Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Euro ENS...still some pretty nasty winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 GEFS still look rather wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I've got 12-15 footers and near marginal gales at this range already for the Friday morning tide. One thing that anomalous easterly flow tells me is that we're going to build quite the sea state over the course of several days. I know scituate pounds on NE winds.......revere and nantasket as well. i wonder how nahant does i can get there pretty easily Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Man the coast is going to take a battering regardless of qpf, this could be a prolific western long island sound flooding event with many tide cycles of easterly winds, no way for that water to escape, could be WCS. Just brutal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Regardless, plenty of time to figure out. The ensembles are a red flag, and I don't think a brush is out of the question since the conveyor belts are massive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 GEFS still look rather wet. yeah, i have thru 96h and the .75" line goes from westerly to portsmouth,nh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 LOL.jpg i'd hit euro jma and canadian no q's, that photo is off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 the NAEFs...a couple of times this winter I thought they were decent. They're still far far south, but there's a lot of spread to the north. Right now though they're a no go and still zoom out way SE of the BM even on the 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 yeah, i have thru 96h and the .75" line goes from westerly to portsmouth,nh Not quite as wet as 12z but still pretty wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I've got 12-15 footers and near marginal gales at this range already for the Friday morning tide. One thing that anomalous easterly flow tells me is that we're going to build quite the sea state over the course of several days. Long fetch storms are always beach eaters. Tides are 10.5 at Boston which is not super high but not low either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Man the coast is going to take a battering regardless of qpf, this could be a prolific western long island sound flooding event with many tide cycles of easterly winds, no way for that water to escape, could be WCS. Just brutal. Eh, astro tides are low. Widespread minor or maybe spot moderate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 So what are the model trends and do we believe them? Do we see a continued trend for more northern stream involvement and also a piece of the ULL east of Maine to break off into this thing in later runs as we draw closer? Has the euro trended in these directions? I'm no model expert either and I don't have pictures of past runs, but in short I do believe those are two trends that could continue to help bring this storm further north. Hopefully the euro shows these trends continuing. If not we toss everything but the euro lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 GEFS...hard to buy it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 yeah, i have thru 96h and the .75" line goes from westerly to portsmouth,nh108h shifts that w another 5-20mi s to n.1"+ for all of sema and cc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 GEFS...hard to buy it You know it's unlikely to verify when Kevin has tossed it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?app=core&module=attach§ion=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=92372'>LOL.jpg Classic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Eh, astro tides are low. Widespread minor or maybe spot moderate? When I was taking that video last week, first thing that struck me was the dunes were gone, the sand is gone........totally naked and exposed here, ev even moderate will flood. Can only speak for this area, not others, the fact that most of our beach faces due east does not help and is one of the reasons we lost so many homes due to surge and wave action. Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 A few flakes. It always works when I get negative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Here's another myth, please do not pin this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 i'm with mike on this. until other guidance jumps on the gfs wagon, its on my outlier list. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Keep in mind guys on the tides the damage has been tremendous this winter. Many beaches have lost 3, 4, some 8 feet of protective sand (depth). It won't take a huge tide to do big damage. Also, how would you guys rate this spread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 You know it's unlikely to verify when Kevin has tossed it. Where is Kevin, anyway?! Is he refusing to acknowledge the run, or is he simply 'indisposed'?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 i'm with mike on this. until other guidance jumps on the gfs wagon, its on my outlier list.Your boys are amped, check out the plumes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 LOL at GFS. It woudl be awesome if the EC gets schooled by the GFS right after having it's nuts handed to it by the NAM on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Where is Kevin, anyway?! Is he refusing to acknowledge the run, or is he simply 'indisposed'?! A little too much coffee???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Where is Kevin, anyway?! Is he refusing to acknowledge the run, or is he simply 'indisposed'?! He's going to eat dinner, come back saying we toss and go to bed at 8pm like always. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 yeah, i have thru 96h and the .75" line goes from westerly to portsmouth,nh i forgot how long this system would be effecting us (potentially)! as will posted 18z gefs 1.0 from portsmouth to newport ri. .5 from like bangor to mt. wash SSW to MPM down to just west of HFD look pretty much identical to me wrt qpf w the big exception being N Nj , nyc W ct about 1/3 to 1/4 less qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Well should be a fun two days of model watching. Certainly a bit of an eyebrow raiser here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Well should be a fun two days of model watching. Certainly a bit of an eyebrow raiser here. I'll be pretty shocked if we don't see much better agreement with the 0z or at least a realization of a clear trend. But be it as it may this winter the Euro will probably go NW, the GFS SE, the GGEM will become a cutter and the NAM will cutoff over Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.