Feb 27th threat - to be discussed in time, but it should tend to more Miller B

[Damage In Tolland]

I think it might. May have an icy appeal if secondary can develop a bit more.

Meaning sleety or zr? Ice on ice events in late Feb here. I bet that's fairly rare this late in season

[ORH_wxman]

Meaning sleety or zr? Ice on ice events in late Feb here. I bet that's fairly rare this late in season

 

 

Ice events in late Feb arent THAT rare...it might seem counter intuitive with the higher sun angle and such, but the CAD has been better established by late winter. We had a pretty bad ice storm here on 3/2/07...a really bad region wide ice storm (including downtown BOS) on 2/28/95 and another bad in early March 1991. We also had a nuisance ice event on 2/28/11...granted that one wasn't bad down there south of the pike...but they do happen. They aren't as common as mid Dec to early Jan...but they can happen. The airmass isn't great, but the CAD potential is good if we can get a secondary lp form early enough and track south of us.

[Damage In Tolland]

Ice events in late Feb arent THAT rare...it might seem counter intuitive with the higher sun angle and such, but the CAD has been better established by late winter. We had a pretty bad ice storm here on 3/2/07...a really bad region wide ice storm (including downtown BOS) on 2/28/95 and another bad in early March 1991. We also had a nuisance ice event on 2/28/11...granted that one wasn't bad down there south of the pike...but they do happen. They aren't as common as mid Dec to early Jan...but they can happen. The airmass isn't great, but the CAD potential is good if we can get a secondary lp form early enough and track south of us.

I just can't recall many ice events late Feb/ early March. Seems like either snow or sleet but not zr. Even this event surprised us as it didn't seem like zr profile was there yet many if us south of pike in hills are caking up

[CT Rain]

Not a big surprise but GFS has trended colder. The primary is soooo far west we may actually be able to squeeze out something.

[dryslot]

I like this one, Could be a good week of winter weather

[Amped]

GFS shows some sick March 93 like height falls in the gulf of Mexico at 138-168hrs. This storm COC blocks it unfortunately.

[weatherMA]

EC looks like a borderline pasting again...everyone who stays snow looks like maybe .75" or maybe a bit more.

[SouthCoastMA]

Tip shouldn't be allowed to start storm related threads. They seem to all under perform their potential. Bad juju

[moneypitmike]

Tip shouldn't be allowed to start storm related threads. They seem to all under perform their potential. Bad juju

 

LOL.  Just don't pin the damn thing, and I think we'll do fine.  My take is that if the system has legs, the frequent posts to it will keep it at/very near the top of the list anyway.

 

For now, I'm thinking a couple inches before a mix over to rain.  Perhaps a little backend snow which won't amount to anything out here.  Messy, messy, messy.

 

30.5/30

[CoastalWx]

The east trend continues. Looks like a paste job practically for Ray.

[Damage In Tolland]

I hope we can keep this one all snow

[CoastalWx]

The euro op is almost a pasting for Kevin. The 850 and 925 oC line is over his head practically. Even BOS may be a hair colder than this storm. One more tick east...lol.

[Damage In Tolland]

The euro op is almost a pasting for Kevin. The 850 and 925 oC line is over his head practically. Even BOS may be a hair colder than this storm. One more tick east...lol.

Maybe that our Mailbox mauler

[moneypitmike]

The euro op is almost a pasting for Kevin. The 850 and 925 oC line is over his head practically. Even BOS may be a hair colder than this storm. One more tick east...lol.

 

I can't make any sense of how to work the wunderground EC maps.  But I didn't relize they were this cold. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Man looking at the Euro that would be a Birch Breaker for alot of us. That really looks like a blue bombadeir

[CoastalWx]

Man looking at the Euro that would be a Birch Breaker for alot of us. That really looks like a blue bombadeir

 

It is.

[Collinsville]

I just can't recall many ice events late Feb/ early March. Seems like either snow or sleet but not zr.

 

3/15/97 was a pretty decent ice event for mid March

[Damage In Tolland]

3/15/97 was a pretty decent ice event for mid March

I don't recall that one?

[Damage In Tolland]

I just hope this Tues nite Rhododendron Romper still looks good on the Euro today. Hopefully it doesn't keep going east like today's did

[Ginx snewx]

I just hope this Tues nite Rhododendron Romper still looks good on the Euro today. Hopefully it doesn't keep going east like today's did

huh we need a bump east

[CoastalWx]

huh we need a bump east

 

I looked at the model differences over the last two days. The blocking sort of shifts east thanks to a weenie ULL near the Davis Straits. The flow out west also is a little more progressive..hence the east tick. Maybe it stops now, but the way things have gone..I don't think so. Eventually everything shifts west again later this week.

[Damage In Tolland]

huh we need a bump east

I think the Euro verbatim tore down my deck but right on the line. You'd def need one more tickle east. I'm sure one more would help me too

[dryslot]

Good thing its the Nam out in clown range, That's ugly on weds, Just looked at the 0z Euro, That would be awesome if it verified, Like 60hrs of snow up here at varying intensity.......

[CoastalWx]

_{GFS ticking east.}

[moneypitmike]

If we can get a lot of this at night, I think that'll help on the possibilities given the very iffy profile.

[weatherMA]

Cutting it close up here on the GFS. Hopefully the SE trend stops now.

[moneypitmike]

Cutting it close up here on the GFS. Hopefully the SE trend stops now.

 

Plenty of time for the seasonal trend to play out and hit the Cape and Maine.  

[Typhoon Tip]

I'm way behind, but obviously the 00z operational ECM was much more committed to coastal redevelopment/Miller B, which again, is higher correlated over the inland scenarios given the current and evolving teleconnector spread.

[mahk_webstah]

If I can do radar pbp from India surely someone could handle the euro php for Wed and beyond

[moneypitmike]

If I can do radar pbp from India surely someone could handle the euro php for Wed and beyond

Tell me about it--I'm not equpped to do it, but someone should.  They're too busy enjoying the event at hand.