CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 If this somehow manages to miss(very low chance) the long range Euro looks like Joe will be prancing and dancing thru the warm spring streets. Looks like cold pattern collapses if the op is right Hey Socks, what have we said about the day 10 euro op? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Because a snow event is effecting his hometown. He always does that. I just don't get the point. Even in RIC it'll be insanely hard to get heavy accums. On fb, he's saying the GFS snowfall is "underdone" and it's showing 7-10". It just pisses me off. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Because a snow event is effecting his hometown. He always does that. http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/storm-next-week-could-look-lik/7172141 He's not the only one. Just awful, fits right in with our snowfall map at day 5 discussions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/storm-next-week-could-look-lik/7172141 He's not the only one. Just awful, fits right in with our snowfall map at day 5 discussions. I just got word that I got an internship offer to forecast at accuweather this summer. Good thing their forecasting division is separate from their web people. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 I just got word that I got an internship offer to forecast at accuweather this summer. Good thing their forecasting division is separate from their web people. Ugh. It's one thing to create the forecast, which I'm sure is accurate enough. It's a whole other thing to start the hype machine like that. Seriously two of the worst storms to ever affect the East Coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 It's one thing to create the forecast, which I'm sure is accurate enough. It's a whole other thing to start the hype machine like that. Seriously two of the worst storms to ever affect the East Coast.Agreed completely. Not a good approach, especially to snow starved DC'ers who will likely be disappointed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 There's just so much time left in this one, really. At 4-5 days it's an eternity. Granted our chances do not look great, this is not the ideal pattern, but who knows what'll happen? Every single one of the Cape scrappers in the earlier pattern was south of where this one is now at 4 days. So who knows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Agreed completely. Not a good approach, especially to snow starved DC'ers who will likely be disappointed. I mean the first thought that comes to mind when Ash Wednesday is brought up, at least for me, is massive coastal damage. The fact that this storm will not be doing a loop, and 4 day stall, coupled with the fact that it won't have five tide cycles and astronomical high tides at the same time will make it pale in comparison there. Just a poor choice of analog. That comparison found it's way into the Bangor newspapers. Even with the meager central pressure, the strong high to the north will produce a nice gradient. KHAT seeing 50-60 knot gusts won't surprise me. But the duration will be so much shorter than 1962. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Depressing that we have to get the models an hour later starting next Sunday I guess. DST sux in March.... April was fine. Maybe the people down south wanted it so early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Depressing that we have to get the models an hour later starting next Sunday I guess. DST sux in March.... April was fine. Maybe the people down south wanted it so early. I love it! Longer daylight. Having it get dark out early is depressing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 GEFS get at least a couple inches up to the pike. Why is noone discussing that? Because it's basically 2 members skewing the mean. P003 & P004 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 I love it! Longer daylight. Having it get dark out early is depressing. I love having daylight right now at like 6am. Makes my 4:30am work at the mountain easier to handle when its light out earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Humming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Because it's basically 2 members skewing the mean. P003 & P004 f120.gif LOL wow... that is literally a non-event on every member but two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Euro ensembles ticked NW, but again..fish storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 I love having daylight right now at like 6am. Makes my 4:30am work at the mountain easier to handle when its light out earlier. I love it light out that early as well! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 If this somehow manages to miss(very low chance) Very low chance of a miss, huh? Hype machine is lubed up and ready to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Very low chance of a miss, huh? Hype machine is lubed up and ready to go. They can't trend north and hit NNE from SNE, but they can trend north from the MA to hit SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 They can't trend north and hit NNE from SNE, but they can trend north from the MA to hit SNE. Just need about 500 more miles and this is a crusher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Very low chance of a miss, huh? Hype machine is lubed up and ready to go. Snow pics ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 I just don't get the point. Even in RIC it'll be insanely hard to get heavy accums. On fb, he's saying the GFS snowfall is "underdone" and it's showing 7-10". It just pisses me off. Lol Dynamics will help under the upper level low for RIC/CHO/ORF. I think they have a chance for heavy accumulation especially if the low closes off a little later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Just need about 500 more miles and this is a crusher. It's March, there is no reason why it can't come north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Euro ensembles ticked NW, but again..fish storm.They still get the .25 line well into Sne? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 It's March, there is no reason why it can't come north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 I just don't get the point. Even in RIC it'll be insanely hard to get heavy accums. On fb, he's saying the GFS snowfall is "underdone" and it's showing 7-10". It just pisses me off. Lol It may be underdone N/W of the cities. But I agree RIC is mostly a rain storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 They still get the .25 line well into Sne? I don't have the ensemble QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 If this misses and with the models now collapsing the cold pattern and stormy look.. Could this be another snowless March? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 If this misses and with the models now collapsing the cold pattern and stormy look.. Could this be another snowless March? Summer is coming! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 They still get the .25 line well into Sne? Per Ian -- gets .5" up to near philly in an e/w band -- .25" up to about NYC tho mainly misses long island etc to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 If this misses and with the models now collapsing the cold pattern and stormy look.. Could this be another snowless March? I don't see a pattern collapsing with the -NAO progged. Naturally chances for snow decrease as we head through March. Cutter near the 12th possibly, and then the NAO reloads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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