CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Interesting, when I had those same sentiments last week, you unleashed a barrage of personal attacks at me, calling me drunk or high. Well, calling for early Spring to start March 5th is not correct. There lies the difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Wet begats suppression? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 I said it yesterday and was told no, too funny. You are missing the point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 I should've been more negative. A week after I said "we'll I'm done with this winter, time to move on" we got the blizzard. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 What locations is that for? Not so sure about March being well above normal, especially with our current pattern for the next couple weeks. The map was for the entire country, but he had all of New England above to much above temperature wise for the next 3 months. The Pacific NW was predicted to have the coolest temps during that time period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 The map was for the entire country, but he had all of New England above to much above temperature wise for the next 3 months. The Pacific NW was predicted to have the coolest temps during that time period.Is it possible he was drunk? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 there is not even that much talk down in the mid atlantic forums regarding early march snow with the suppressed track, at least if we can watch them rip a big storm its better than it just snowing out over the fish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 there is not even that much talk down in the mid atlantic forums regarding early march snow with the suppressed track, at least if we can watch them rip a big storm its better than it just snowing out over the fish Rightfully so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Is it possible he was drunk? Sounds like he has his predictions backwards. So most likely, yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 I think that was the old March outlook. I think I could see slightly above if things worked out right...but I would be shocked at much above. And even slightly above is probably something I wouldn't go for at the moment. Like anything, it's just an outlook. There is some good stuff as to why the Morch calls busted. Basically, the convection in the Indian Ocean was killed by a westward moving Rossy wave that acted as destructive interference. It's a reason why going by the MJO doesn't always work out...it's the little nuances of atmospheric waves that we can't predict yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 there is not even that much talk down in the mid atlantic forums regarding early march snow with the suppressed track, at least if we can watch them rip a big storm its better than it just snowing out over the fish Considering DCA is not yet to 2" this winter and BWI just a hair better, go figure. This is two straight years of just terrible snowfalls down this way, and for much of the area, three years. So, no, not a ton of chatter yet on a phantom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 I think that was the old March outlook. I think I could see slightly above if things worked out right...but I would be shocked at much above. And even slightly above is probably something I wouldn't go for at the moment. Like anything, it's just an outlook. There is some good stuff as to why the Morch calls busted. Basically, the convection in the Indian Ocean was killed by a westward moving Rossy wave that acted as destructive interference. It's a reason why going by the MJO doesn't always work out...it's the little nuances of atmospheric waves that we can't predict yet. A little early for that statement no? Looking pretty warm to me for the second half of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 If the majority is CT then yes. Lol...yeah. Most everywhere else has had some decent snow events since the blizzard..the E MA special, the inverted trough, and the SE MA burst from that scraper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 A little early for that statement no? Looking pretty warm to me for the second half of the month. Yeah the month could still end up above normal...but most of the Morch calls actually were in line with ending winter mid February. Certainly if March ends up well above normal, it will be because the 2nd half torched big time and not the first 2 weeks which is what many thought would happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Yeah the month could still end up above normal...but most of the Morch calls actually were in line with ending winter mid February. Certainly if March ends up well above normal, it will be because the 2nd half torched big time and not the first 2 weeks which is what many thought would happen. They deserve to go down in flames for listening to that rat in Punxsutawney. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Considering DCA is not yet to 2" this winter and BWI just a hair better, go figure. This is two straight years of just terrible snowfalls down this way, and for much of the area, three years. So, no, not a ton of chatter yet on a phantom. however to have lived through to giant back to back snowstorms and experience a three to four foot snowpack on the level is something many people will never expience in the northeast even if they live 100 years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 A little early for that statement no? Looking pretty warm to me for the second half of the month. Well like I said...March may end up a little above normal, but Morch usually means a very warm March, not just above normal. It's gonna have to really torch the second half IMHO in order to achieve that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Seems like spring depression is starting to set in for many of us winter lovers. Last year was easy because we got to move right into summer in Morch. I was really thinking we could get near 100 inches. Now it seems the talk is we may have seen our last accumulating snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Seems like spring depression is starting to set in for many of us winter lovers. Last year was easy because we got to move right into summer in Morch. I was really thinking we could get near 100 inches. Now it seems the talk is we may have seen our last accumulating snowfall. Fat lady humming along. plenty of snow in ski areas, rest of us hmmmmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Seems like spring depression is starting to set in for many of us winter lovers. Last year was easy because we got to move right into summer in Morch. I was really thinking we could get near 100 inches. Now it seems the talk is we may have seen our last accumulating snowfall. I highly doubt that...maybe where LL is they are done, but I would be shocked if much of the region is done. Not in this pattern. Even if we get a cutter at some point, we'll still have chances. For elevated interior, accumulating snow is a legit chance through middle April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 The 7 inches yesterday was great, but then Morch arrived. Light mixed junk from noon right overnight and even now some wet snow showers. Today is very Morch-like.We need a good hit from a dynamic system in March otherwise it's Morch. Yeah the month could still end up above normal...but most of the Morch calls actually were in line with ending winter mid February. Certainly if March ends up well above normal, it will be because the 2nd half torched big time and not the first 2 weeks which is what many thought would happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 I would be pretty excited if I was on the western flank of that monster Euro prog Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Was it showing some kind of out to sea bomb? God knows lots of them this year. I would be pretty excited if I was on the western flank of that monster Euro prog Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 You still have blocking in the Atlantic and ridging near AK so I highly doubt areas like Will and Kev...even my area are done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Even on the Euro all that NE flow at 850 would produce something up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Even on the Euro all that NE flow at 850 would produce something up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 that's a monster storm look at the 850 inflow on Allans site Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Climo would argue pretty heavily against a major Mid Atlantic snowstorm at this point. Look at how this week actually played out. All this so called negative NAO and you couldn't get meaningful snow south of 43 north. Even on the Euro all that NE flow at 850 would produce something up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Climo would argue pretty heavily against a major Mid Atlantic snowstorm at this point. Look at how this week actually played out. All this so called negative NAO and you couldn't get meaningful snow south of 43 north. We didn't have a block in this storm that just occured. There was a way east based block, but nothing like a classic NAO block. The worry is definitely suppression for Mar 6-7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 We didn't have a block in this storm that just occured. There was a way east based block, but nothing like a classic NAO block. The worry is definitely suppression for Mar 6-7. i would be excited if I lived NYC south, 2010 analogy's popping up a lot, would suck if too much marine air gets involved but as dynamic has this could be that would be a blue bomb especially with elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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