RevDodd Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 FWIW, Lee County (Sanford) and Harnett county (Dunnn-Lillington) have gone to a two-hour delay for schools. Worried about the buses and bridges, I imagine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Temps finally starting to drop here. Temps around here are going to be close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Temps finally starting to drop here. Temps around here are going to be close. Clouds are already moving in. Not a positive development with temps still above 50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 I think you are right. I consider Blacksburg the conservative Winter Weather Expert...in comparison to Raleigh/Greenville. RAH always has been conservative in the past, IMO. I remember they didn't issue any sort of Watch/Warning/Advisory until the wee hours of the morning with the Christmas/Boxing Day Storm, for example, and we ended up with 6". That's why I am kind of surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 RAH always has been conservative in the past, IMO. I remember they didn't issue any sort of Watch/Warning/Advisory until the wee hours of the morning with the Christmas/Boxing Day Storm, for example, and we ended up with 6". That's why I am kind of surprised. But they throw out winter weather advisories out left and right for black ice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 53 and a full cloud deck. I say fail for the triad. We will be lucky to see 35 unless the precip is significantly heavier than projected on any model I have seen. Light showers wont cut it for ZR at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 53 and a full cloud deck. I say fail for the triad. We will be lucky to see 35 unless the precip is significantly heavier than projected on any model I have seen. Light showers wont cut it for ZR at the surface. But this was predicted? Mild day with increasing cloud cover. Winston Salem has a dew-point of 7 degrees above zero right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Busick Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Clouds moved in at the worst possibly time. That cad better have magic cold winds from a winter god. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Guys the temps are only going to reach critical temps via wet bulbing, irregardless of overnight cloud cover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Guys the temps are only going to reach critical temps via wet bulbing, irregardless of overnight cloud cover Indeed. Too much worrying. Nobody is forecasting freezing rain at 37-42 either. It may start out as sleet or snow...cause temps to drop even more...then cause freezing rain 30-32 for the morning commute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Guys the temps are only going to reach critical temps via wet bulbing, irregardless of overnight cloud cover Cloudy 50/17 I understand what you're saying, but if precip is light temps want cool to what they could if it's heavier. That said if we start out at 40 instead of 50 when clouds move in I think you would have a much better chance with light precip to get to 32? It's got to make a difference you can't much radiational cooling with cloudy skies! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 53 and a full cloud deck. I say fail for the triad. We will be lucky to see 35 unless the precip is significantly heavier than projected on any model I have seen. Light showers wont cut it for ZR at the surface.53? I'm sitting at 45.3 in the Middway/Wallburg area.Edit: 44.4 now @ 6:11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Piedmont has got ripped off several times before (last Tuesday to be one weaker example) of just by the fact precip hits late morning to lunch time. Better to come in early...which yea does cause clouds to come in early. Take the above or take cold rain coming in at lunch time and beyond. Its either full radiational cooling or low dew-points. Rarely do we get both. It's low dew-points this time guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 53? I'm sitting at 45.3 in the Middway/Wallburg area. Edit: 44.4 now @ 6:11 Yep....still 53 on one thermo and 51 out back. Call it 52. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 That said if we start out at 40 instead of 50 when clouds move in I think you would have a much better chance with light precip to get to 32? Good thing is even with cloud cover we are several hours away from the precipitation reaching the ground. Temps will fall some more regardless. - Blacksburg has Mount Airy above freezing through 3am...and down to 31 by 6am with precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Robert says now worse Winston west. Ice warning could be coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Yep....still 53 on one thermo and 51 out back. Call it 52.[/quot Your probably in a subdivision or a mile or 2 of city limit. He's most likely out in the country or several miles from suburban sprawl. It makes a huge difference when radiating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDeac Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Do not want to make a MBY post, but is it possible for the cold air to damn down into the Charlotte/Upstate SC area as well, or are we only looking at a mountains/foothills/northern NC event? I assume not since it has yet to even be mentioned. We've got a DP of 13, with a predicted low of 33. I would assume a minor event would at least be possible, but I would like to hear more seasoned thoughts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Do not want to make a MBY post, but is it possible for the cold air to damn down into the Charlotte/Upstate SC area as well, or are we only looking at a mountains/foothills/northern NC event? I assume not since it has yet to even be mentioned. We've got a DP of 13, with a predicted low of 33. I would assume a minor event would at least be possible, but I would like to hear more seasoned thoughts! Likely not seeing how this goes to cold rain by lunchtime over the Virginia border. Being further south would cause the transition if any to happen very quick down that way. Maybe an onset threat of sleet to cold rain initially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Good luck guys.....looks like the precip is going to make here far to quick to fall as anything but rain with our current obs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 I have not released my map yet because of the 18z GFS tbh. I was expecting it to not be as severe in terms of winter weather. No matter what the 0z GFS shows, I will post it tonight. I have a feeling if it comes in the same or better some are going to be caught off guard...esp. mountains/foothills/northern Piedmont. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 GSO is down to 47/15 as of 7 PM. That's a wet bulb of 36F and we still have a ways to go before the precip moves in. I don't see any reason to fret yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 GFS bkit soundings look like a bit of sleet with a coating of ice on top early mornign hours. Probably t- 1/2 in of sleet in some areas with a .1 glaze of ice. Was thinking a few days ago this would trend colder, but i was hoping more so than it did. Either way, will be another minor nuisance event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 I hope nobody expected that our daytime highs would stick around all night because of clouds. Dropping will continue to occur as precip is hours away. 42 Boone 46 North Wilkesboro 46 Raleigh 51 Asheville 54 Charlotte Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 47 here just above downtown Asheville, lets hope for a surprise and some rapid temp dropping once the precip. starts to fall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
reelscreamer Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 36 here in greenville NC as of 7:20 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Busick Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Down to 40 from 52 in just 3 hours am impressed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 That precip sure is moving in fast. Temps better fall fast as this is a quick mover. Not liking the trend right now. Looks like a minor cold rain event east of the foothills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 39.5f / 28.6f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 47/20 = WB 37 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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