVENT AND SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW EARLY NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER...NOT COMFORTABLE MAKING SWEEPING CHANGES TOWARD THIS SCENARIO. THUS...FOR THIS PACKAGE HAVE ADDED A RAIN/SNOW MIX NORTHWEST HALF MONDAY. THE ANALOGS ALSO CONTINUE TO INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR RAIN/SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT VALUES AROUND AN INCH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Hmm we've had about an inch accumulate this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 More stat padding snows this morning... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Hmm we've had about an inch accumulate this morning. I woke up to everything covered in fresh snow too. The couple of bare spots that appeared yesterday are completely covered. There's probably about an inch here also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 More stat padding snows this morning... The entire winter was garbage stat padding snows. Might as well continue them into early spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Colder than expected this morning, 6 F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 The entire winter was garbage stat padding snows. Might as well continue them into early spring. Can we ban "stat padding snow". Snow is snow. They counted it 30 years ago. They count it today. Get over it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 The entire winter was garbage stat padding snows. Might as well continue them into early spring. That is Michigan for you. It's a snowy state. and I bet we get another foot of snow spaced out from now till middle April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 24 here this morning, but just northwest into eastern Iowa some places are below zero. What a difference cloud cover/lack of cloud cover makes with fresh snow cover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 24 here this morning, but just northwest into eastern Iowa some places are below zero. What a difference cloud cover/lack of cloud cover makes with fresh snow cover. Yea I notice that this morning pretty crazy the gradient of temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Hmm we've had about an inch accumulate this morning. Same here, sitting on tree branches etc. Probably about 7" snowpack if I had to estimate. Certainly interested in flood potential next week around here although the main precip dump has shiftEd about 100km southeast now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Sitting at 0F right now...brr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 A low of 24 as clouds kept temps up last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 7, 2013 Author Share Posted March 7, 2013 Looks like a heavy SHSN is moving through Toronto. Maybe I can get on the board for March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Temps are already busting low IMBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Sun is warming things up pretty quickly...should still make a run at the mid 30fs... GFS showing around an inch of liquid this weekend...should be able to handle that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 7, 2013 Author Share Posted March 7, 2013 Biggest flakes I've seen all season. Just huge wet puffbals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 7, 2013 Author Share Posted March 7, 2013 At work so I don't have a camera but this is incredible stuff. On the grassy surfaces we've picked up over an inch in the last 30 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 12z GFS still looks awfully wet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 GFS continue its warm signals in the medium to long range... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Hit 24° this morning. At 32° with a few clouds rolling back in after several hours of 100% sun. About 16" of snow otg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 46 at my wx station. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 GFS, GFS Ensembles, and Canadian all showing over an inch of rain here now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Looking forward to a nice soaking perhaps. At this time of year keeping the snowcover is not of much importance, though it would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Every single year I laugh because I see people freaking out about their average high hitting 50. And michsnowfreak is always right behind them to prove them wrong. Here in Louisville our average high hits 50 by February 20th, but we've had some of our biggest snowstorms hit in March. Our average high hits 60 in less than two weeks and there has still been 10 six plus inch snowstorms in March.Two of them were over ten inches. In fact we've seen a daily two plus inch snowfall at least once everyday from March 1st to 24th with the exception of one day. Our daily snowfall record is at least one inch everyday in March but two. You're way north of me so I don't want to hear about how your snow chances are dwindling because I know they aren't. I typically start tracking for severe weather after March 15th because if we do get a decent snow it won't stay for more than 12 hours. Good post. I think those of outside the far north know lasting snowcover is done til next December. But as for a snowstorm we have a long ways to go, and frankly no pattern will show this potential. Id prefer the cold, but a dynamic spring snowstorm can pop up in a milder pattern just as easily. We have seen temps in the 80s days before (or after) a good spring snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 52. My list looks almost the same as yours except there were no gaps in February. Last year I had 11 days with 1"+ That is simply incredible. Knew youve suffered but I didnt think it was THAT bad. That should never happen at that latitude. The low mark on record for Detroit is 10 days in 1936-37 and the 2nd lowest is 11 days in 1931-32. Actually not at home right now but I know most of the low marks were wayyyy back. You know, when the oldtimers informed us how snowcovered the ground the entire winter. Last years 20 days was my personal low mark, but per DTW stats the lowest of my lifetime was 19 days in 1988-89. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Looking forward to a nice soaking perhaps. At this time of year keeping the snowcover is not of much importance, though it would be nice. The NAM would say no to the soaking this far east - keeping most of the rain towards DLL and gosaints. I'd like to see the snow pack stay till the equinox. Soak the ground now and you a less chance of a repeat performance of last summer. Edit: Really clouding up now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 The NAM would say no to the soaking this far east - keeping most of the rain towards DLL and gosaints. I'd like to see the snow pack stay till the equinox. Soak the ground now and you a less chance of a repeat performance of last summer. Edit: Really clouding up now. La crosse has a nice write up about the frost in the ground this year. They say there is a layer of concrete frost this year that basically no mositure will penetrate so any moisture we get will basically be useless in drought terms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 La crosse has a nice write up about the frost in the ground this year. They say there is a layer of concrete frost this year that basically no mositure will penetrate so any moisture we get will basically be useless in drought terms At least the wet pattern looks to continue, so eventually the water will get into the ground. Near rivers and streams the water table will be able to be recharged this weekend. The current scene here. Some nice 2' drifts in my neighbors backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 After dropping to -3F this morning (oucH!) ...up to 30F.. nice turn around... low 80fs in my greenhouse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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