radarman Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 The cutter on the 12th will take care of any remaining snowcover.... SPC's first mention of coastal CT by the 8th for embedded spinups? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 EC ens mean have about 0.50" from GON to LWM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 EC ens mean have about 0.50" from GON to LWM. Really? Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 EC ens mean have about 0.50" from GON to LWM. LOL, I take it that's a bit north of the operational? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 lol at the ARW SREF members. We dry slot while Dendrite gets crushed lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 LOL, I take it that's a bit north of the operational? lol you could say that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Really? Wow. Looks like a lot of low 6hr QPF over a prolonged time so there must be a few amped members with timing differences. Plus some of that must have the weenie onshore flow factored in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 SREFs are kinda misleading - maybe a quarter of them really bring the good stuff into the area to skew the mean. A handful of them bring lighter stuff with onshore flow I believe. Probably too warm on most solutions for most of the CP. Could be good for the elevated interior though. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/SREF21PCNTOTNE_15z/srefloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 SREFs are kinda misleading - maybe a quarter of them really bring the good stuff into the area to skew the mean. A handful of them bring lighter stuff with onshore flow I believe. Probably too warm on most solutions for most of the CP I believe. Could be good for the elevated interior though. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/SREF21PCNTOTNE_15z/srefloop.html Almost all of the ARW members are big hits and most of the NMM members are misses. The SREFs are awful. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/SREF21PRSNE_15z/srefloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 What year was it where it was cloudy for like the whole month of May? 2009? I think we only had 3 days of sun. 2006 was bad. 2009 I remember had a few big rain events. The 10th and 11th especially was widespread heavy rain and a tornado in Sunderland that lifted up a tobacco barn and carried it a few hundred feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Well the JMA does have more computing power than the GFS. Maybe its onto something. And quick question. What would happen if that upper low east of Maine trended so far west if it actually phased into this upcoming storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 lol at the ARW SREF members. We dry slot while Dendrite gets crushed lol Locked and loaded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 All of the spread on the SREFS is north, Euro Ens too. Not sure what to think but nothing set in stone yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Plenty left and more than 3-5..It's 5-8 depending on where you are..from the drifts.. A few patches of grass show around trees etc Really is a sweet spot compared to many other parts of the state. We're down to hardly anything. More brown than snow at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 All of the spread on the SREFS is north, Euro Ens too. Not sure what to think but nothing set in stone yet. Yeah the ARW members are quintuple bunners I agree that nothing is set in stone. Can't write it off completely but I do think odds of a big hit are very low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Euro snow map DETAILED 12Z EUROPEAN MODEL SNOWFALL MAP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Oh and Ryan, did you copyright your snowfall probability graphics because it seems DT stole your idea for this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 How bleeping lucky you guys are in Tolland to have That much snow still. I haven't even been able to sled in 12 days I lost so much snow. And we're on the same latitude. it's called trees and elevation.. Colder day time temps than valleys/low spots really helps esp this time of year.. Now if we had a cutter it would go quick..but this upcoming week won't do much..and we may add some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Oh and Ryan, did you copyright your snowfall probability graphics because it seems DT stole your idea for this storm. I know he did... but that's OK... makes me think it was a good idea since it's catching on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I know he did... but that's OK... makes me think it was a good idea since it's catching on! Lanza did too..but at least gave you credit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I don't think the NAM is buying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Wow that's a massive tickle north on the Euro ens..That must mean .25 gets close to the pike Get accumulating snow in those forecasts this afternoon/evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 it's called trees and elevation.. Colder day time temps than valleys/low spots really helps esp this time of year.. Now if we had a cutter it would go quick..but this upcoming week won't do much..and we may add some It's more of a shade thing than elevation here because I am on a plateau here at about 800' and shaded areas are loaded with snow while open fields are grass. Valley Falls/Bolton Lake areas have 100% snowcover that is 6-12" deep especially in the forested areas. South of Route 44 snowcover is sparse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 It's more of a shade thing than elevation here because I am on a plateau here at about 800' and shaded areas are loaded with snow while open fields are grass. Valley Falls/Bolton Lake areas have 100% snowcover that is 6-12" deep especially in the forested areas. Yes it def helps to not get torching sunlight no matter what the elevation..but even the shaded areas in the valley are mostly melted out..so it's a combo of both. Sounds like you've been hiking over at Valley Falls. I grew up very near there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I don't think the NAM is buying. Precip actually ends up a little further north into PA, and there's probably the hint of more bend on the edge south of New England at 84. I actually think it's a good trend for the NAM, but my interest isn't terrific yet as I still worry about temps/rain. Funny how quiet it got in here when the Euro ENS came out. Nobody wants to commit....lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Trees are everything. Most areas south of me have snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Definitely weenie potential on the euro ensembles after next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Almost all of the ARW members are big hits and most of the NMM members are misses. The SREFs are awful. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/SREF21PRSNE_15z/srefloop.html Probably worth noting the 18z NMM is now much more amped. The chorus grows louder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Precip actually ends up a little further north into PA, and there's probably the hint of more bend on the edge south of New England at 84. I actually think it's a good trend for the NAM, but my interest isn't terrific yet as I still worry about temps/rain. Funny how quiet it got in here when the Euro ENS came out. Nobody wants to commit....lol. twitters abuzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 twitters abuzz I really need to get onboard with this Twitter stuff, Kevin is right. Even the Pope is tweeting and he's 100 years old. The track probably still ends up being some version of a U or V, the question is how sharp is the turn back to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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